Constant-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

175

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

87% 90% -$21

Sports

13% 44% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	2	$83	44	44	+0	No	+$5	07-16 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 14?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$1	07-14 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-01 05:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	3	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?	2	$62	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	5	$42	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 23:25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 14?	1	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	07-14 03:48
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-04 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 7?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-06 22:28
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on July 6?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-05 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 8?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-07 23:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 10?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-09 13:50
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 11?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-11 03:36
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 4?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-03 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3?	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-02 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	07-01 22:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 21c	1	$35	39	0	+39	No	-$35	03-27 00:34
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 28?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-28 00:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 30?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	06-29 08:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 9?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-08 22:51
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-07 23:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-10 06:14
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 30?	2	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-29 23:25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on June 25?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-25 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-02 01:24
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 5 2026 15c	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	04-05 11:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	04-03 12:55
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 21?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-21 04:39
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on June 19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 08:59
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 23?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-23 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 19:53:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x11e81d…
07-15 23:03:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0xa0d1d1…
07-14 03:48:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xb94a74…
07-14 03:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 14?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe48b0f…
07-12 08:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x7b46a8…
07-11 03:36:47	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 11?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7ed23f…
07-09 13:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4640f1…
07-07 23:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x43d743…
07-06 22:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7f1765…
07-05 22:54:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7d2131…
07-04 17:40:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3a8c2f…
07-03 15:26:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xce6350…
07-02 22:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xf1c880…
07-01 22:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xe28181…
07-01 05:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc339cb…
06-30 23:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2c57da…
06-29 08:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xec625a…
06-28 00:53:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0d6611…
06-25 03:33:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x13d2b3…
06-23 03:31:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xec649d…
06-21 04:39:59	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x41a0f7…
06-19 08:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on June 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7e3a92…
06-18 06:50:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e3be5…
06-18 06:50:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5ff8…
06-12 07:56:57	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb41b04…
06-10 06:14:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xaf352c…
06-08 22:51:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 9?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x85e6d3…
06-07 23:30:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5d58e1…
06-02 01:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc443f3…
05-29 23:25:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x731c91…
05-29 23:24:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02165b…
05-21 19:23:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x18c024…
05-21 08:32:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x22bc40…
05-21 08:31:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa40495…
05-15 12:00:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x889626…
05-15 11:59:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x568521…
05-12 06:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xa18634…
05-11 22:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x923931…
05-08 05:39:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x81b8b1…
04-30 23:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd32731…
04-30 10:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x875b73…
04-30 10:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x519e56…
04-30 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xfac087…
04-30 09:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2703c…
04-30 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb0ff14…
04-30 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbc9dbf…
04-30 09:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3be4eb…
04-30 09:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x11d010…
04-21 09:03:40	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb6743…
04-21 09:03:14	highest temperature in chicago on april 23 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x46f161…
04-18 21:57:12	highest temperature in san francisco on april 18 2026 68forhigher	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc7dd28…
04-18 07:54:26	highest temperature in san francisco on april 18 2026 68forhigher	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3f42de…
04-18 07:53:42	highest temperature in seattle on april 19 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x473ab8…
04-18 07:53:38	highest temperature in seattle on april 18 2026 50forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1df7…
04-16 07:50:22	highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe8f4cf…
04-05 11:08:09	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 5 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x90dbc1…
04-03 12:55:11	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x28b925…
03-30 06:59:56	highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc5f72a…
03-30 06:59:36	highest temperature in tokyo on march 30 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7bd9e0…
03-27 00:34:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xc716b4…
03-21 00:20:19	nba gsw det 2026 03 20	Pistons	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x111cdd…
03-20 22:52:43	nba atl hou 2026 03 20 spread home 3pt5	Hawks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x757825…
03-20 22:52:37	nba bos mem 2026 03 20 1h spread away 8pt5	Celtics	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4aba2d…
03-20 22:52:29	nba por min 2026 03 20 total 230pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5d598…
03-20 22:52:23	nba por min 2026 03 20	Timberwolves	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x939b8c…
03-20 22:52:21	nba gsw det 2026 03 20 spread home 4pt5	Pistons	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd60388…
03-14 02:17:31	nba uta por 2026 03 13 spread home 12pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x742e01…
03-14 01:29:31	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd7ddf0…
03-14 01:26:35	nba chi lac 2026 03 13 spread home 11pt5	Clippers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x051501…
03-14 01:26:31	nba uta por 2026 03 13 spread home 15pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x879fb6…
03-14 01:26:25	nba min gsw 2026 03 13 total 224pt5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x200828…
03-14 01:24:07	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Raptors	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47ff18…
03-08 03:26:33	nba uta mil 2026 03 07 spread home 9pt5	Jazz	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x600f61…
03-08 02:50:57	nba uta mil 2026 03 07 total 230pt5	Over	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd34811…
03-08 02:03:29	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Jazz	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd79359…
03-08 02:03:27	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Jazz	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xd395fb…
03-08 01:46:41	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6ca934…
03-08 01:45:05	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1f5927…
02-27 14:19:49	nba mem dal 2026 02 27 total 237pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x52bb49…
02-27 14:13:13	nba den okc 2026 02 27 total 231pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbb3c7e…
02-27 14:12:33	nba nyk mil 2026 02 27	Bucks	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x857efb…
02-27 14:12:31	nba nyk mil 2026 02 27 spread away 8pt5	Bucks	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xddbb77…
02-27 14:04:53	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 draw	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5faa89…
02-27 13:59:25	por por aro 2026 02 27 spread home 1pt5	FC Arouca	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x335915…
02-27 13:56:29	bl2 dus boc 2026 02 27 boc	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc3abce…
02-20 00:37:28	nba phx sas 2026 02 19 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4a3c5c…
02-20 00:37:06	nba phx sas 2026 02 19 1h spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe00834…
02-20 00:36:48	nba phx sas 2026 02 19 spread home 6pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3cbcf8…
02-20 00:32:26	nba tor chi 2026 02 19 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x40078e…
02-20 00:27:54	nba tor chi 2026 02 19 1h spread away 2pt5	Bulls	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdfb671…
02-20 00:25:34	nba det nyk 2026 02 19 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f8412…
02-20 00:18:16	nba atl phi 2026 02 19	Hawks	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfc75bb…
02-20 00:18:16	nba atl phi 2026 02 19 spread home 1pt5	Hawks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe0c158…
02-19 23:57:56	nba atl phi 2026 02 19 total 238pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6e49c6…
02-08 00:10:15	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07 spread home 2pt5	Warriors	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6e9261…
02-07 23:38:13	nba uta orl 2026 02 07 1h spread home 3pt5	Jazz	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7fc92b…
02-07 23:38:03	nba uta orl 2026 02 07 spread home 8pt5	Jazz	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x53cb7e…
02-07 23:37:55	nba phi phx 2026 02 07 total 223pt5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x922f1b…
02-07 23:37:45	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	Suns	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf6bf9e…
02-07 23:37:39	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5bd82c…