Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$833

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

1,759

Trades

8,333

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$249

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 09-07 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

48% 61% -$566

Sports

29% 66% -$71

Politics

11% 57% -$251

Crypto

11% 89% +$84

Tech

2% 72% -$29

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+263	$191	84¢	$219	+$28	09-07 11:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+59	$30	26¢	$16	-$14	09-07 06:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+19	$15	72¢	$14	-$1	09-04 14:08
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	06-29 18:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	+$0	07-02 09:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	-$1	08-05 23:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	1,153	$691	1,198	187	+1,011	cancelled	-$2	06-15 12:17
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	23	$389	685	389	+297	No	-$107	08-29 23:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	364	$387	571	571	+0	Yes	-$7	06-26 16:12
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	15	$379	214	169	+45	No	-$2	09-01 02:02
mlb phi wsh 2026 06 24 total 9pt5	10	$342	340	340	+0	Under	-$57	06-25 00:08
bkligend bar val 2026 06 24	8	$322	191	190	+0	Valencia	+$59	06-24 20:12
wnba phx ind 2026 06 24 spread home 9pt5	2	$311	467	0	+467	Phoenix Mercury	+$156	06-25 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	58	$301	161	161	+0	No	-$3	06-26 16:10
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$260	104,002	0	+104,002	Yes	-$258	07-22 17:31
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	25	$251	132	132	+0	No	+$3	06-24 20:13
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	4	$240	133	133	+0	open	—	08-27 20:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	19	$236	297	34	+263	open	—	09-07 11:24
mlb phi wsh 2026 06 24	1	$200	333	0	+333	Philadelphia Phillies	-$200	06-24 23:10
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	1	$200	526	0	+526	Yes	-$200	06-25 02:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$178	209	120	+89	No	-$48	09-04 13:40
mlb chc nym 2026 06 24	6	$177	1,960	0	+1,960	Chicago Cubs	-$177	06-25 02:30
wnba dal sea 2026 06 22	9	$160	200	1	+199	Dallas Wings	+$40	06-23 03:21
wnba phx ind 2026 06 22	8	$160	188	0	+188	Indiana Fever	+$28	06-23 01:56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$147	150	83	+66	Yes	+$17	09-06 10:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	26	$147	74	74	+0	No	$0	06-26 16:11
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	30	$146	75	75	+0	No	+$0	06-26 16:10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	3	$142	1,429	1,429	+0	No	-$56	06-24 20:31
wnba min gsv 2026 06 19	17	$141	188	88	+100	Minnesota Lynx	-$42	06-20 04:01
mlb bal laa 2026 06 22	7	$140	408	0	+408	Baltimore Orioles	-$140	06-23 01:48
wnba chi conn 2026 06 22	7	$136	200	0	+200	Connecticut Sun	+$65	06-23 00:03
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	6	$135	136	0	+136	Yes	+$1	09-02 14:02
mlb nyy det 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	7	$123	206	0	+206	New York Yankees	+$83	06-22 23:36
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	71	$121	74	71	+2	Over	+$23	06-20 22:09
mlb hou tor 2026 06 22	6	$121	151	71	+80	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	06-23 01:40
mlb mil cin 2026 06 22	6	$120	207	0	+207	Milwaukee Brewers	+$87	06-22 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 11:24:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xcf2315…
09-07 11:21:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	77¢	$75	0xe53a28…
09-07 11:21:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xe6783f…
09-07 09:58:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8b9c08…
09-07 06:19:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x944218…
09-07 06:14:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x9949d7…
09-07 06:11:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x76db9e…
09-06 14:55:37	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	726	0¢	$1	0xb39fd3…
09-06 13:54:09	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	328	6¢	$19	0x874bca…
09-06 13:53:52	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	285	7¢	$19	0x025e14…
09-06 13:12:07	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x151470…
09-06 12:37:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x9f060f…
09-06 11:22:33	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x66e023…
09-06 10:52:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0xbb2e18…
09-06 09:50:40	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x75142b…
09-06 09:21:06	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x3a9bb3…
09-06 09:18:13	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x505d9b…
09-06 09:16:52	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd855be…
09-06 07:59:30	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xfab81b…
09-05 12:07:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x38da7b…
09-05 11:56:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xf1ff9c…
09-05 11:55:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x2d591e…
09-05 10:14:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x703c8b…
09-05 08:16:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x528dee…
09-04 21:56:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xe884a4…
09-04 21:30:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xcc66ec…
09-04 21:04:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x352373…
