Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$48

9 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-18 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

88% 50% -$1

Other

7% 50% +$3

Tech

5% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	+12	$10	84¢	$10	$0	10-18 08:20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+11	$10	86¢	$10	$0	10-18 08:18
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+13	$11	61¢	$8	-$3	06-21 19:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$5	84¢	$7	+$2	07-24 15:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	99¢	$6	+$1	07-24 15:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+26	$5	18¢	$5	$0	10-18 08:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+2	$1	55¢	$1	+$0	10-18 08:18
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+9	$1	11¢	$1	$0	06-21 16:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+5	$4	12¢	$1	-$4	06-21 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 08:27:08	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdfa02d…
10-18 08:27:05	Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4f3195…
10-18 08:24:18	Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xbb3e3d…
10-18 08:23:26	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2a48f4…
10-18 08:23:11	Will Édouard Philippe win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x72617c…
10-18 08:23:03	Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x31df19…
10-18 08:22:26	Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x69ace6…
10-18 08:22:17	Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfad28d…
10-18 08:21:54	Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xabced3…
10-18 08:20:50	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x869029…
10-18 08:20:41	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6c02c6…
10-18 08:20:35	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2fb83e…
10-18 08:19:56	Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8c40ab…
10-18 08:19:15	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x22c56a…
10-18 08:18:35	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x731af0…
10-18 08:18:23	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbf6b18…
10-18 08:17:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x46cda5…
10-18 08:16:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x615cde…
10-18 08:14:51	Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe0c2c2…
10-18 08:14:42	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe36210…
10-18 08:14:23	Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xe74608…
10-18 08:13:36	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf2f278…
10-18 08:12:09	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x28386b…
10-18 08:11:20	will anyone win frances presidential election in the first round	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x528b71…
10-18 08:07:20	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaf3956…
10-18 08:07:09	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa07f01…
10-18 08:06:53	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x77bb2a…
10-18 08:05:24	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x039273…
10-18 08:04:30	Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac95df…
10-18 08:04:20	Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c9526…
10-18 08:04:17	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f5bf0…
10-18 08:04:09	Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb127c3…
10-18 08:03:57	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bea29…
10-18 08:03:56	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9ff114…
10-18 08:03:51	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2d043f…
10-18 08:03:48	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0049cf…
10-18 08:03:45	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xabdb88…
10-18 08:03:42	Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5753f6…
10-18 08:03:38	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x872960…
10-18 08:03:33	Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdeb2e6…
10-18 08:03:27	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x09ddbf…
10-18 08:03:20	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x364b64…
10-18 08:03:02	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x544a7a…
10-18 07:58:27	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xde79f5…
10-18 07:58:08	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xc015f0…
10-18 07:57:17	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4c91aa…
10-18 07:57:08	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x774f66…
10-18 07:56:30	Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6fd002…
10-18 07:56:24	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x563fe8…
10-18 07:55:05	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8e96d4…
10-18 07:52:44	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf664a7…
10-18 07:52:30	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x201357…
10-18 07:52:15	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x48d3f1…
10-18 07:52:02	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4b68ec…
10-18 07:51:05	Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d0060…
10-18 07:48:08	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2efdc6…
10-18 07:45:20	Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x1ca392…
10-18 07:43:29	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x579e4e…
10-18 07:42:54	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe988ea…
10-18 07:42:14	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8e05d2…
10-18 07:41:18	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x189793…
10-18 07:39:14	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x44b7dc…
07-24 15:48:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf92f6a…
07-24 15:47:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x65372d…
07-24 15:47:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x283112…
07-24 15:42:27	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9f31de…
07-24 15:39:36	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x23fcbc…
07-24 15:36:10	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec4689…
07-24 15:36:01	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x91b081…
07-24 15:34:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6c5dc…
07-21 21:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x13d195…
07-21 21:20:25	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x53a7c9…
06-21 20:32:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee252a…
06-21 20:14:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x061170…
06-21 20:13:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd7b891…
06-21 19:46:05	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x9424ca…
06-21 19:37:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x17b388…
06-21 16:51:55	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7694c6…
06-21 16:46:16	Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc2a863…
06-21 16:45:04	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c8f7d…
06-21 16:44:41	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb562d0…
06-21 16:42:46	Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x49df34…
06-21 16:37:49	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x02bbbb…
06-21 16:36:19	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf23930…
06-21 16:34:31	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfd84ae…
06-21 16:31:26	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x110287…
06-21 16:30:31	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa037bc…
06-21 16:29:11	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc3580d…
06-21 16:27:29	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f08ae…
06-21 16:27:26	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6b7f9f…
06-21 16:24:46	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x322d36…
06-21 16:23:35	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x85c44c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$21	101	77	+24	open	—	10-18 07:41
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	10-18 07:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$4	07-21 21:22
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	10-18 08:03
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	10-18 08:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	06-21 19:46
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	07-24 15:42
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	10-18 08:20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 08:18
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	10-18 07:52
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 07:56
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 07:57
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 07:57
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$8	21	16	+5	open	—	10-18 07:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	10-18 08:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-24 15:48
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 07:52
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 07:42
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 08:14
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	10-18 08:19
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-18 08:20
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-18 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-24 15:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-24 15:47
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$5	7	2	+5	open	—	10-18 07:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 20:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	-$4	06-21 20:32
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$3	60	0	+60	open	—	10-18 07:45
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	10-18 07:42
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	10-18 07:55