Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

189

Trades

2,370

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-29 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

50% 28% -$30

Sports

39% 9% -$47

Politics

5% 22% +$1

Crypto

4% 17% -$18

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	+1	-$5	70¢	$0	+$5	09-28 12:28
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+3	$2	13¢	$0	-$2	06-30 09:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	5¢	$0	$0	08-06 20:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	50¢	$0	$0	08-05 22:00
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	34¢	$0	$0	06-24 07:56
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	06-20 22:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+0	$0	1¢	$0	$0	08-19 02:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	333	$525	2,578	2,574	+5	Yes	+$5	06-26 00:16
will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	49	$187	190	187	+3	Yes	+$3	07-11 23:05
Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	162	$100	776	773	+3	No	-$1	06-26 15:43
will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	32	$96	218	182	+36	No	-$6	07-05 21:42
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	27	$90	104	103	+0	No	-$1	07-30 00:35
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	27	$85	144	140	+5	open	—	08-05 22:31
will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	20	$72	79	79	+0	Yes	$0	07-12 03:43
will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	22	$69	53	53	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 13:37
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	14	$64	70	70	+0	open	—	07-31 01:20
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	34	$63	339	338	+2	No	-$1	07-31 21:58
Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?	149	$58	5,831	5,831	+0	No	-$1	06-28 12:45
labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	13	$47	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	06-22 08:36
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	15	$47	65	65	+0	open	—	09-05 16:43
wimbledon 2026 will serena and venus williams win a doubles match 20260618154247220	18	$46	52	47	+4	cancelled	+$13	07-04 17:03
will harry kane score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337381	15	$46	271	44	+227	Yes	-$11	07-01 17:49
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	15	$41	46	45	+1	open	—	09-28 12:28
will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12b 20260618015333982	9	$38	34	29	+5	Yes	+$2	07-11 06:16
world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	21	$36	91	86	+5	No	-$4	06-24 05:31
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	12	$36	45	45	+0	open	—	07-31 02:18
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	8	$32	36	36	+0	No	-$1	07-08 16:32
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	89	$32	858	630	+229	No	+$1	09-11 15:51
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	20	$31	71	60	+11	No	+$10	07-08 08:52
will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by december 31 20260602182956656	7	$31	23	20	+4	open	—	07-02 22:58
will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt65b 20260618022527838	10	$30	28	25	+3	No	+$0	07-11 11:48
will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 8pt9b 20260618021658042	10	$30	33	30	+4	Yes	-$2	07-10 10:05
will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	8	$28	42	40	+2	No	-$2	06-29 11:12
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	6	$27	22	21	+0	open	—	07-02 05:55
fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 01 2026 4pt45	10	$26	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	06-28 18:12
will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	7	$26	36	35	+1	No	-$1	06-21 11:58
will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	7	$25	29	28	+0	No	-$5	07-09 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:50:04	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x01808e…
09-28 12:28:00	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xe075e0…
09-18 02:09:57	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda5631…
09-18 02:09:57	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbe456d…
09-18 02:09:57	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	0¢	$0	0x5a810b…
09-18 02:08:54	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb291d7…
09-18 02:08:48	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe2bb93…
09-16 16:03:12	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x3c0c08…
09-16 00:44:06	Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x821729…
09-15 04:03:06	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0bc844…
09-15 04:02:06	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1a13b7…
09-12 20:57:04	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x532eff…
09-12 20:55:57	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xd600bd…
09-12 20:55:48	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xd34299…
09-12 03:24:04	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x216b01…
09-12 03:23:58	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9a3627…
09-11 21:14:25	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0db9b5…
09-11 21:14:25	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x072878…
09-11 21:14:24	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6de810…
09-11 15:51:25	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xac1860…
09-05 16:43:34	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x7d6241…
09-05 01:02:54	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x5dc052…
09-04 21:13:21	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x8b7261…
09-04 19:48:45	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x713e9c…
09-03 17:02:34	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x1daa4d…
09-03 17:02:30	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xcc38e7…
09-01 15:45:39	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbb382e…
09-01 15:45:06	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0a4dca…
08-31 17:13:48	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8711ae…
08-30 16:53:57	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3449f8…
08-29 00:56:04	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbfe0a7…
08-29 00:10:21	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb25f37…
08-28 06:32:09	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c4723…
08-28 01:05:03	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf31cae…
08-28 01:05:03	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1ff466…
08-28 00:31:42	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x382f03…
08-27 14:47:39	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x7b1ac9…
08-25 22:16:54	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb49c6a…
08-25 21:56:03	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc8068b…
08-25 21:55:54	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x32924b…
08-25 21:27:46	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xad047c…
08-25 10:21:27	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xc4f4e5…
08-25 10:13:27	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xf1bdee…
08-25 10:00:27	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe82ccc…
08-22 20:30:39	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4c6ba2…
08-20 07:08:24	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3059af…
08-20 00:28:31	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb85bba…
08-19 02:58:46	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xdbf4e3…
08-18 13:21:37	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1028c2…
08-18 00:18:01	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x05df69…
08-17 22:15:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x6b9823…
08-17 08:32:21	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xbf2aca…
08-16 13:26:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x20ddd3…
08-16 06:15:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x1d4ec1…
08-15 19:12:43	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7a810b…
08-15 19:01:52	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xedc782…
08-15 18:30:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x259ddf…
08-15 13:43:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x7473b0…
08-15 13:43:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2dccda…
08-15 13:28:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x6f42f8…
08-15 13:28:13	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd555af…
08-15 05:29:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x78696f…
08-13 23:14:21	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x601cd3…
08-13 22:54:34	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7579f9…
08-13 22:54:34	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x43e254…
08-13 22:54:24	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0xccd065…
08-13 22:54:24	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xc9549e…
08-13 22:54:24	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1189ec…
08-13 22:54:22	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb60781…
08-13 12:06:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x6e2c26…
08-13 11:59:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x5b950e…
08-13 03:33:46	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x71e559…
08-12 20:03:45	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xc490bc…
08-12 16:13:51	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd9d6e1…
08-12 05:44:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xd774bb…
08-12 05:40:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x644b91…
08-12 05:36:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x83523d…
08-12 05:33:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xa1367e…
08-12 05:26:51	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x67d2fa…
08-12 05:23:15	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x731aee…
08-12 05:23:09	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb665a0…
08-12 03:50:46	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf06a0f…
08-12 03:50:42	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x195ffd…
08-12 03:50:36	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe21407…
08-12 03:50:27	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc7fedf…
08-12 03:50:25	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x51a95b…
08-12 01:42:15	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xffadde…
08-11 23:35:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x7857a2…
08-11 22:57:43	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc0eaf4…
08-11 22:54:52	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xc8c7a9…
08-11 22:29:45	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x5901ae…
08-11 22:08:43	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe8e3eb…
08-11 19:18:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xd4be33…
08-11 12:41:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3e168f…
08-11 10:05:28	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb87a0b…
08-11 07:39:48	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x51fd5b…
08-11 07:06:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x57a47d…
08-11 07:06:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x1f65ba…
08-11 07:06:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfb22a1…
08-11 02:33:31	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xf1014e…