Frosty-Employer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

329

Trades

1,048

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-30 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 51% +$11

Other

18% 0% $-1

Politics

11% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	8	$253	150	150	+0	open	—	06-30 09:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	45	$213	192	180	+12	open	—	04-07 14:49
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	6	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	06-22 14:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	46	$175	144	145	-1	open	—	04-12 18:26
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	06-26 09:16
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 15:40
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 57forbelow	10	$32	694	0	+694	open	—	04-04 15:10
Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 22:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	9	$30	48	43	+5	open	—	04-09 10:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	10	$26	25	23	+1	open	—	04-12 07:26
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 20:00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	6	$21	22	17	+6	open	—	04-09 08:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 09:26
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	4	$19	35	35	+0	open	—	06-26 06:10
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	3	$15	60	60	+0	open	—	06-26 12:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	5	$15	29	19	+10	open	—	04-07 16:09
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-04 13:06
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-03 21:47
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	8	$14	250	350	-100	open	—	04-04 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 04:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	2	$12	37	35	+2	open	—	04-04 17:28
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 70 71f	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 17:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	3	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-04 19:09
bitcoin above 68k on april 6	2	$11	18	17	+1	open	—	04-04 19:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	8	$10	56	55	+1	open	—	04-04 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$10	15	5	+10	Up	$-0	05-10 07:32
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	2	$10	13	12	+1	open	—	04-04 19:09
ethereum above 2100 on april 5	6	$10	62	62	+0	open	—	04-04 15:05
bitcoin above 70k on april 5	3	$10	227	227	-0	open	—	04-04 14:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:31:07	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x397a1a…
06-30 22:30:58	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbad822…
06-30 09:55:35	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0xbf71fb…
06-30 09:52:22	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x68e4f5…
06-30 09:51:53	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xf2fb7a…
06-30 09:51:37	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x469c29…
06-30 09:51:23	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x16e818…
06-30 09:51:20	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x902724…
06-30 09:51:16	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x25ae03…
06-30 09:51:13	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xdb1e68…
06-26 12:10:23	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xb0cb9a…
06-26 12:10:16	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9918c1…
06-26 12:10:13	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xf5e8dd…
06-26 09:16:38	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xadc5b0…
06-26 09:16:22	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xc13392…
06-26 09:13:49	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xa8ab07…
06-26 09:13:26	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x82b3bd…
06-26 06:10:47	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x256df8…
06-26 06:10:40	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x543d64…
06-26 06:10:37	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x882850…
06-26 06:10:32	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe4acbc…
06-25 15:40:10	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xced115…
06-25 15:36:11	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x48196e…
06-23 20:00:04	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x7738c1…
06-23 19:50:59	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x54e39b…
06-22 14:20:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x3a6512…
06-22 14:20:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x833f8f…
06-22 14:19:47	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xe96cd9…
06-22 14:19:11	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfbfe6d…
06-22 13:18:13	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xbc321f…
06-22 13:10:07	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x1f78ad…
06-08 14:57:04	btc updown 15m 1780929900	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd05552…
06-08 14:42:25	btc updown 15m 1780929000	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4d4a63…
06-08 14:28:00	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcc2b17…
06-08 14:12:06	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf7f5ba…
06-08 13:27:03	xrp updown 15m 1780924500	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xde27f1…
06-08 07:12:06	sol updown 15m 1780902000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9abe1f…
06-07 23:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780874100	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xd756bb…
06-07 22:42:03	sol updown 15m 1780871400	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xff9ae9…
06-07 20:42:03	sol updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb3296a…
06-07 13:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780839900	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x823c9d…
06-07 10:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780829100	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x372b50…
06-07 07:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780818300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x649bcd…
06-07 07:12:04	sol updown 15m 1780815600	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9ecdcb…
06-07 03:27:04	xrp updown 15m 1780802100	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4b87ea…
06-07 03:12:03	xrp updown 15m 1780801200	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x07823b…
06-07 02:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780799400	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa85971…
06-07 01:57:04	sol updown 15m 1780796700	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdb9c4d…
06-06 23:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780789500	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x61071f…
06-06 21:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780780500	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5465a7…
06-06 20:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780778700	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7e6db9…
06-06 18:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780771500	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x569265…
06-06 16:12:03	xrp updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd6771c…
06-06 13:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780753500	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf0c36b…
06-06 13:42:03	xrp updown 15m 1780752600	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2925dc…
06-06 12:42:04	xrp updown 15m 1780749000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb0b4c3…
06-05 22:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780699500	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6de3d3…
06-05 21:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780694100	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbb5c47…
06-05 18:12:03	xrp updown 15m 1780682400	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd6d37f…
06-05 15:57:04	sol updown 15m 1780674300	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x35769f…
06-05 12:57:04	sol updown 15m 1780663500	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe1b6ed…
06-05 11:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe18805…
06-05 05:27:04	sol updown 15m 1780636500	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x56bcd1…
06-04 21:12:04	sol updown 15m 1780606800	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5c8ca6…
06-04 20:27:03	xrp updown 15m 1780604100	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf59709…
06-04 18:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780598700	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2796ed…
06-04 18:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780597800	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc33794…
06-04 16:27:03	xrp updown 15m 1780589700	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5b4ab1…
06-04 04:12:04	xrp updown 15m 1780545600	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x20371b…
06-04 03:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780544700	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x56ad11…
06-04 03:27:03	xrp updown 15m 1780542900	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd53985…
06-03 23:42:03	sol updown 15m 1780529400	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8255e7…
06-03 21:42:03	xrp updown 15m 1780522200	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xadd8aa…
06-03 20:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x29fc8a…
06-03 14:12:04	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x656212…
06-03 10:27:02	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbeb935…
06-03 09:12:03	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb883c8…
06-03 08:42:02	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9a4747…
06-03 06:12:04	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xea947e…
06-03 05:42:03	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x860466…
06-03 02:57:05	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x781889…
06-03 02:57:03	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x723468…
05-30 07:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf7ab33…
05-30 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x64ee60…
05-29 19:00:10	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5aed1…
05-29 18:45:34	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1971b4…
05-29 17:45:32	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb12b49…
05-29 17:33:49	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x30bf49…
05-29 17:15:02	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa02f3e…
05-29 17:02:45	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9bbb79…
05-29 17:00:00	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0edfe…
05-29 16:45:20	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xade444…
05-29 16:30:42	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x84b1cf…
05-29 16:15:54	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5a9624…
05-29 13:46:08	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9490ca…
05-29 08:46:08	bnb updown 15m 1780044300	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xedabf9…
05-29 08:31:34	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6b7f5b…
05-29 08:30:47	doge updown 15m 1780043400	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x705c1e…
05-29 08:00:22	bnb updown 15m 1780041600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2dc6a5…
05-29 07:46:01	doge updown 15m 1780040700	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf32ba0…