Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$433
Trades
30
Unique wallets
9
Liquidity
$9,007
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $4
vs crowd: 0% YES on $208)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | — | $139 | $139 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $70 | $70 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | — | — | +— |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $105 | $105 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $94 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-07 09:43 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-28 20:50 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 08:08 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 08:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe2a543… |
| 06-09 08:49:25 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe2a543… |
| 06-08 22:52:31 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x4e6e7e… |
| 06-08 22:52:31 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x4e6e7e… |
| 06-08 20:46:21 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xc5ba55… |
| 06-08 20:46:21 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xc5ba55… |
| 06-07 09:52:45 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9d8d2d… |
| 06-07 09:52:45 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9d8d2d… |
| 06-07 09:43:57 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x24bc74… |
| 06-07 09:43:57 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x24bc74… |
| 06-07 09:43:57 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x24bc74… |
| 06-05 08:16:34 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x7df59f… |
| 06-05 08:16:34 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x7df59f… |
| 06-05 08:08:01 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x9f5c21… |
| 06-05 08:08:01 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 47 | 93¢ | $44 | 0x9f5c21… |
| 06-05 08:08:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x9f5c21… |
| 06-05 08:08:01 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x9f5c21… |
| 05-30 14:21:56 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 32 | 93¢ | $29 | 0x94638e… |
| 05-30 14:21:56 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 32 | 93¢ | $29 | 0x94638e… |
| 05-30 14:00:48 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xa8563d… |
| 05-30 14:00:48 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 47 | 93¢ | $44 | 0xa8563d… |
| 05-30 14:00:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 32 | 93¢ | $29 | 0xa8563d… |
| 05-28 20:50:10 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x467bc7… |
| 05-28 20:50:10 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x467bc7… |
| 05-28 20:50:10 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x467bc7… |
| 05-28 20:49:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0xceaf98… |
| 05-28 20:49:20 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xceaf98… |
| 05-28 20:49:20 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xceaf98… |
| 05-28 20:44:50 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc0c5a6… |
| 05-28 20:44:50 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xc0c5a6… |