Agonizing-Anniversary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

3,326

Trades

15,248

lifetime

Volume

$1.05M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$68

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 268 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 74% -$18,301

Other

33% 76% -$7,940

Sports

4% 68% +$1,053

Politics

2% 78% -$425

Tech

0% 71% -$464

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	—	+49	$40	100¢	$49	+$9	10-29 12:52
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports		+25	$20	78¢	$20	$0	10-28 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 92k on january 4	12	$17.2K	8,941	8,941	+0	No	+$648	01-04 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 17:45 UTC	314	$15.2K	10,640	10,640	+0	Down	+$3,395	01-01 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 16:45 UTC	201	$14.6K	10,333	10,333	+0	Up	+$1,433	01-01 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 18:30 UTC	180	$13.3K	9,607	9,607	+0	Down	+$1,674	01-03 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 14:15 UTC	211	$11.4K	9,428	9,398	+30	Down	+$1,504	01-01 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 14:45 UTC	182	$10.9K	6,710	6,710	+0	Up	-$618	01-02 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 15:00 UTC	116	$10.4K	7,347	4,660	+2,687	Down	+$1,040	01-02 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 00:00 UTC	205	$9.9K	5,665	5,665	+0	Up	+$1,300	01-01 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 16:00 UTC	161	$9.9K	6,074	6,074	+0	Down	+$1,540	01-01 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:45 UTC	183	$9.8K	9,028	9,028	+0	Down	+$980	01-03 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 13:45 UTC	287	$9.2K	6,741	4,304	+2,438	Down	+$1,519	01-01 13:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 26	33	$8.7K	4,898	4,898	+0	Yes	+$779	01-26 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 18:30 UTC	94	$8.3K	4,600	4,599	+0	Down	+$360	01-02 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 11:15 UTC	63	$8.2K	6,459	5,082	+1,377	Down	+$539	01-01 11:29
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$8.0K	8,081	0	+8,081	No	+$81	01-07 21:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 30	8	$8.0K	4,197	4,197	+0	Yes	+$399	01-30 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 17:30 UTC	282	$7.9K	16,000	16,000	+0	Up	-$7,519	01-01 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:00 UTC	129	$7.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	Down	+$1,190	01-01 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:00 UTC	58	$7.7K	4,878	4,878	+0	Down	-$306	01-03 17:12
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	35	$7.7K	4,292	4,487	-195	No	+$1,106	02-04 15:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:45 UTC	158	$7.3K	4,374	3,940	+435	Up	+$798	01-01 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:15 UTC	81	$7.3K	5,500	3,055	+2,445	Down	+$910	01-02 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 23:45 UTC	166	$7.1K	4,905	3,524	+1,381	Down	+$634	01-01 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 16:30 UTC	182	$7.1K	9,696	8,000	+1,696	Down	-$846	01-01 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 16:15 UTC	91	$6.6K	10,600	7,600	+3,000	Up	-$1,732	01-01 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 14:45 UTC	138	$6.5K	4,105	4,105	+0	Down	+$871	01-03 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 18:30 UTC	120	$6.3K	3,829	3,829	+0	Up	+$1,059	01-01 18:41
bitcoin up or down on february 4	16	$6.3K	3,200	3,200	+0	Down	+$122	02-04 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 09:45 UTC	121	$6.2K	8,500	3,094	+5,406	Up	-$3,772	01-01 09:59
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	40	$6.1K	6,929	254	+6,675	No	+$620	01-07 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:54:29	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x24dd58…
10-29 12:54:17	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8f033a…
10-29 12:54:05	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xca3911…
10-29 12:53:38	Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marjorie Souza	Francesca Jones	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x86744e…
10-29 12:53:26	Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc33337…
10-29 12:53:11	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x2286ca…
10-29 12:52:56	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Tulane	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x922021…
10-29 12:52:46	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xe101eb…
10-29 12:52:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xef0817…
10-28 23:09:50	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x93c612…
10-28 23:09:26	Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xace2cc…
10-28 23:09:14	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x37ca7c…
10-28 08:51:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x3ad0a3…
10-28 08:51:07	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8a6fce…
10-28 08:50:49	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x6d066d…
10-28 08:50:28	W15 Monastir: Anastasia Lizunova vs Kayo Nishimura	Kayo Nishimura	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb695fa…
10-28 08:50:16	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xcbe062…
10-28 08:50:08	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8764c6…
10-28 08:49:49	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x95339f…
10-28 08:49:31	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xbd5bd7…
10-28 08:49:19	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x128313…
10-28 08:49:01	Spread: Arizona (-4.5)	Texas Tech	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4c54aa…
10-28 08:48:38	nba mia atl 2026 10 28 spread away 4pt5	Hawks	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2c4424…
10-28 08:48:20	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcc1ab9…
10-28 08:48:05	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x050690…
10-28 08:47:52	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xac07d3…
10-27 22:42:39	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x08e69e…
10-27 19:56:59	Spread: Predators (-1.5)	Islanders	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3d398c…
