Tense-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$722

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

177

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$465

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-25 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

66% 63% +$698

Sports

33% 54% +$23

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+360	$234	74¢	$265	+$31	10-25 20:43
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	+100	$89	86¢	$86	-$3	07-23 18:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+100	$84	67¢	$67	-$17	08-09 15:00
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+40	$27	96¢	$38	+$11	08-01 14:34
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+100	$31	6¢	$6	-$26	08-08 08:45
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$10	4¢	$4	-$6	08-02 20:03
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+10	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	08-20 09:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$1.6K	897	807	+90	No	-$1	06-21 01:50
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$55	06-28 01:55
Will Racing de Santander achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	3	$1.2K	603	603	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 16:03
la velada del ano 6 plex vspt fernanfloo 20260708192832151	38	$1.1K	1,312	0	+1,312	Plex	+$187	07-25 20:40
will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$962	562	562	+0	No	+$2	07-14 23:49
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	5	$911	500	500	+0	No	+$32	05-16 19:51
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	9	$761	417	417	+0	No	+$46	07-04 03:03
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	9	$738	1,043	0	+1,043	Yes	+$285	08-15 09:31
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$625	457	497	-40	No	+$100	05-16 22:41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	3	$616	620	20	+600	Yes	+$7	05-10 20:50
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	15	$611	332	332	+0	No	+$40	05-10 20:00
Will David Raya win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$603	310	310	+0	No	+$8	07-02 00:36
la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	14	$479	304	304	+0	Aguirre	+$15	07-25 19:37
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	3	$450	578	0	+578	No	+$127	06-27 12:53
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	3	$395	207	207	+0	No	$0	06-23 16:22
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$385	200	200	+0	No	+$6	06-20 20:26
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$357	1,206	1,110	+96	Yes	-$52	06-28 03:33
la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	11	$347	281	211	+70	TheGrefg	+$23	07-26 00:27
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$340	177	177	+0	No	+$14	06-27 23:10
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$316	224	224	+0	No	+$3	06-28 01:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$304	700	0	+700	Yes	-$304	10-09 17:55
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$295	187	187	+0	Yes	+$0	09-01 22:37
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$289	510	0	+510	Yes	+$221	07-13 13:46
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$277	343	0	+343	No	+$66	09-08 15:17
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$269	225	110	+115	Yes	+$3	06-20 23:06
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	6	$259	210	79	+131	Yes	+$14	05-25 10:28
will federico valverde finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	1	$259	262	0	+262	No	+$3	08-15 09:21
Will Argentina win the World Cup?	3	$252	155	155	+0	No	+$6	07-04 22:39
la velada del ano 6 samy rivers vs roro 20260708192315676	8	$248	230	230	+0	RoRo	-$8	07-25 23:23
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	7	$248	150	150	+0	open	—	09-04 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:43:30	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	185	74¢	$137	0x835864…
10-25 20:06:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xed8b16…
10-09 17:55:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x9dc3b1…
10-09 17:55:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc6cfd1…
10-09 17:54:46	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x5bdcca…
10-09 17:54:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xa1a863…
10-09 17:53:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x09a23a…
10-09 17:53:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	72	37¢	$27	0x573c6d…
10-09 17:52:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5094f9…
10-09 17:52:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	87	37¢	$32	0xc662ff…
09-19 09:24:36	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x35ccc4…
09-09 13:49:06	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$4	0x186ebc…
09-08 15:17:27	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfa155f…
09-08 15:16:46	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	145	85¢	$123	0xbed164…
09-08 15:11:52	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb8b5da…
09-08 15:10:42	Will Pedri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83f743…
09-08 15:09:46	Will Pedri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36985e…
09-08 15:09:33	Will Pedri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x39a3b2…
09-08 15:09:18	Will Pedri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x6b510c…
09-08 15:09:06	Will Pedri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x03005f…
09-08 15:06:45	Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x65ccfe…
09-08 15:06:25	Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x5f3004…
09-08 15:05:09	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x18e2df…
09-08 15:04:51	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb170ef…
09-08 15:04:34	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xa9f398…
09-08 15:04:13	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7415de…
09-07 00:17:31	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x61dbbb…
