Mammoth-Lever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,630

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 08-09 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

58% 43% $-190

Crypto

36% — —

Politics

3% 33% $-19

Sports

3% 100% +$18

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	5	$161	94	94	+0	open	—	05-19 17:33
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	12	$115	292	146	+146	open	—	07-24 14:38
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 Winner	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	05-19 17:33
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	14	$70	230	0	+230	open	—	05-16 01:50
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	42	$63	61	61	+0	open	—	04-28 17:19
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$62	546	38	+508	open	—	05-24 08:55
Counter-Strike: Kinoa vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner	2	$62	58	58	+0	open	—	05-18 09:41
Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	05-17 20:24
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$49	31	31	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$13	05-10 03:09
Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)	2	$48	32	32	+0	open	—	05-19 17:33
crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	21	$48	52	37	+15	open	—	08-03 20:33
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	25	$47	61	48	+13	open	—	04-16 23:16
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	6	$47	37	37	+0	open	—	05-20 20:56
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	46	$46	54	47	+7	open	—	04-29 17:54
btc updown 5m 1776205200	9	$45	95	0	+95	open	—	04-14 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	15	$45	398	0	+398	open	—	05-31 22:44
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	12	$42	1,227	6	+1,221	open	—	05-24 09:30
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 72 73f	10	$42	39	32	+7	open	—	04-16 22:13
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	14	$42	56	0	+56	open	—	05-31 20:39
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 21:36
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5	1	$40	108	0	+108	Over	$-40	05-09 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	32	$39	437	0	+437	open	—	05-31 22:29
eth updown 5m 1776203700	8	$38	79	0	+79	open	—	04-14 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	18	$38	148	130	+18	open	—	05-31 20:55
LoL: Bubliki vs Ronaldo Team (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$38	1,022	22	+1,000	open	—	05-21 21:02
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	24	$38	66	15	+51	open	—	04-16 23:15
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	2	$35	29	29	+0	open	—	08-05 02:09
highest temperature in austin on april 16 2026 88 89f	23	$35	102	98	+4	open	—	04-16 23:37
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)	2	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	05-17 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:01:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x0dd4ab…
08-11 01:00:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x7d6cfc…
08-09 21:24:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x3c0fcb…
08-09 21:24:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	66	10¢	$7	0xa98d98…
08-09 21:10:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0xfe0b53…
08-09 21:10:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	48	22¢	$11	0x814647…
08-05 23:35:54	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xee7a35…
08-05 17:36:56	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x5da187…
08-05 07:41:08	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb554cc…
08-05 07:41:08	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x194301…
08-05 07:41:06	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x73ad3b…
08-05 07:40:57	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2f4c06…
08-05 07:40:56	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe8b14f…
08-05 07:40:56	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe322dc…
08-05 02:11:38	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x088e97…
08-05 02:10:14	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x69cf03…
08-05 02:09:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xc25112…
08-05 02:01:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$8	0x19aa9f…
08-05 02:01:00	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x27d178…
08-04 20:17:36	pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt36	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x121d1a…
08-04 20:17:29	pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt36	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x897027…
08-04 18:51:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xf0bdad…
08-03 20:33:02	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1ae6ae…
08-03 20:08:08	tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt34	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b1dec…
08-03 11:38:35	tsn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 1	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb31f1a…
08-03 02:40:53	will anyone say treason during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600952	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x517555…
08-03 01:42:12	will anyone say wine during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600945	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0bed8e…
08-02 22:34:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xea164d…
08-01 13:44:35	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 1 20260724224947399	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x259af2…
08-01 07:47:36	databricks vs stripe higher valuation on december 31	Stripe	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x178922…
08-01 02:52:12	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x42a117…
08-01 02:15:48	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7e0eb8…
08-01 02:15:48	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x599703…
08-01 02:15:48	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x22acac…
08-01 02:15:45	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x998298…
08-01 02:14:05	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xebbce5…
08-01 02:13:47	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	John/Paige	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb25f65…
08-01 02:13:45	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e1249…
08-01 02:13:41	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4379cc…
08-01 02:13:24	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x8c6ada…
08-01 02:13:24	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	JR/Claire	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x27bc38…
07-31 23:59:53	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfdef11…
07-31 23:59:53	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2dc778…
07-31 23:56:11	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x11894b…
07-31 23:56:09	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x107384…
07-31 23:56:06	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x48f9d8…
07-31 23:55:36	will leavitt say pink during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550013	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa7c459…
07-31 11:30:05	cboe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 3pt49	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb6e60…
07-31 05:35:02	will anyone say wine during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600945	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x61fb0a…
07-30 21:43:57	rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt78	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86c1ad…
07-30 11:34:27	virt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02052a…
07-30 07:02:12	will anyone say council during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600950	No	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x0c0592…
07-29 20:43:54	will anyone say treason during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600952	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x936355…
07-28 18:36:26	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x83c167…
07-28 14:27:50	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4ed231…
07-27 21:07:28	will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	No	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xd2476e…
07-27 21:02:18	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xbf6880…
07-27 19:32:12	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc2456f…
07-27 19:31:24	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260724154805108	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d99fd…
07-27 17:22:12	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x95d4bf…
07-27 17:09:48	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xd5b29d…
07-27 15:46:12	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5e4313…
07-27 15:37:24	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x1b9033…
07-27 15:35:39	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb29e53…
07-27 15:29:13	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5d9f89…
07-27 10:58:52	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8388b0…
07-27 10:30:57	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x09807f…
07-27 03:48:16	tsn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 1	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x03096c…
07-26 17:15:54	will anyone say dragon 20 times during house of the dragon e6 s3 20260721174502940	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd908a7…
07-26 17:14:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x402357…
07-26 15:24:55	will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x395882…
07-26 15:24:03	will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf3f68c…
07-26 15:24:00	will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xe5402e…
07-26 04:57:55	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc53309…
07-26 04:57:55	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7bcb5d…
07-26 04:32:24	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa5553e…
07-26 04:30:16	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8f7f49…
07-26 04:14:39	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x6e3456…
07-26 04:13:31	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbd6e8c…
07-26 04:12:51	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xae13a6…
07-26 04:12:21	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9248fd…
07-26 04:02:21	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1c5fb6…
07-26 03:43:39	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x478edf…
07-26 03:39:22	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb5dfc4…
07-26 03:39:22	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x660677…
07-26 02:40:49	bgc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt34	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcff15b…
07-26 01:04:46	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260724154805108	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x627e32…
07-26 00:51:22	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260724154805108	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x60c1a3…
07-26 00:27:58	la velada del ano 6 plex vspt fernanfloo 20260708192832151	Fernanfloo	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf6b54f…
07-26 00:24:55	cboe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 3pt49	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xaba88c…
07-26 00:20:40	la velada del ano 6 plex vspt fernanfloo 20260708192832151	Fernanfloo	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdecb15…
07-26 00:19:21	la velada del ano 6 plex vspt fernanfloo 20260708192832151	Fernanfloo	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe74693…
07-25 23:55:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa09430…
07-25 23:18:27	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	No	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xeebfa2…
07-25 23:18:27	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xc027a1…
07-25 23:09:27	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt91	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf3f86f…
07-25 22:59:36	la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	Kidd Keo	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x14520c…
07-25 17:09:18	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xf6d971…
07-25 17:09:18	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa85497…
07-25 16:50:55	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next youtube video 20260702154826870	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0d1e3c…