10-27 19:56:42	Will RSD Alcalá win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf851c6…
10-27 19:56:17	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb6f614…
10-27 19:56:00	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Knicks	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfc62f7…
10-27 15:04:02	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2b0c82…
10-27 15:03:41	Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marria Urrutia	Francesca Jones	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7cf205…
10-27 15:03:17	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf192b9…
10-27 15:02:57	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x0b2830…
10-27 15:02:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x509895…
10-27 15:02:21	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x057472…
10-27 12:36:17	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x80bda4…
10-27 12:35:56	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x90d19a…
10-26 13:36:00	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7dae7a…
10-26 13:35:48	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x678eb1…
10-26 13:35:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xf0d6d6…
10-26 13:35:23	Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x81950a…
10-26 13:35:08	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x046388…
10-26 13:34:59	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x183114…
10-26 13:34:36	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc5febf…
10-26 13:34:24	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcfa2f2…
10-26 13:34:11	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Celtics	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa50e59…
10-26 13:33:42	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x16b9d9…
10-26 13:33:30	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x015abe…
10-25 22:42:50	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc86481…
10-25 22:42:36	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7d5b54…
10-25 22:42:15	Spread: Rams (-14.5)	Rams	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x82433c…
10-25 19:12:12	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9bcb22…
10-25 19:11:21	Dolphins vs. Jets	Dolphins	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7b2a2b…
10-25 19:11:12	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xefeef6…
10-25 16:39:44	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa77c08…
10-25 16:39:20	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1ddc16…
10-25 16:39:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xe2f6f5…
10-25 16:38:56	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xdbd97b…
10-25 16:38:32	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9c3b3d…
10-25 16:38:18	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8804c3…
10-25 16:37:59	Spread: Falcons (-9.5)	49ers	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe7ae76…
10-25 16:37:27	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf45172…
10-24 16:16:36	Spread: Northwestern (-6.5)	Northwestern	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x75e3d2…
10-24 16:16:09	Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati	Texas Tech	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4697f4…
10-24 16:15:57	Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy	Troy	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa60833…
10-24 16:15:36	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x6ca744…
10-24 16:15:15	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xebe95c…
10-24 16:15:00	Spread: Raiders (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xc7b574…
10-24 16:14:29	Spread: Lions (-10.5)	Packers	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x374c0d…
10-24 08:38:18	San Diego State vs. Colorado State: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x26253c…
10-24 08:37:35	Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x54125c…
10-24 08:37:18	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x610b6d…
10-24 08:36:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2a6c3b…
10-24 08:36:17	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xaf3c35…
10-24 08:35:29	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x25b791…
10-24 08:35:18	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xaea864…
10-24 08:35:02	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9494ca…
10-24 08:34:35	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc2eaf1…
10-24 08:34:14	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x86c65f…
10-24 08:33:50	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfba9a4…
10-23 16:59:18	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x815b9d…
10-23 16:58:42	Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla	Oriol Roca Batalla	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x095bb5…
10-23 16:58:35	Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Felipe Meligeni Alves	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x884bd0…
10-23 16:58:21	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf347f7…
10-23 16:58:06	UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Iasmin Lucindo	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x98fc3c…
10-23 16:57:54	LSU vs. Auburn	LSU	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x98b977…
10-23 16:57:32	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x20802a…
10-23 16:57:21	Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Celtics	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd27d31…
10-23 16:56:50	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfbb905…
10-22 20:37:33	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2e524c…
10-22 20:36:53	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xd62303…
10-22 09:36:48	Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x753220…
10-22 09:36:36	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0c50ae…
10-22 09:36:26	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x793f46…
10-22 09:36:08	PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x7b5bd1…
10-22 09:35:45	Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x222cda…
10-22 09:35:30	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc187f5…
10-22 09:35:15	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe5e2fb…