(anonymous) 0x46b19b…fc428c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,938
lifetime
Volume
$22.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$124
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-23 20:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
42% — —
Sports
40% — —
Crypto
10% — —
Politics
6% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 1191 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 07-18 22:45
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +7 $7 98¢ $7 $-0 07-23 11:22
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7 $7 95¢ $7 $-0 07-23 15:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +9 $5 68¢ $6 +$2 07-16 15:09
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +6 $6 93¢ $6 $-0 07-23 11:44
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-22 18:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-23 02:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-16 15:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +11 $4 42¢ $5 +$1 07-16 15:09
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 07-22 07:34
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-16 15:09
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 91¢ $4 $-0 07-16 15:09
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-29 22:23
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $3 73¢ $3 +$0 07-13 13:27
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-15 18:21
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 07-12 18:27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 07-21 23:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-13 18:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-27 20:33
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 87¢ $3 $-0 07-22 02:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3 $4 99¢ $3 $-1 06-29 04:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +3 $3 79¢ $3 $-0 06-29 04:17
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-21 04:30
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-22 02:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-02 16:20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 07-23 18:38
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-01 09:16
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 07-12 10:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-22 02:14
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-21 21:46