Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$35.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.5K
Hit rate
45.8%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
342
29,410 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$133.4K
$9.55M lifetime
Avg / trade
$325
Open exposure
$105.5K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$197,190
Other
39% 71% -$8,900
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +72,415 $18,798 40¢ $29.1K +$10,350 10-29 22:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +21,236 $15,851 86¢ $18.2K +$2,370 10-09 05:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +14,000 $13,625 98¢ $13.8K +$144 11-01 22:27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +10,000 $9,848 98¢ $9.8K -$3 11-02 01:40
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.7K +$6,825 07-11 00:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 86¢ $-6943 -$1,161 08-26 21:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 92¢ $6.1K +$6,643 10-24 21:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,648 $14,026 12¢ $5.8K -$8,202 10-29 22:32
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,924 $1,454 98¢ $1.9K +$422 10-31 16:50
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 96¢ $-1462 -$191 05-18 12:32
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,676 $909 2¢ $1.2K +$310 10-08 08:49
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +81,528 $1,880 1¢ $693 -$1,187 11-01 19:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-355 +$1,264 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 60¢ $236 -$62 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,020 -$688 2¢ $49 +$737 10-20 18:35
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 -$293 88¢ $0 +$293 09-21 18:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 $1,831 57¢ $0 -$1,831 06-06 13:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$94 74¢ $0 +$94 10-13 05:36