Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 7?
closed
Total volume
$1,044
$11,751 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-32.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $335
vs crowd: 33% YES on $923)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $335 | $334 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $301 | $286 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $335 | $335 |
| Median | 5 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $122 | $122 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $300 | — | +$300 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $148 | $148 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | Yes | +1,999 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +373 | $335 | $335 | 5 | 05-08 00:19 |
| Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | +148 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-08 03:59 |
| Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 20:16 |
| Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 09:14 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:05 |
| Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x09bf…7aeb | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 02:17 |
| Dismal-Jaguar-Miter 0x9aa8…ff16 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 03:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x13ce…f9ff | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x029ffc… |
| 05-08 03:59:27 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | BUY | 148 | 100¢ | $148 | 0x153879… |
| 05-08 02:17:29 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5c1c0a… |
| 05-08 01:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x09bf…7aeb | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x0c488b… |
| 05-08 01:27:24 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfcb49a… |
| 05-08 00:19:44 | Dismal-Jaguar-Miter 0x9aa8…ff16 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xfd3327… |
| 05-08 00:19:44 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 89 | 94¢ | $84 | 0x35dcf5… |
| 05-07 23:16:21 | Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6e0436… |
| 05-07 22:05:22 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc3d255… |
| 05-07 21:19:17 | Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 15¢ | $150 | 0x977c64… |
| 05-07 21:18:31 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x213383… |
| 05-07 21:18:26 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x3e22a4… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 15¢ | $150 | 0x1db45b… |
| 05-07 21:01:26 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 104 | 88¢ | $91 | 0xba9f10… |
| 05-07 20:16:45 | Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa9b296… |
| 05-07 13:56:39 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x75c9a5… |
| 05-07 09:14:49 | Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56d4ce… |
| 05-07 09:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x343de0… |
| 05-07 09:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb4c1bc… |
| 05-07 09:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x93f6ed… |
| 05-07 09:03:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x41ef87… |
| 05-07 09:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x20404e… |
| 05-07 09:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x587180… |
| 05-07 09:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf1269b… |
| 05-07 08:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x74671d… |
| 05-07 08:59:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x015765… |
| 05-07 08:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa89e86… |
| 05-07 08:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3f9a03… |
| 05-07 08:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x27c215… |
| 05-07 08:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2cef7e… |
| 05-07 08:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7d5a18… |
| 05-07 08:54:59 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x75d426… |
| 05-07 08:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd9b4d6… |
| 05-07 08:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x896059… |
| 05-07 08:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7670e8… |
| 05-07 08:53:14 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xaad6ce… |
| 05-07 08:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x84a24d… |
| 05-07 08:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x88db39… |
| 05-07 08:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x03881c… |
| 05-07 08:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x4c1f90… |
| 05-07 08:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x8b12a0… |
| 05-07 08:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x7665e8… |
| 05-07 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x480268… |
| 05-07 08:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x541401… |
| 05-07 08:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x9adf60… |
| 05-07 08:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x6cf629… |
| 05-07 08:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x0bf08e… |
| 05-07 08:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5a6cad… |
| 05-07 08:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x2fc6e9… |
| 05-07 08:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x609d68… |
| 05-07 08:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x876012… |
| 05-07 08:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8878cf… |
| 05-07 08:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa448fa… |
| 05-07 08:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x1f355e… |
| 05-07 08:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xf52538… |
| 05-07 08:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xc3f40f… |
| 05-07 08:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x2d958d… |
| 05-07 08:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x8734b6… |
| 05-07 08:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x6661c2… |
| 05-07 08:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xbf63c9… |
| 05-07 08:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x59c576… |
| 05-07 08:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x6e987e… |