Frosty-Employer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$595

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

1,086

Trades

2,514

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 09-29 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

58% 17% -$444

Politics

21% 9% -$35

Crypto

16% 46% -$103

Sports

3% 22% -$13

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-0	$0	3¢	$-0	+$0	05-07 11:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	17	$282	400	400	+0	No	-$1	07-02 09:45
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	8	$253	150	150	+0	open	—	06-30 09:55
Will Progressistas (PP) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	6	$241	136	136	+0	No	-$1	06-22 11:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	45	$213	192	180	+12	No	+$23	04-07 14:49
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	14	$198	185	185	+0	open	—	07-02 19:37
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	6	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	06-22 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?	12	$185	169	169	+0	No	-$1	06-20 18:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	46	$175	144	145	-1	No	+$5	04-12 18:26
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?	4	$157	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-26 10:33
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$135	122	122	+0	Yes	-$3	06-23 17:17
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	4	$131	75	75	+0	No	-$1	07-22 10:39
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	4	$127	92	92	+0	No	-$1	07-10 11:42
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	2	$124	100	100	+0	open	—	08-03 00:12
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	6	$117	120	120	+0	No	$0	08-22 05:16
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	8	$114	120	120	+0	No	-$3	06-22 17:31
Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	7	$106	80	80	+0	Yes	-$18	07-23 02:52
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	7	$105	120	120	+0	open	—	07-03 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	13	$104	138	109	+29	No	-$2	09-28 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	6	$100	111	111	+0	Yes	-$2	06-21 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 18?	7	$99	80	80	+0	No	-$2	07-17 14:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	11	$93	92	92	+0	No	-$3	09-25 11:41
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	5	$91	55	55	+0	No	-$1	07-17 11:18
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	2	$87	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-27 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?	10	$87	92	92	+0	No	-$1	07-16 13:32
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	4	$84	60	60	+0	No	-$3	06-24 14:56
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$81	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:28
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	07-22 16:09
Will Dallas Flash win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	7	$79	80	80	+0	No	$0	07-15 20:35
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$79	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-25 16:57
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 16:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 30?	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x38f09f…
09-29 16:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xc3a8bc…
09-29 16:11:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x69d3a9…
09-29 16:10:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x45e631…
09-29 16:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0xc8ed18…
09-29 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xaa1b84…
09-29 15:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xf4831b…
09-29 15:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xa844b9…
09-29 14:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x28967f…
09-29 14:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xe53585…
09-29 14:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x6a4eb7…
09-29 14:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xfabb1c…
09-29 11:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?	No	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x71fdce…
09-29 11:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x876f18…
09-29 11:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x779c18…
09-28 20:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	SELL	76	34¢	$26	0x02ee3a…
09-28 19:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xf0eb41…
09-28 19:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf5bf87…
09-28 19:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x8d761b…
09-28 19:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xbbe39f…
09-28 19:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x33e3d8…
09-28 19:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x7ce3ab…
09-28 19:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xd55679…
09-28 19:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x256657…
09-28 19:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x0dd275…
09-28 19:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa83847…
09-28 19:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xbc801f…
09-28 19:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x4e6ab5…
09-25 15:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa93529…
09-25 15:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x21d1ed…
09-25 15:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x72fcc9…
09-25 15:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x76e747…
09-25 15:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1bf2e8…
09-25 11:41:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x0e00ec…
09-25 11:39:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x816a16…
09-25 11:39:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	SELL	36	54¢	$20	0xa05337…
09-25 11:39:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x2c363c…
09-25 11:38:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc4076c…
09-25 11:31:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x83a9bf…
09-25 11:31:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfbaa4f…
09-25 11:31:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0xcc171a…
09-25 11:30:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xcd7184…
09-25 11:30:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcc4703…
09-25 11:30:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xf00c0a…
09-24 06:08:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xb28aaa…
09-23 21:53:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x975075…
09-23 21:52:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xd3d074…
09-23 21:52:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x54cb3a…
09-23 21:52:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x2de496…
09-23 21:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x2f1ffc…
09-23 21:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x9a5637…
09-23 21:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x461713…
09-23 21:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x820130…
09-23 21:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x56938a…
09-23 21:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x532932…
09-23 20:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2945b2…
09-23 20:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x862c3e…
09-23 17:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x7b15ea…
09-23 17:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb6ab4a…
09-23 17:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9c4a1e…
09-23 17:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x43ad27…
09-23 17:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x058a5f…
09-23 17:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xbdd3aa…
09-23 17:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x8fa25a…
09-23 17:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	No	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x58c38c…
09-21 17:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x1c8615…
09-21 17:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb7c2f4…
09-21 17:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0xbf687b…
09-21 17:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe809e3…
09-21 12:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x73e229…
09-21 12:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x05b308…
09-21 12:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3a0502…
09-21 12:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xca3095…
09-21 11:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x847940…
09-21 11:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9ed4d8…
09-21 10:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x266e4d…
09-21 10:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x145baf…
09-21 10:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xfeb76b…
09-21 10:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x81f33e…
09-21 10:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x721a98…
09-21 10:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x60cef6…
09-21 10:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaec8fd…
09-21 10:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0b7dc…
09-21 10:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xab0e8a…
09-21 10:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63bdd5…
09-21 10:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x907ff1…
09-21 10:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x824734…
09-21 10:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xae6cdc…
09-21 10:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x5656cc…
09-21 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x003523…
09-20 21:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 22?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x5d02b5…
09-20 21:54:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 21?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x91165b…
09-20 21:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 22?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xb84e7b…
09-20 21:53:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$8	0x7a6977…
09-20 21:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcc554e…
09-20 21:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x0a7458…
09-20 20:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xcadc93…
09-20 16:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xea154a…
09-20 16:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa69fdc…
09-20 16:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x6ef984…