(anonymous) 0x46b19b…fc428c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,362
lifetime
Volume
$19.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-03 11:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
45% — —
Other
43% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Politics
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 1191 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +4 $4 93¢ $4 $-0 06-29 22:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-27 20:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-29 04:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-01 07:18
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 07-03 05:23
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-01 14:19
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 07-03 09:03
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-21 04:30
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-02 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3 $4 76¢ $2 $-2 06-29 04:13
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 07-01 12:12
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-01 02:53
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-01 09:16
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 07-01 09:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 07-02 19:58
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 11:40
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 13:54
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-01 19:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-02 02:10
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $-0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-02 09:04