09-04 15:06:43	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xac31b8…
09-04 12:28:54	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	90¢	$99	0x7eaf54…
09-04 07:19:16	Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4dfbc8…
09-04 07:16:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0xff9ffc…
09-01 22:37:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	111	79¢	$88	0xd1704e…
09-01 17:34:45	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x14e0b0…
08-30 03:05:04	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x2d4010…
08-29 16:37:10	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x4fc2e0…
08-28 19:33:52	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x64bc7f…
08-27 21:07:16	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x2fcd34…
08-27 21:07:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xeb8a83…
08-27 11:30:34	Mega Charizard Y ex Price Up/Down on August 31?	Over	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3e2c90…
08-23 15:02:15	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xe249ef…
08-23 13:39:55	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x73355a…
08-22 21:24:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x378fc3…
08-22 20:44:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0df862…
08-22 18:23:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	184	38¢	$69	0xb6004d…
08-22 18:19:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xc880d1…
08-21 16:24:30	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$3	0x424cbf…
08-21 16:21:48	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0xae94b8…
08-20 09:53:40	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x20ee6c…
08-18 20:50:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xb26f4f…
08-18 15:48:15	will harry kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x587418…
08-18 15:48:12	will harry kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x326371…
08-18 06:09:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x28a8a2…
08-17 20:30:58	will harry kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xbfa3a3…
08-17 15:12:27	will harry kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf75bea…
08-17 15:12:24	will harry kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xfc5207…
08-16 15:39:31	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x7673e8…
08-16 11:57:57	will khvicha kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0f07c8…
08-16 11:57:12	will khvicha kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x99fd27…
08-15 09:31:13	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	353	88¢	$311	0x51a83d…
08-15 09:24:43	will lamine yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	187	79¢	$148	0xeade7c…
08-15 09:22:25	will lautaro martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x58fc9b…
08-15 09:21:03	will federico valverde finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0x4043b8…
08-15 09:13:52	will khvicha kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x20bdd4…
08-15 09:13:30	will khvicha kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x32c197…
08-15 09:13:04	will khvicha kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x15a421…
08-15 09:11:34	will ousmane dembele finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd3e6fd…
08-15 09:10:46	will lionel messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x54d13b…
08-12 03:35:49	OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x122e32…
08-10 11:33:00	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x01b164…
08-10 10:42:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x83b9d5…
08-10 01:56:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$71	0x2c01e7…
08-10 01:42:06	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf82efe…
08-10 01:40:42	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x42b12b…
08-10 01:33:46	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1d8f73…
08-10 00:51:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x28285d…
08-09 18:04:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0xb0de81…
08-09 15:28:37	will dominik szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe9d818…
08-09 15:24:31	will dominik szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf36873…
08-09 15:24:22	will dominik szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x44641a…
08-09 15:24:12	will dominik szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc3fe65…
08-09 15:23:57	will dominik szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5c84d4…
08-09 15:22:28	will luis diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe5a67e…
08-09 15:00:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x864596…
08-09 14:31:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x54aaf1…
08-09 11:36:43	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0x998da5…
08-09 10:51:48	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0xdb379e…
08-09 09:42:12	Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x15d4e4…
08-09 07:21:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x563ae3…
08-08 16:23:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x0807d9…
08-08 09:28:04	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x630212…
08-08 08:45:55	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x6f0517…
08-07 02:58:04	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1c4f7d…
08-03 16:54:20	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	360	63¢	$227	0xf246a6…
08-02 22:45:26	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x17defb…
08-02 22:44:45	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0899e4…
08-02 22:44:09	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd37e1b…
08-02 20:03:38	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7bf2c2…
08-02 18:58:12	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdc3ccf…
08-02 14:59:11	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01c2f4…
08-02 13:12:47	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa50b29…