Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$602
$1,603 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$831
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 19:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $2 | $165 | $164 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $21 | $228 | $206 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $61 | $61 |
| Below median | 9 | — | $238 | $238 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $6 | $42 | $36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +104 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:04 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Yellowish-Cocktail 0xe4ec…aafd | Yes | +99 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-13 06:26 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-14 11:35 |
| Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:22 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 05:58 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 05:58 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Darling-Knickers 0xee27…43ac | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 11:30 |
| Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 11:15 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 19:07 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Burdensome-Capital 0x8f0d…d2d9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 19:37:15 | Curly-Alloy 0x8417…fde5 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xba9c82… |
| 05-14 17:19:35 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x8d15ca… |
| 05-14 17:16:48 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | SELL | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0x1d4a22… |
| 05-14 17:11:39 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa3d069… |
| 05-14 15:24:22 | Burdensome-Capital 0x8f0d…d2d9 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xccabc4… |
| 05-14 14:03:24 | Well-Lit-Congress 0x2f37…1952 | Yes | SELL | 240 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a0f79… |
| 05-14 11:35:09 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa245d5… |
| 05-14 11:32:40 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x53036a… |
| 05-14 11:32:33 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0e5bcc… |
| 05-14 11:30:18 | Darling-Knickers 0xee27…43ac | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb7bc67… |
| 05-14 11:17:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf28216… |
| 05-14 11:15:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4e715… |
| 05-14 11:15:01 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x09994d… |
| 05-14 11:14:25 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x37a4f1… |
| 05-14 11:00:05 | Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x468478… |
| 05-14 11:00:05 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xc358c0… |
| 05-14 09:59:15 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6cc378… |
| 05-14 09:54:12 | Yellowish-Cocktail 0xe4ec…aafd | Yes | BUY | 99 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x6e8ff2… |
| 05-14 09:29:16 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5dacd0… |
| 05-14 09:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc5035a… |
| 05-14 09:29:14 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1d7ac6… |
| 05-14 09:04:21 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8a9c4e… |
| 05-14 08:34:19 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbeb05e… |
| 05-14 05:40:34 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbda57d… |
| 05-14 04:21:07 | Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa98305… |
| 05-14 04:21:07 | (anonymous) 0xa3ed…a132 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf922a4… |
| 05-14 04:21:04 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | SELL | 216 | 7¢ | $16 | 0xe5ee7b… |
| 05-14 04:20:55 | Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xbced2b… |
| 05-14 04:20:53 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x248e87… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x010ccc… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x756c11… |
| 05-13 22:46:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb052a1… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd503ba… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42c7fd… |
| 05-13 13:03:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x590fd4… |
| 05-13 06:26:17 | Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xa85a14… |
| 05-13 05:58:47 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x91ce06… |
| 05-13 05:58:43 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa6784e… |
| 05-13 01:22:48 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x556242… |
| 05-13 01:22:47 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd1ea26… |
| 05-13 00:17:21 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xae769b… |
| 05-12 19:07:22 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xfb2f06… |