Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$217
$1,860 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,090
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 12:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $49 | $140 | $91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 15 | $49 | $123 | $74 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | +136 | $80 | $80 | 6 | 05-05 08:55 |
| Red-Stage 0xde9c…e014 | Yes | +66 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-05 12:00 |
| Unwelcome-Behalf 0x7ae4…fc82 | No | +40 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-05 11:36 |
| Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Burly-Roommate 0xfbbe…e906 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 01:55 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 08:40 |
| Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ac0…4390 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:02 |
| Trivial-Plea 0xc624…76cf | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 10:26 |
| Visible-Making 0x422a…c395 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 11:55 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 10:16 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:15 |
| Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:55 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 12:50:22 | Zealous-Fireman 0x885b…4b09 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1b528e… |
| 05-05 12:16:44 | Burly-Roommate 0xfbbe…e906 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x8da70a… |
| 05-05 12:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x0ac0…4390 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x37078b… |
| 05-05 12:00:28 | Red-Stage 0xde9c…e014 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x070c4f… |
| 05-05 11:55:26 | Visible-Making 0x422a…c395 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x9c88a1… |
| 05-05 11:36:38 | Unwelcome-Behalf 0x7ae4…fc82 | No | BUY | 40 | 67¢ | $27 | 0xe4fc78… |
| 05-05 11:31:30 | Red-Stage 0xde9c…e014 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x24052f… |
| 05-05 11:26:42 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x293648… |
| 05-05 10:50:10 | Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xe59df2… |
| 05-05 10:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x1d2b83… |
| 05-05 10:26:20 | Trivial-Plea 0xc624…76cf | No | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x775de0… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xd7c48b… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x517082… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x85d21e… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x9cfd33… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x68409a… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xb6b0e3… |
| 05-05 10:16:42 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xf656a0… |
| 05-05 09:45:06 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xae66b9… |
| 05-05 09:25:12 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x9253e0… |
| 05-05 09:15:16 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xf3c40b… |
| 05-05 08:55:20 | Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x74ea39… |
| 05-05 08:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 33 | 61¢ | $20 | 0xb3a579… |
| 05-05 08:40:20 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xa69e1f… |
| 05-05 07:55:50 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 21 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x2fce02… |
| 05-05 07:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 14 | 58¢ | $8 | 0xd77003… |
| 05-05 06:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 16 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xd1f5bb… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 18 | 58¢ | $10 | 0xe5cdb4… |
| 05-05 06:25:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | No | BUY | 34 | 58¢ | $20 | 0x3cf56e… |
| 05-05 01:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | No | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x5ba18c… |
| 05-04 21:09:36 | Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x1c2110… |
| 05-04 21:04:48 | (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x941274… |