Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$126
$13 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$93
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-07 15:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $77
vs crowd: 4% YES on $123)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $77 | $77 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $5 | $41 | $36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $77 | $77 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $23 | $22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +80 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-07 15:51 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:55 |
| Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-07 15:51 |
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:51:37 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x07c39c… |
| 05-07 15:51:36 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x90ab41… |
| 05-07 15:51:34 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x9415e2… |
| 05-07 15:51:32 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x68bb2e… |
| 05-07 15:51:20 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x4ee0f8… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8b045b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2ba0a0… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9cdce7… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8049f7… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x261f43… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa17b68… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb9bb19… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x64bdab… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3d446c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xed425e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc5dc4e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x31d488… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5b79c3… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4097bb… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x76eb08… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x0e7003… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69fbc4… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3712e2… |
| 05-07 09:55:16 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa892a4… |