Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$222.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.3K
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
1,070
Trades
29,704
lifetime
Volume
$9.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$324
Open exposure
$120.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$198,612
Other
39% 71% -$8,890
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +88,415 $25,392 47¢ $41.9K +$16,473 11-09 16:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +22,236 $16,754 94¢ $20.9K +$4,104 11-06 03:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.6K +$6,815 07-11 00:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 94¢ $-7593 -$1,811 08-26 21:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 92¢ $6.1K +$6,643 10-24 21:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +86,906 $17,430 6¢ $5.6K -$11,781 11-12 18:41
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,000 $4,691 86¢ $5.2K +$499 11-11 02:28
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,504 $3,674 82¢ $3.7K +$42 11-14 15:51
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,929 $3,295 69¢ $3.4K +$106 11-12 10:42
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,042 $1,511 82¢ $1.7K +$163 09-24 10:12
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +84,225 $1,204 2¢ $1.6K +$354 11-11 15:21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 98¢ $-1494 -$223 05-18 12:32
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +1,565 $1,236 85¢ $1.3K +$94 11-12 21:43
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,570 $1,144 83¢ $1.3K +$159 11-12 13:23
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? No +1,311 $1,058 96¢ $1.3K +$196 10-02 17:20
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $925 93¢ $928 +$2 11-14 17:32
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,196 $744 68¢ $808 +$63 11-13 14:50
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +779 $523 86¢ $673 +$151 10-01 17:21
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +681 $517 91¢ $620 +$103 10-25 03:11
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +576 $523 96¢ $554 +$31 11-04 07:18
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +579 $529 95¢ $549 +$19 11-04 07:16
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026? No +546 $459 99¢ $540 +$81 10-05 05:51
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +552 $523 97¢ $535 +$12 11-12 21:46
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +556 $533 96¢ $534 +$1 11-08 12:02
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +509 $405 96¢ $488 +$83 10-18 08:03
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,034 $1,987 0¢ $450 -$1,537 11-05 22:27
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +557 $158 74¢ $412 +$255 09-23 22:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-357 +$1,262 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 53¢ $208 -$90 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +200 $168 98¢ $195 +$27 08-18 19:50