Elastic-Pug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,478

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-26 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 65% +$10

Sports

7% 40% $-16

Other

5% 47% $-18

Politics

1% 100% +$9

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	No		+8	$6	80¢	$6	+$0	06-26 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1774251000	46	$411	844	+844	open	—	03-23 07:32
sol updown 15m 1774251900	15	$150	326	+326	open	—	03-23 07:56
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	6	$150	306	+306	open	—	03-23 12:04
btc updown 15m 1774311300	16	$150	306	+306	open	—	03-24 00:23
btc updown 5m 1774312500	9	$150	306	+306	open	—	03-24 00:37
btc updown 15m 1774251900	12	$150	338	+338	open	—	03-23 07:53
eth updown 15m 1774251900	10	$147	440	+440	open	—	03-23 07:57
eth updown 15m 1774266300	13	$114	201	+201	open	—	03-23 11:52
btc updown 15m 1774312200	5	$111	228	+228	open	—	03-24 00:41
eth updown 15m 1774312200	2	$111	227	+227	open	—	03-24 00:40
btc updown 15m 1774317600	9	$100	205	+205	open	—	03-24 02:10
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 9pm et	6	$80	163	+163	open	—	03-24 01:37
btc updown 15m 1774250100	19	$75	1,500	+1,500	open	—	03-23 07:26
xrp updown 15m 1774251900	27	$75	500	+500	open	—	03-23 07:57
eth updown 15m 1774250100	129	$73	7,348	+7,348	open	—	03-23 07:28
xrp updown 15m 1774314000	21	$71	146	+146	open	—	03-24 01:09
eth updown 15m 1774314000	14	$71	146	+146	open	—	03-24 01:10
sol updown 15m 1774314000	15	$71	146	+146	open	—	03-24 01:09
btc updown 15m 1774314000	6	$71	147	+147	open	—	03-24 01:09
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	5	$55	153	+153	open	—	03-23 12:07
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	6	$47	96	+96	open	—	03-29 22:55
xrp updown 15m 1774317600	1	$42	102	+102	open	—	03-24 02:08
nhl las wpg 2026 03 24	2	$41	84	+84	open	—	03-24 22:28
eth updown 4h 1775217600	3	$37	80	+80	open	—	04-03 12:28
solana up or down march 25 2026 10am et	4	$37	87	+87	open	—	03-25 14:12
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	3	$36	79	+79	open	—	03-24 15:01
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	4	$35	71	+71	open	—	03-29 14:22
btc updown 15m 1774363500	7	$31	83	+83	open	—	03-24 15:01
sol updown 15m 1775216700	8	$31	73	+73	open	—	04-03 11:59
sol updown 4h 1776542400	2	$30	64	+64	open	—	04-18 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 15:23:35	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x51dfe7…
05-30 04:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x6b7ea5…
05-30 04:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4030f5…
05-29 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5a33f5…
05-29 03:53:46	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x6f8a07…
05-17 10:18:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x80f070…
05-17 10:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xfb8d97…
05-16 07:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4f627a…
05-16 07:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd56cd5…
05-16 06:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xfd2d26…
05-16 06:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf7f78d…
05-14 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6aaa99…
05-14 13:44:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xdbb72b…
05-14 13:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4b0ba4…
05-13 01:56:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb1f8c7…
05-12 15:28:22	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6d9fe2…
05-12 15:23:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x50d64b…
05-12 15:11:48	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x7101a7…
05-12 15:07:01	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x488a1a…
05-12 15:00:55	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcdc8dc…
05-12 14:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8e2116…
05-12 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xbe524b…
05-12 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5afd27…
05-12 13:47:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xa8a3e6…
05-12 10:53:51	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xdde347…
05-11 15:40:25	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	paiN	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x416f41…
05-11 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x13ff53…
05-11 15:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x70ddb3…
05-11 15:26:53	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xda40fc…
05-11 06:52:27	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x07caad…
05-11 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x8af920…
05-10 08:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3a2ff9…
05-10 08:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x2fb455…
05-10 08:34:53	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9b148f…
05-10 08:34:24	Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	magic	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xe6fa2f…
05-09 09:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfedd54…
05-09 09:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x26f001…
05-09 09:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd7b8b7…
05-09 07:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3235ea…
05-08 18:54:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x76634b…
05-08 17:09:14	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x249a6d…
05-08 17:02:25	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdfa5de…
05-08 08:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea5f78…
05-08 08:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0ff549…
05-08 01:28:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9373bc…
05-08 00:58:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xbdd8e5…
05-08 00:48:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfe91ff…
05-08 00:48:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2b588e…
05-07 23:40:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x161746…
05-07 22:05:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc3d255…
05-07 19:46:55	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x72edd9…
05-07 18:27:42	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x1ef538…
05-07 16:23:39	LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 Winner	Galions	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc11172…
05-07 13:08:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Roman Andres Burruchaga	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xcb113d…
05-07 13:07:48	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xd65e59…
05-07 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xdd907b…
05-07 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x07c388…
05-07 10:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5ec59b…
05-07 08:39:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x92bca3…
05-07 08:37:44	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x9839f0…
05-07 08:35:33	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x728422…
05-07 08:34:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x688773…
05-07 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xfd2930…
05-07 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xa6e808…
05-04 15:12:20	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5ac8f3…
05-04 08:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf21f71…
05-04 03:08:34	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x28792b…
05-04 02:52:24	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x362845…
05-03 09:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x3b132a…
05-03 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9740aa…
05-03 08:57:44	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x51d41e…
05-03 07:24:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb6b772…
05-03 07:24:36	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2e7810…
05-02 03:39:34	Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	FULL SENSE	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x80800e…
05-02 03:15:18	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x4aadac…
05-02 00:46:44	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xcf827e…
05-02 00:43:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd0364f…
05-01 23:54:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x74459f…
05-01 19:04:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7a7a82…
05-01 15:02:56	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x39cc4b…
05-01 13:45:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8ba40d…
05-01 13:45:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x20315e…
05-01 13:29:20	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0d218c…
05-01 13:17:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xef5d93…
05-01 12:12:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x605afe…
05-01 11:36:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x557933…
05-01 08:31:42	LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc93b0e…
05-01 07:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x8412da…
05-01 07:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4c075f…
05-01 07:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb24e59…
05-01 02:58:18	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x958c77…
04-30 07:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xde93cd…
04-30 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x4d59c4…
04-30 05:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xabcce7…
04-30 05:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x0f5624…
04-28 08:00:12	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8ab289…
04-28 02:56:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x338558…
04-28 01:50:18	1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x570958…
04-26 12:35:58	UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x805719…
04-26 08:12:50	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x216520…