Frosty-Employer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

329

Trades

1,095

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-17 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 51% +$11

Other

25% 0% $-1

Politics

9% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	8	$253	150	150	+0	open	—	06-30 09:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	45	$213	192	180	+12	open	—	04-07 14:49
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	6	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	06-22 14:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	46	$175	144	145	-1	open	—	04-12 18:26
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 01:26
pltr up or down on july 16 2026	9	$74	80	80	+0	open	—	07-16 12:21
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	3	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	07-01 16:12
rklb up or down on july 16 2026	6	$53	60	46	+14	open	—	07-16 14:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	06-26 09:16
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	7	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	07-09 11:19
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 15:40
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 57forbelow	10	$32	694	0	+694	open	—	04-04 15:10
Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 22:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	9	$30	48	43	+5	open	—	04-09 10:10
will discord ipo by october 31 2026 20260626190538047	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 08:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	10	$26	25	23	+1	open	—	04-12 07:26
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 20:00
sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 11:56
Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	07-07 15:39
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	6	$21	22	17	+6	open	—	04-09 08:00
abnb up or down on july 16 2026	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 13:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 09:26
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	4	$19	35	35	+0	open	—	06-26 06:10
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	6	$18	43	43	+0	open	—	07-16 10:47
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	3	$15	60	60	+0	open	—	06-26 12:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	5	$15	29	19	+10	open	—	04-07 16:09
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-04 13:06
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-03 21:47
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	8	$14	250	350	-100	open	—	04-04 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 08:07:54	will discord ipo by october 31 2026 20260626190538047	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xdcded1…
07-17 05:20:27	will discord ipo by october 31 2026 20260626190538047	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb9681a…
07-16 14:16:59	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x45345a…
07-16 13:52:01	abnb up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x0469fc…
07-16 13:30:01	abnb up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf68158…
07-16 12:44:38	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x81a472…
07-16 12:44:37	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1346ae…
07-16 12:44:28	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x71faa9…
07-16 12:21:37	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xde0a2d…
07-16 12:21:28	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb6d52d…
07-16 11:56:10	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x2dce04…
07-16 11:49:59	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcc2718…
07-16 11:49:59	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xaab89a…
07-16 11:02:38	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x09acca…
07-16 11:02:28	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xdbf5d4…
07-16 11:02:25	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0b1bd3…
07-16 11:02:23	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6d09e1…
07-16 11:02:22	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x72cb05…
07-16 11:02:22	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1c3663…
07-16 11:02:22	rklb up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0b40a4…
07-16 10:47:38	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x312b7d…
07-16 10:47:34	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3d884a…
07-16 10:11:22	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x116af1…
07-16 10:11:04	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4d47bc…
07-16 09:58:59	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x403643…
07-16 09:35:32	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xff11db…
07-16 08:37:20	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9e20b5…
07-09 11:19:10	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6cc171…
07-09 11:19:02	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9e297a…
07-09 11:19:01	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xdb4046…
07-09 11:18:53	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x5d0a44…
07-09 11:18:44	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x792243…
07-09 10:45:05	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x1cd0d5…
07-09 10:44:56	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x49d13f…
07-07 15:39:13	Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 80.5	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xdbff01…
07-07 15:38:59	Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 80.5	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf00366…
07-07 10:44:58	Will the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 78.5	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x6c1ea1…
07-07 10:44:52	Will the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 78.5	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x04e122…
07-06 16:09:40	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 78.5	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x729a65…
07-06 16:09:34	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 78.5	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe2a6ef…
07-02 12:51:47	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x2ae579…
07-02 12:51:41	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x01e21e…
07-02 01:26:50	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x3d6e31…
07-02 01:26:43	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xa3fb77…
07-01 16:12:26	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0x70abde…
07-01 16:11:56	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x7b65e5…
07-01 16:11:53	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x295e79…
06-30 22:31:07	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x397a1a…
06-30 22:30:58	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbad822…
06-30 09:55:35	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0xbf71fb…
06-30 09:52:22	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x68e4f5…
06-30 09:51:53	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xf2fb7a…
06-30 09:51:37	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x469c29…
06-30 09:51:23	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x16e818…
06-30 09:51:20	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x902724…
06-30 09:51:16	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x25ae03…
06-30 09:51:13	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xdb1e68…
06-26 12:10:23	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xb0cb9a…
06-26 12:10:16	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9918c1…
06-26 12:10:13	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xf5e8dd…
06-26 09:16:38	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xadc5b0…
06-26 09:16:22	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xc13392…
06-26 09:13:49	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xa8ab07…
06-26 09:13:26	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x82b3bd…
06-26 06:10:47	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x256df8…
06-26 06:10:40	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x543d64…
06-26 06:10:37	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x882850…
06-26 06:10:32	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe4acbc…
06-25 15:40:10	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xced115…
06-25 15:36:11	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x48196e…
06-23 20:00:04	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x7738c1…
06-23 19:50:59	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x54e39b…
06-22 14:20:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x3a6512…
06-22 14:20:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x833f8f…
06-22 14:19:47	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xe96cd9…
06-22 14:19:11	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfbfe6d…
06-22 13:18:13	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xbc321f…
06-22 13:10:07	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x1f78ad…
06-08 14:57:04	btc updown 15m 1780929900	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd05552…
06-08 14:42:25	btc updown 15m 1780929000	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4d4a63…
06-08 14:28:00	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcc2b17…
06-08 14:12:06	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf7f5ba…
06-08 13:27:03	xrp updown 15m 1780924500	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xde27f1…
06-08 07:12:06	sol updown 15m 1780902000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9abe1f…
06-07 23:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780874100	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xd756bb…
06-07 22:42:03	sol updown 15m 1780871400	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xff9ae9…
06-07 20:42:03	sol updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb3296a…
06-07 13:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780839900	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x823c9d…
06-07 10:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780829100	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x372b50…
06-07 07:57:03	sol updown 15m 1780818300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x649bcd…
06-07 07:12:04	sol updown 15m 1780815600	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9ecdcb…
06-07 03:27:04	xrp updown 15m 1780802100	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4b87ea…
06-07 03:12:03	xrp updown 15m 1780801200	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x07823b…
06-07 02:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780799400	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa85971…
06-07 01:57:04	sol updown 15m 1780796700	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdb9c4d…
06-06 23:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780789500	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x61071f…
06-06 21:27:03	sol updown 15m 1780780500	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5465a7…
06-06 20:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780778700	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7e6db9…
06-06 18:57:03	xrp updown 15m 1780771500	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x569265…
06-06 16:12:03	xrp updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd6771c…