Spherical-Casement-Violence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

5,185

Trades

19,442

lifetime

Volume

$755.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-27 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 57% -$19,288

Other

9% 77% -$1,165

Politics

0% 59% -$75

Sports

0% 78% -$1

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 1243 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No		-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	07-01 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	44	$13.5K	8,604	8,604	+0	Up	+$3,569	09-23 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	76	$13.4K	8,767	8,767	+0	Up	+$3,814	09-24 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	597	$12.1K	7,752	7,751	+2	Down	+$2,182	10-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	204	$11.7K	8,500	8,500	+0	Up	+$3,230	09-10 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	8	$10.6K	9,169	9,169	+0	Up	+$418	09-28 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	99	$10.0K	5,995	5,994	+0	Up	+$1,505	10-10 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 03:30 UTC	90	$9.5K	6,374	6,374	+0	Up	+$2,887	08-30 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	225	$9.3K	6,096	6,096	+1	Down	+$1,571	10-10 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$8.3K	5,623	5,623	+0	Down	+$1,888	10-06 13:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 18:45 UTC	130	$7.8K	5,246	5,246	+0	Up	+$1,109	08-29 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	123	$7.5K	6,277	5,304	+973	Up	+$2,184	09-10 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	119	$7.1K	4,918	4,918	+0	Down	+$1,782	09-10 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	99	$6.1K	3,969	3,969	+0	Down	+$982	08-17 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 17:15 UTC	4	$5.9K	4,030	4,030	+0	Down	+$1,754	09-24 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$5.7K	10,238	0	+10,238	Up	-$5,732	10-01 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	15	$5.6K	4,165	4,165	+0	Down	+$1,140	09-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	64	$5.4K	3,858	3,858	+0	Up	+$1,574	09-04 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	120	$5.2K	3,717	3,717	+0	Up	+$1,189	09-09 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:30 UTC	4	$4.9K	3,533	3,533	+0	Down	+$1,158	09-28 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$4.9K	3,162	3,162	+0	Down	+$1,323	10-06 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$4.5K	3,471	3,471	+0	Up	+$632	10-06 11:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 01:45 UTC	47	$4.5K	3,247	3,247	+0	Up	+$673	08-30 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$4.5K	7,742	0	+7,742	Down	-$4,500	09-11 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$4.4K	3,045	3,045	+0	Down	+$1,177	10-06 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	69	$4.0K	2,880	2,880	+0	Down	+$893	09-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	30	$4.0K	2,742	2,742	+0	Down	+$1,053	09-23 07:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 09:15 UTC	49	$3.8K	2,611	2,611	+0	Up	+$1,103	08-24 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	62	$3.7K	2,450	2,450	+0	Up	+$1,128	09-07 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 22:30 UTC	2	$3.6K	6,844	0	+6,844	Up	+$3,242	08-29 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 19:30 UTC	12	$3.6K	6,427	95	+6,332	Up	-$3,381	08-29 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x14e396…
10-27 18:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xc7f07e…
10-27 18:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x43fc84…
10-27 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x243b6f…
10-27 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe12aa5…
10-27 16:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x59c948…
10-27 16:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x965fe7…
10-27 16:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8dfe11…
10-27 15:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0xee182d…
10-27 15:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbbf2a2…
10-27 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd12898…
10-27 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x9117e3…
10-27 15:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	197	76¢	$150	0x323b04…
10-27 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	197	56¢	$111	0x08949d…
10-27 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x73748c…
10-27 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0x729982…
10-27 14:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	284	51¢	$145	0xaa10a7…
10-27 14:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf590a0…
10-27 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	143	75¢	$108	0x484e93…
10-27 14:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb93e78…
10-27 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	148	51¢	$75	0xac7fea…
10-27 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	819	80¢	$655	0xf24a40…
10-27 14:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	337	9¢	$30	0x1b43d2…
10-27 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	819	52¢	$425	0x2e0cf7…
10-27 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc3fc68…
10-27 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	327	51¢	$167	0xf87662…
10-27 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0xa5b291…
10-27 13:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x2e76d6…
10-27 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x96b97b…
10-27 11:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0xf277e8…
10-27 11:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x13745b…
10-27 11:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x53a10b…
10-27 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x47b8bc…
10-27 10:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e94b7…
10-27 10:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0x46904c…
10-27 10:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0x9e8af9…
10-27 10:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0x7de1ea…
10-27 10:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x93ccb4…
10-27 09:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa8bf23…
10-27 09:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0xf16d71…
10-27 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa9a7a1…
10-27 09:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8c5821…
10-27 09:04:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x786bfa…
10-27 08:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xbc24ad…
10-27 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x6000a7…
10-27 08:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	87	50¢	$43	0x1137d7…
10-27 08:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	48	84¢	$41	0x9b88ef…
10-27 08:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0xdced67…
10-27 08:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaed41c…
10-27 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xb8deab…
10-27 08:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xcaedc3…
10-27 08:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x12134b…
10-27 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2effeb…
10-27 08:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd9766b…
10-27 08:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0xdcc562…
10-27 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x072f86…
10-27 07:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	81¢	$24	0xc9dc5c…
10-27 07:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa9dabb…
10-27 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf71a35…
10-27 07:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1e403d…
10-27 07:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x68a8fd…
10-27 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	77	69¢	$53	0x776078…
10-27 07:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x68d541…
10-27 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7d3a78…
10-27 07:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1b6a29…
10-27 06:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	124	50¢	$62	0x8470d5…
10-26 20:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xb93aa5…
10-26 20:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x83eb98…
10-26 20:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	116	77¢	$89	0xe06e10…
10-26 20:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xb4bc0d…
10-26 20:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x16a540…
10-26 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7bacff…
10-26 20:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfba4a8…
10-26 20:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x342593…
10-26 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	127	78¢	$99	0x2647e3…
10-26 19:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	124	49¢	$61	0x2b5908…
10-26 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	127	49¢	$62	0xef5d27…
10-26 19:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	124	50¢	$62	0xac1d09…
10-26 19:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x33a091…
10-26 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfd0136…
10-26 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xe17637…
10-26 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x65abd3…
10-26 19:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6a62f…
10-26 19:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd6f6db…
10-26 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0x3589f0…
10-26 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa72a18…
10-26 19:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb141e7…
10-26 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfd53bc…
10-26 19:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x5ee226…
10-26 16:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x8436d0…
10-26 16:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf0bdbb…
10-26 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0x18a842…
10-26 15:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x34a2cb…
10-26 15:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa89f61…
10-26 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0ff7a9…
10-26 15:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	27	82¢	$23	0xba4bad…
10-26 15:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8070ff…
10-26 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x3b28eb…
10-26 14:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x6512ba…
10-26 14:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0x003851…