Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
39
Trades
266
lifetime
Volume
$3.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$203
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-03 07:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 56% +$8
Politics
7%
Other
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +116 $105 92¢ $107 +$2 06-22 02:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -15 $-15 97¢ $-15 +$0 07-03 07:37
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -11 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 06-22 01:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 07-03 07:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +8 $6 76¢ $6 +$0 06-22 01:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-03 07:38
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 $-0 07-03 07:38
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-22 01:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-22 01:51
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-22 01:53
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-22 01:52
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-22 01:52
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? No +7 $5 51¢ $4 $-1 06-22 01:53
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 +$0 07-03 07:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 07-03 07:42
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 07-03 07:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +4 $2 61¢ $2 +$0 06-22 01:50
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +3 $2 71¢ $2 +$0 07-03 07:42
António Guterres out by December 31? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 07-03 07:44
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No +2 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 07-03 07:45