Superficial-Membership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

599

Trades

2,239

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 07-16 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

73% 71% +$55

Politics

10% 71% -$2

Sports

10% 81% +$6

Crypto

7% 68% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	98	$100	79	79	+0	Knicks	-$1	06-04 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?	25	$60	200	200	+0	No	-$9	06-04 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:20 UTC	29	$51	62	62	+0	Up	-$6	06-04 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	10	$44	48	46	+2	Yes	+$38	06-04 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	23	$43	71	71	+0	Yes	+$40	06-22 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	15	$32	131	131	+0	Down	+$2	06-04 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	32	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	-$2	06-03 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	17	$31	17	16	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	32	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-03 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	11	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-22 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?	8	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-04 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?	19	$21	23	23	+0	No	+$12	06-04 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	20	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	07-10 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	22	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-12 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	11	$19	91	4	+88	Down	-$11	06-02 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?	18	$19	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	17	$19	14	14	+0	No	-$1	07-16 03:37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	18	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$1	07-13 00:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	19	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$1	07-07 17:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	19	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$2	07-03 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 24?	12	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-24 04:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	17	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-05 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	5	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	06-02 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	21	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	07-06 00:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	17	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	06-08 16:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	16	$16	13	13	+0	Yes	-$1	06-29 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	11	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-17 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	6	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 08:44
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	9	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	07-16 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	7	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-23 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 03:37:35	Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x612832…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf2b784…
07-16 03:37:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd5418d…
07-16 03:37:34	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbddb59…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x957937…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9526d3…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x93fd69…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x86bf21…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x82d1c1…
07-16 03:37:34	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x730cd3…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x711ce9…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x58906a…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x572753…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x451f54…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x13cd04…
07-16 03:37:34	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x105dcd…
07-16 03:37:34	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0c953f…
07-16 03:37:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x028e6c…
07-16 03:37:32	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xab7135…
07-16 03:37:29	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x562d40…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xf7c2e8…
07-16 03:37:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf653d0…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe2f7e8…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xcd5551…
07-16 03:37:28	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc9310d…
07-16 03:37:28	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc38ff8…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc251f4…
07-16 03:37:28	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xaf060b…
07-16 03:37:28	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9de999…
07-16 03:37:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x9d851f…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9c2972…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x88cea8…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x87b71d…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x874289…
07-16 03:37:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x79e8b1…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4fbbc9…
07-16 03:37:28	will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3c4f93…
07-16 03:37:28	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x346031…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x343377…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x32c4d4…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x26c321…
07-16 03:37:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x0c0c3d…
07-16 03:37:28	Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x0626ed…
07-16 00:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x79daca…
07-16 00:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf01125…
07-15 23:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6bddd4…
07-15 23:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9f67d6…
07-15 23:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x43245e…
07-15 22:24:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xae2c41…
07-15 22:24:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x131976…
07-15 15:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xabdfe0…
07-15 14:58:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x83c97d…
07-15 14:58:40	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x666bd2…
07-15 14:58:23	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c22cd…
07-15 14:58:17	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6c79e9…
07-15 13:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x7016da…
07-15 13:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xabb726…
07-15 12:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x59fab5…
07-15 12:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x8c93b3…
07-15 12:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf2059d…
07-15 12:00:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x6b7d90…
07-15 10:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa4603b…
07-15 09:23:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x966ab8…
07-15 07:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x50fd7c…
07-15 02:42:41	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xadb36f…
07-14 20:35:17	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x658d02…
07-14 20:33:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd174b5…
07-14 20:25:52	Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8604d8…
07-14 20:20:55	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x928aa6…
07-14 19:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x0e52e1…
07-14 16:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x944f9c…
07-14 16:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x566b39…
07-14 12:55:50	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf716b…
07-14 12:11:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcfd383…
07-14 11:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xea6ad2…
07-14 11:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x35ce93…
07-14 11:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xf0f1ba…
07-14 11:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xbee4f5…
07-14 11:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xbaab5f…
07-14 09:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6f9f34…
07-14 09:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8590c7…
07-14 09:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xdbdb9e…
07-14 09:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb7b374…
07-14 09:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x2f57f4…
07-14 09:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd3638d…
07-14 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd5aa24…
07-14 09:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x92275a…
07-14 08:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa04705…
07-14 08:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x8c7afd…
07-14 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x403855…
07-14 07:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x4329b2…
07-14 07:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xf92322…
07-14 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7fa52f…
07-14 07:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x8126ad…
07-13 16:58:37	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdac864…
07-13 16:48:47	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a882e…
07-13 16:48:31	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb815e7…
07-13 16:40:41	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xefddd4…
07-13 12:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcf62ae…
07-13 11:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x17533e…