Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
open
Total volume
$2,298
$2 in 24h
Trades
98
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$13,949
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-22
last 07-17 13:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $146 | $287 | $142 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $17 | $324 | $307 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $153 | $153 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $169 | $225 | $56 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $34 | $66 | $32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $171 | $169 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $190 | $190 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $12 | $145 | $133 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $104 | $286 | $183 |
| unranked | 8 | $168 | $130 | +$38 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| False-Sightseeing 0x6790…76d7 | Yes | +279 | $25 | $295 | 3 | 07-02 01:26 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +160 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-27 03:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +108 | $97 | $311 | 9 | 07-17 13:44 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +100 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 06-26 15:17 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +93 | $25 | $176 | 9 | 07-14 18:40 |
| Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | +81 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-26 15:17 |
| Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | +66 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 07-09 02:41 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +41 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-27 03:15 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +39 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-26 15:23 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-03 03:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-29 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-09 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x853e…3527 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 03:52 |
| Elastic-Pug 0xd8f0…03a5 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-26 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 18:40 |
| Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-03 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f70…8352 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 13:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 13:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x5f70…8352 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf639e6… |
| 07-17 13:44:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf639e6… |
| 07-14 18:40:20 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7fa2c8… |
| 07-14 18:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7fa2c8… |
| 07-12 09:19:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 27 | 77¢ | $21 | 0x0e0b1f… |
| 07-12 09:19:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x0e0b1f… |
| 07-12 09:19:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 27 | 78¢ | $21 | 0x9ff6f4… |
| 07-12 09:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x9ff6f4… |
| 07-12 09:19:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x9ff6f4… |
| 07-12 08:31:20 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd020a7… |
| 07-12 08:31:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd020a7… |
| 07-11 13:00:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x101687… |
| 07-11 13:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x101687… |
| 07-09 13:31:13 | Hoarse-Evening 0xcdbc…cb61 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x53bf8d… |
| 07-09 13:31:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x53bf8d… |
| 07-09 02:41:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x5c07f9… |
| 07-09 02:41:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x5c07f9… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | SELL | 156 | 78¢ | $123 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-09 02:41:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x506f60… |
| 07-08 03:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x853e…3527 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf05cec… |
| 07-08 03:52:25 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 8 | 78¢ | $7 | 0xf05cec… |
| 07-07 04:17:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $11 | 0x13723e… |
| 07-07 04:17:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x13723e… |
| 07-07 04:17:08 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x13723e… |
| 07-06 18:29:13 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 123 | 80¢ | $98 | 0xf512a6… |
| 07-06 18:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf512a6… |
| 07-06 18:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xf512a6… |
| 07-06 18:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xf512a6… |
| 07-06 18:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | BUY | 156 | 80¢ | $125 | 0xf512a6… |
| 07-03 07:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc47e28… |
| 07-03 07:39:40 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xc47e28… |
| 07-03 03:34:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc0ad3e… |
| 07-03 03:34:44 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xc0ad3e… |
| 07-03 03:34:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc0ad3e… |
| 07-02 13:24:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x218f11… |
| 07-02 13:24:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x218f11… |
| 07-02 01:26:58 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 67 | 23¢ | $15 | 0xddbe6f… |
| 07-02 01:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 67 | 77¢ | $52 | 0xddbe6f… |
| 07-02 01:26:50 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | No | SELL | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x3d6e31… |
| 07-02 01:26:50 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x3d6e31… |
| 07-02 01:26:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xc233c7… |
| 07-02 01:26:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xc233c7… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 71 | 22¢ | $16 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 67 | 79¢ | $53 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | False-Sightseeing 0x6790…76d7 | Yes | BUY | 279 | 22¢ | $60 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 07-02 01:26:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xa3fb77… |
| 06-30 00:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x0558da… |
| 06-30 00:25:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x0558da… |
| 06-29 05:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 55 | 77¢ | $42 | 0x1b03f3… |
| 06-29 05:57:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 23¢ | $13 | 0x1b03f3… |
| 06-29 05:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xcebb1e… |
| 06-29 05:57:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xcebb1e… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 419 | 24¢ | $100 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | False-Sightseeing 0x6790…76d7 | Yes | SELL | 562 | 24¢ | $135 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 05:37:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 59 | 75¢ | $44 | 0x53a0ee… |
| 06-29 02:22:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x327dbc… |
| 06-29 02:22:56 | Glaring-Farrow 0x0882…15b9 | No | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $18 | 0x327dbc… |
| 06-28 13:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x264f…cd38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xfa9c2b… |
| 06-28 13:05:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xfa9c2b… |
| 06-27 03:15:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 16 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x8a19dc… |
| 06-27 03:15:31 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 126 | 71¢ | $90 | 0x8a19dc… |
| 06-27 03:15:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x8a19dc… |
| 06-27 03:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x264f…cd38 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8a19dc… |
| 06-27 03:15:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 62 | 72¢ | $45 | 0x8a19dc… |
| 06-26 22:53:43 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x9b7ef4… |
| 06-26 22:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x264f…cd38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9b7ef4… |
| 06-26 16:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x264f…cd38 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x3d6d35… |
| 06-26 16:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x3d6d35… |
| 06-26 16:02:55 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 34 | 79¢ | $27 | 0x3d6d35… |
| 06-26 15:23:37 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 39 | 69¢ | $27 | 0xc9658c… |
| 06-26 15:23:37 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 39 | 69¢ | $27 | 0xc9658c… |
| 06-26 15:23:35 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x51dfe7… |
| 06-26 15:23:35 | Elastic-Pug 0xd8f0…03a5 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x51dfe7… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 187 | 82¢ | $153 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | False-Sightseeing 0x6790…76d7 | Yes | BUY | 562 | 18¢ | $100 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 47 | 82¢ | $38 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 81 | 83¢ | $67 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-26 15:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 48 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x33ee91… |
| 06-22 00:54:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xba311a… |
| 06-22 00:54:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xba311a… |
| 06-22 00:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x264f…cd38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4ca28a… |
| 06-22 00:53:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x4ca28a… |