Grandiose-Beard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

682

Trades

1,382

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-15 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

78% 89% -$24

Sports

15% 72% -$37

Crypto

5% 86% -$23

Politics

2% 82% -$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9	$118	76	76	+0	MOUZ	+$0	05-10 11:38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	15	$115	123	123	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	-$7	05-08 04:28
Lakers vs. Thunder	10	$105	120	76	+44	Thunder	-$13	05-08 03:55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner	8	$92	50	50	+0	Team Falcons	-$1	05-09 13:45
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	12	$87	64	34	+29	Cleveland Guardians	+$3	05-07 21:11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	10	$84	118	88	+29	Miami Marlins	+$4	05-08 01:15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$82	45	45	+0	TheMongolz	+$9	05-11 09:38
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao	24	$78	110	73	+36	Xinxin Yao	-$8	05-08 06:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$76	75	38	+37	No	+$13	05-11 13:06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$74	38	38	+0	Team Falcons	+$2	05-11 09:37
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?	6	$74	38	38	+0	No	+$2	05-10 19:52
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	12	$73	51	45	+6	Colorado Rockies	-$17	05-09 01:55
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	10	$73	46	33	+13	Ducks	+$2	05-11 04:27
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$1	05-10 15:04
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	13	$72	38	38	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-10 00:47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner	6	$70	39	39	+0	Team Falcons	-$2	05-11 09:37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovic	6	$68	40	40	+0	Iva Jovic	-$2	05-07 21:36
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	9	$65	95	95	+0	Pistons	+$1	05-08 01:18
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?	2	$63	38	38	+0	Yes	+$13	05-09 15:52
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	11	$63	66	65	+0	Over	-$1	05-08 03:11
Wuxi: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Akira Santillan	7	$61	57	14	+43	Soon-Woo Kwon	+$8	05-08 07:51
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$60	52	13	+39	San Francisco Giants	+$3	05-12 04:49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$60	49	36	+13	Aurora Gaming	+$3	05-11 07:09
Thunder vs. Lakers	7	$57	39	39	+0	Thunder	-$15	05-12 04:56
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-02?	4	$55	29	29	+0	No	+$1	05-02 17:50
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$1	05-02 17:50
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-06?	10	$54	47	9	+37	No	+$2	05-06 05:37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$54	31	31	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$9	05-10 12:40
Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)	2	$51	26	26	+0	Crystal Palace FC	+$1	05-10 15:04
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:47:24	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xcb28d0…
05-16 09:44:33	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x13d0dd…
05-16 09:11:50	Exact Score: Newcastle United Jets FC 0 - 0 Sydney FC?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x758891…
05-16 08:51:35	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdf3e2d…
05-16 07:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc4a1b3…
05-16 03:16:14	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb5177e…
05-16 00:41:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x23e9d8…
05-16 00:26:11	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x73dc9d…
05-15 21:47:56	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xfbb7ed…
05-15 20:40:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x4089e6…
05-15 16:20:16	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x718d63…
05-15 11:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc57227…
05-15 11:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2cd9b9…
05-15 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc37665…
05-15 11:43:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8a1242…
05-15 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x6b0323…
05-15 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x376d19…
05-15 11:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8694b6…
05-15 10:53:19	Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Haigang FC	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x91a4ce…
05-15 09:59:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xfc2ddf…
05-15 09:04:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xaa02de…
05-15 09:03:05	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Adelaide United FC	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9846a8…
05-15 09:03:05	Exact Score: Adelaide United FC 1 - 3 Auckland FC?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5f3299…
05-15 06:38:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x404095…
05-15 00:52:55	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Suplex Team vs Aterion Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	Aterion Esports	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x99b922…
05-14 23:42:50	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe3ec7b…
05-14 23:42:50	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x360bc2…
05-14 23:42:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x7df104…
05-14 23:32:48	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x739770…
05-14 23:32:46	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf9a7a2…
05-14 22:02:42	Will Barra FC win on 2026-05-14?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x100d5e…
05-14 19:42:31	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb650d0…
05-14 19:42:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x1a4f79…
05-14 19:12:27	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0c46d1…
05-14 19:12:25	Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5549ec…
05-14 19:12:25	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Real Oviedo?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x348846…
05-14 19:12:24	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 Real Oviedo?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5dda5b…
05-14 19:12:22	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 Real Oviedo?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2777b8…
05-14 18:32:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5755b7…
05-14 18:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe0ad5b…
05-14 18:31:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa2c49e…
05-14 18:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa9d388…
05-14 18:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5c7941…
05-14 18:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6917ee…
05-14 18:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0f9b54…
05-14 18:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbcf850…
05-14 18:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa8d217…
05-14 18:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcb216b…
05-14 18:31:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8efbc2…
05-14 17:42:14	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Girona FC	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x04cad7…
05-14 17:32:14	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x586465…
05-14 16:42:09	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc66a48…
05-14 14:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x97f29a…
05-14 14:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3fac2e…
05-14 10:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc668e0…
05-14 09:24:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1253ba…
05-14 09:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa87d19…
05-14 09:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc4601d…
05-14 09:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x80f85c…
05-14 09:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1116de…
05-14 09:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc41dce…
05-14 09:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x14fa41…
05-14 09:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe95de6…
05-14 09:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3b803d…
05-14 09:03:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b36f7…
05-14 09:00:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeff521…
05-14 09:00:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3541a6…
05-14 08:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x5fff44…
05-14 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xffe99e…
05-14 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe7c85c…
05-14 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x30037f…
05-14 08:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x94145e…
05-14 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x60b1d4…
05-14 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x58a097…
05-14 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3a871a…
05-14 02:55:27	Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)	San Jose Earthquakes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8efee8…
05-14 02:55:27	Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)	San Jose Earthquakes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x3bd854…
05-14 01:59:05	Will Solana dip to $90 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc31c5b…
05-13 23:38:45	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7e1ae3…
05-13 23:18:40	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x3873f5…
05-13 23:18:40	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x275287…
05-13 23:18:38	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd7c516…
05-13 18:47:44	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xddd789…
05-13 18:37:40	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x704f31…
05-13 18:37:38	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5e3c80…
05-13 18:27:35	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe77904…
05-13 18:27:35	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xaa87c3…
05-13 18:27:33	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x321127…
05-13 18:27:31	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf65570…
05-13 18:27:31	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 3 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe02f62…
05-13 16:12:01	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x64ee51…
05-13 16:06:58	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Athletic Club	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfbafb6…
05-13 16:06:58	Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdefd8c…
05-13 16:06:56	Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5ef127…
05-13 15:39:00	Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4fa424…
05-13 15:38:56	LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x070c52…
05-13 15:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xda5eb2…
05-13 15:16:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3ca118…
05-13 14:46:49	Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x68524f…
05-13 13:26:33	Will FK Obolon Kyiv win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x55c6e8…