Grizzled-Still — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

244

Trades

744

lifetime

Volume

$7.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-28 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

98% 47% -$230

Politics

2% 30% +$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	11	$530	379	375	+4	Yes	-$59	04-20 05:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	18	$272	213	210	+3	No	-$29	04-09 04:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	2	$250	131	130	+0	No	-$6	04-20 06:15
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 12c	5	$241	125	125	+0	No	+$9	04-24 11:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	2	$229	117	117	+0	No	+$5	04-24 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 2?	2	$207	108	108	+0	No	+$9	05-02 03:51
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 8c	6	$206	160	158	+2	Yes	-$39	04-12 14:33
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 22c	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	04-12 05:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 24c	4	$192	215	32	+183	No	+$14	04-19 04:51
highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 22c	14	$177	207	29	+178	No	+$6	04-17 12:34
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 14c	2	$163	84	84	+0	Yes	+$3	04-24 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 29?	6	$148	85	85	+0	No	+$2	04-29 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	20	$143	104	99	+5	No	-$1	05-01 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	10	$127	129	70	+59	No	-$8	05-08 04:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 20c	6	$108	123	0	+123	No	+$15	04-16 03:08
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	2	$104	200	0	+200	No	+$96	04-21 04:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 22c	6	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$5	04-19 03:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 13c	3	$103	125	0	+125	No	-$103	04-24 13:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	4	$102	178	174	+4	Yes	-$76	04-24 06:27
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 25corbelow	15	$100	111	108	+3	No	-$6	04-18 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 5?	5	$94	74	74	+0	No	+$0	05-05 11:29
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	2	$88	130	0	+130	Bilibili Gaming	+$42	03-16 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	3	$87	70	70	+0	Yes	-$24	05-08 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	4	$86	62	61	+1	No	+$8	04-27 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	10	$80	88	88	+0	Yes	-$46	06-26 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	11	$77	96	96	+0	Yes	-$54	05-09 06:17
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	5	$76	96	30	+67	No	+$1	04-15 05:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	8	$76	90	89	+1	Yes	-$19	04-23 03:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	5	$73	101	0	+101	No	+$27	04-23 04:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 24c	5	$73	71	70	+1	No	-$20	04-23 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x643e72…
10-28 03:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x44eae6…
10-24 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc23841…
10-24 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xff695f…
10-24 03:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x868d71…
10-23 05:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd2deb0…
10-23 04:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x878116…
10-22 04:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9285b0…
10-22 04:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x884f01…
08-22 02:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xebe57b…
08-22 02:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6ec29d…
08-16 06:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xfe2760…
08-16 04:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x07a2e8…
08-16 03:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xd5174a…
08-16 03:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x698407…
08-16 03:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x33d427…
08-16 03:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xfd347b…
08-16 02:57:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xfa6068…
08-16 02:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x51bf5e…
08-15 06:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xbf11ae…
08-15 06:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x75b170…
08-15 03:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd31f35…
07-02 05:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xfcab47…
07-02 03:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x95839d…
06-29 11:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd70c3c…
06-29 07:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6a8035…
06-29 05:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xae1220…
06-28 06:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x6e6dc6…
06-28 06:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x12d8ab…
06-28 06:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x2cf52b…
06-28 06:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xbfad0e…
06-28 04:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x6a2fac…
06-28 04:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2c7bfd…
06-28 03:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xc9a783…
06-26 08:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x71f54e…
06-26 07:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	No	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xcd34ea…
06-26 07:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc732f3…
06-26 07:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x05aa96…
06-26 07:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x626021…
06-26 06:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xc0a217…
06-26 06:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x34d4dc…
06-26 06:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x6253db…
06-26 06:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xed5e79…
06-26 06:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xda2d97…
06-26 04:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x42120c…
06-26 04:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xf47046…
06-26 03:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x0d03d0…
06-25 12:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x61f672…
06-25 04:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x4cfdc8…
06-25 04:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x5dccea…
06-24 13:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4c3864…
06-24 13:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc1aaf2…
06-24 13:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd3ce78…
06-24 12:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x2af340…
06-24 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x30009b…
06-24 11:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x3087f7…
06-24 11:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xcf97d0…
06-24 06:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x571440…
06-24 05:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x4b2fba…
06-23 12:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x557fd9…
06-23 04:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x3393c1…
06-23 03:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xd858e0…
06-22 10:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3791d3…
06-07 02:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd31027…
06-05 12:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x265662…
06-05 05:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x380ce9…
06-05 05:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xf907df…
06-04 11:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd35599…
05-14 02:52:38	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x416dc0…
05-14 02:34:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc223ed…
05-14 02:33:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9134d4…
05-12 03:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x8a5765…
05-10 05:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x11692b…
05-10 05:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5478e9…
05-10 05:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6c749a…
05-10 04:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$23	0xf2473e…
05-09 10:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x3d107e…
05-09 10:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2ba633…
05-09 06:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xdac3b2…
05-09 06:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	58	8¢	$5	0xe35271…
05-09 06:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xaffcc5…
05-09 03:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x1c8b45…
05-09 03:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6e3d43…
05-09 03:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x10973a…
05-09 03:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0x7276e1…
05-09 03:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x05a000…
05-09 03:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe45830…
05-09 03:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0xa934ca…
05-09 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0xc6e7e4…
05-09 01:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x4a2f24…
05-09 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x017a33…
05-09 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x155a62…
05-08 09:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x2d0bc7…
05-08 09:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcf6011…
05-08 04:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x6b2acf…
05-08 04:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x43735c…
05-08 04:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x23b912…
05-08 04:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	No	SELL	70	45¢	$32	0xf34dbb…
05-08 04:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x9ce82e…
05-08 04:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x770b28…