09-04 21:00:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf45f36…
09-04 20:48:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe4c835…
09-04 20:42:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3e9420…
09-04 20:37:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xddd74e…
09-04 14:08:27	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x4088e7…
09-04 13:40:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x87d90f…
09-04 12:33:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xae11c3…
09-04 09:33:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x327541…
09-03 14:07:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$16	0xbf5d4e…
09-03 14:06:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x56530e…
09-03 13:37:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x7f5986…
09-03 12:35:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xf8d428…
09-03 07:17:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x523d4b…
09-02 14:02:48	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf6948b…
09-02 12:51:57	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x548253…
09-02 12:44:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x16cb1d…
09-02 06:53:37	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4cbe22…
09-01 21:56:52	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1f0f16…
09-01 21:39:27	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x84590c…
09-01 20:41:30	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b9919…
09-01 15:27:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x761c86…
09-01 02:02:04	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f9cc9…
09-01 02:01:30	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69c58a…
08-29 23:43:48	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x24dac5…
08-29 23:39:09	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	39	40¢	$15	0x580cf4…
08-29 23:10:07	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0x48e1a0…
08-29 21:52:09	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x218415…
08-29 20:35:27	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	99	32¢	$32	0xdd5764…
08-29 18:55:09	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x33718b…
08-29 18:27:37	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x1436a8…
08-29 18:01:33	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xbb3a19…
08-29 17:10:33	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0xb08868…
08-29 16:25:55	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xc928ed…
08-29 16:25:55	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x599447…
08-29 13:23:55	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xd2baa0…
08-29 13:22:04	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	94	39¢	$37	0x79c8b3…
08-29 13:20:28	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	118	38¢	$45	0xf70d63…
08-29 12:13:37	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x623400…
08-28 18:01:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0xf7e987…
08-28 18:01:24	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	156	35¢	$55	0xf1b67d…
08-28 18:01:24	Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xb77dd8…
08-28 18:01:24	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x646652…
08-28 14:31:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xb9c5ed…
08-28 14:17:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x38034f…
08-28 14:02:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x6911d8…
08-28 10:43:36	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x8ad817…
08-28 10:38:07	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x7a3b40…
08-28 10:19:31	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x5a9fa7…
08-28 10:17:48	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x23c085…
08-28 07:22:39	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xd05bfa…
08-28 06:28:42	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xbaaaa6…
08-28 05:52:25	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c2149…
08-28 01:53:48	Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x17f20e…
08-27 20:01:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0x59fb7f…
08-27 20:01:27	Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x27d09f…
08-27 20:01:24	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0xc96ddb…
08-27 20:01:22	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xa9ba0d…
08-27 20:01:22	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x976441…
08-27 20:01:21	Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0xa85434…
08-27 20:01:18	Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0xfc4159…
08-27 20:01:18	Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xbefa36…
08-27 20:01:15	Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$23	0x08d9de…
08-27 20:01:13	Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Yes	SELL	133	90¢	$120	0x174264…
08-27 20:01:12	Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xd87fa5…
08-27 20:01:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x6f69e1…
08-27 13:32:30	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xe045bd…
08-27 11:15:13	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0f9a7f…
08-27 10:20:19	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe27682…
08-27 10:19:45	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4d9ec1…
08-27 10:19:10	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd67e4…
08-27 10:16:22	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee2005…
08-27 00:25:34	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x6b0305…
08-26 19:34:31	Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x4b3296…