Realized P&L
+$50
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
25
Trades
670
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$449
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-22 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
63% 67% +$41
Other
26% 100% +$1
Crypto
6% 100% +$8
Politics
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +198 $100 50¢ $99 $-1 07-02 10:25
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +196 $100 50¢ $99 $-1 07-02 10:25
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +213 $54 24¢ $52 $-2 07-09 04:20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -49 $-45 96¢ $-47 $-2 05-29 21:57
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -52 $-44 84¢ $-44 +$0 06-28 02:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -21 $-20 97¢ $-21 $-0 06-10 07:05
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -25 $-18 74¢ $-19 $-0 06-28 02:07
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -18 $-17 98¢ $-17 $-0 05-28 01:15
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -48 $-22 32¢ $-15 +$7 05-29 22:00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -11 $-10 98¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 07:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 05-29 22:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-20 01:09
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -7 $-4 64¢ $-4 $-0 07-15 11:05