Realized P&L
-$479
Unrealized P&L
+$811
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
72
Trades
546
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$5.28K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 06:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
61% 35% -$524
Other
39% 56% +$47
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,445 $1,762 41¢ $2.2K +$446 08-27 17:48
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,246 $1,572 98¢ $2.2K +$630 07-07 18:10
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +570 $520 83¢ $473 -$47 10-11 04:50
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No -110 -$110 100¢ $-110 $0 10-17 12:44
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $91 99¢ $99 +$8 05-24 20:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,961 $331 2¢ $77 -$254 10-30 06:31
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +260 $6 17¢ $44 +$38 07-07 18:09
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -161 -$40 14¢ $-22 +$18 08-29 14:29
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$1 06-08 20:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +550 $34 3¢ $16 -$18 09-23 02:35
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 62¢ $6 +$2 06-02 15:38
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +340 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 09-15 22:57
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 09-14 18:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +29 $7 1¢ $0 -$6 06-04 15:57
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -103 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-08 20:03
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -167 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 09-28 21:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-09 18:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +14 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-09 17:09