That-Percent 0xb5c4eb…43cb3b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$88
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,788
lifetime
Volume
$20.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$225
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-21 22:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
32% — —
Sports
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -262 $-91 40¢ $-104 $-13 07-21 20:59
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -46 $-27 60¢ $-28 $-1 07-04 14:07
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +306 $23 7¢ $21 $-2 07-21 20:11
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +18 $95 73¢ $13 $-82 07-21 16:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 86¢ $13 +$1 07-10 13:55
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $10 +$1 06-24 21:25
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +14 $9 68¢ $9 +$0 07-02 09:11
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 07-15 05:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +10 $6 62¢ $6 $-0 07-15 05:03
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-04 14:07
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-04 14:07
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 07-04 14:07
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-04 14:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2 $3 74¢ $2 $-1 07-19 23:18
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No -2 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-1 07-21 14:41
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 $-0 07-04 14:07
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-04 14:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -41 $-10 1¢ $-0 +$9 07-03 21:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 68¢ $0 $-1 07-22 02:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 07-21 19:43