Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$648
$52 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$224
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 12:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $247 | $5 | +$242 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $214 | $23 | +$190 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $246 | $2 | +$244 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $11 | $2 | +$8 |
| Median | 10 | $125 | $3 | +$122 |
| Below median | 7 | $76 | $11 | +$65 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $7 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +251 | $246 | $246 | 2 | 05-15 10:56 |
| Sinful-Noodles 0x6c52…0a0f | Yes | +76 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 05-15 09:55 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | Yes | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-15 11:12 |
| Fat-Billing 0x3775…2309 | Yes | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-15 11:30 |
| Well-Off-Polarisation 0xb742…126a | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 11:26 |
| Adolescent-Hurdler 0xb8fc…88e1 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:07 |
| Inconsequential-Binoculars 0xc2b8…e54f | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 12:01 |
| Constant-Institution 0x1e3f…25de | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:59 |
| Scented-Goodness 0x7e17…f5c4 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:51 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cff…3e06 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:30 |
| Mixed-Brushfire 0xeda8…7795 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:18 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 08:25 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:40 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:14 |
| Unequaled-Receptor 0x9e09…ee02 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 04:08 |
| Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 12:34 |
| Miniature-Socialist 0x7af5…745f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:01 |
| Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:34:45 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x95e4e0… |
| 05-15 12:34:42 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xe5b86c… |
| 05-15 12:34:38 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | SELL | 128 | 99¢ | $127 | 0x737267… |
| 05-15 12:01:49 | Inconsequential-Binoculars 0xc2b8…e54f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x272ad3… |
| 05-15 11:59:26 | Constant-Institution 0x1e3f…25de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x568521… |
| 05-15 11:51:04 | Scented-Goodness 0x7e17…f5c4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe998ab… |
| 05-15 11:50:25 | Curvy-Search 0x4642…6657 | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f5b7f… |
| 05-15 11:30:37 | Fat-Billing 0x3775…2309 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xef66f2… |
| 05-15 11:26:30 | Well-Off-Polarisation 0xb742…126a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6d3a25… |
| 05-15 11:12:16 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x89dc8b… |
| 05-15 10:56:43 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd80ec2… |
| 05-15 10:55:26 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 231 | 98¢ | $226 | 0xae3c2f… |
| 05-15 10:55:19 | Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x614783… |
| 05-15 10:36:10 | Frank-Mutt 0x2106…29b5 | No | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5adf77… |
| 05-15 09:55:39 | Sinful-Noodles 0x6c52…0a0f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x68e5f4… |
| 05-15 09:40:20 | Sinful-Noodles 0x6c52…0a0f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 81¢ | $25 | 0xc977e8… |
| 05-15 09:14:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xe4a0d3… |
| 05-15 09:10:14 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x25996c… |
| 05-15 09:00:49 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x7408eb… |
| 05-15 09:00:40 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x98de97… |
| 05-15 09:00:05 | Unequaled-Receptor 0x9e09…ee02 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7cfc09… |
| 05-15 08:25:47 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x7f0789… |
| 05-15 08:01:05 | Miniature-Socialist 0x7af5…745f | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x2891e7… |
| 05-15 07:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xd7e4…352d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xf94a82… |
| 05-15 05:49:13 | Curvy-Search 0x4642…6657 | No | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x2eb763… |
| 05-15 05:44:24 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xb508d5… |
| 05-15 05:44:19 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x4892ed… |
| 05-15 04:08:18 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xd5edfb… |
| 05-14 22:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x8cff…3e06 | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xdcd341… |
| 05-14 19:18:26 | Mixed-Brushfire 0xeda8…7795 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x805ac2… |
| 05-14 11:40:22 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6aad8a… |
| 05-13 02:07:35 | Adolescent-Hurdler 0xb8fc…88e1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x1732a0… |