Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f14…42a849
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$293
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,124
lifetime
Volume
$25.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$866
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-02 00:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% — —
Other
39% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +804 $446 97¢ $780 +$334 06-29 01:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +881 $639 3¢ $26 $-613 06-29 03:56
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +40 $21 60¢ $24 +$3 06-22 19:57
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +21 $14 81¢ $17 +$3 06-24 19:50
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 06-25 22:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-26 19:24
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 07-01 02:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -8 $0 18¢ $-1 $-1 06-18 02:33
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +40 $3 1¢ $0 $-2 06-22 14:02
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No -30 $17 0¢ $-0 $-17 06-28 01:07