Gloomy-Arch-Hurdler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

510

Trades

6,962

lifetime

Volume

$31.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 50% -$520

Other

16% 58% +$486

Sports

3% 50% +$26

Politics

0% 33% -$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	20¢	$2	-$3	05-12 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	12	$1.1K	1,235	0	+1,235	Down	+$171	05-08 08:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$991	1,194	1,194	+0	No	-$12	05-06 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	67	$745	1,455	0	+1,455	Down	-$77	05-08 18:59
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	8	$694	740	0	+740	Up	+$46	05-08 08:59
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	18	$645	676	0	+676	Down	+$31	05-08 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	169	$507	1,049	0	+1,049	Up	+$37	05-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$497	758	0	+758	Down	+$261	05-08 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	113	$417	720	0	+720	Up	+$21	05-08 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	47	$414	857	0	+857	Down	-$17	05-08 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	67	$398	644	0	+644	Up	+$79	05-08 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	94	$374	1,160	179	+981	Down	+$37	05-08 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	172	$372	771	0	+771	Up	-$30	05-09 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	11	$363	641	0	+641	Down	-$50	05-08 23:41
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$355	366	0	+366	Up	+$12	05-08 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	87	$339	615	294	+321	Up	-$322	05-08 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	45	$336	708	0	+708	Down	+$18	05-08 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	59	$335	734	0	+734	Up	+$63	05-08 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	20	$324	714	0	+714	Down	+$57	05-08 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	37	$317	616	0	+616	Down	-$28	05-08 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	138	$300	607	0	+607	Down	-$29	05-09 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	40	$300	400	0	+400	Up	-$2	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	33	$298	714	0	+714	Down	-$77	05-08 19:14
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$297	316	0	+316	Down	+$20	05-08 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	118	$290	564	0	+564	Up	-$106	05-09 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	24	$288	616	0	+616	Down	-$9	05-08 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	45	$287	604	0	+604	Up	+$56	05-08 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	30	$274	647	0	+647	Up	-$74	05-08 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	12	$267	409	0	+409	Up	+$97	05-08 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	5	$260	402	0	+402	Up	+$32	05-08 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	50	$256	602	0	+602	Down	-$4	05-08 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5951f2…
05-15 02:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x8d88f1…
05-15 02:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xbab4fa…
05-15 02:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xce01b5…
05-15 02:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xc70e25…
05-15 01:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb39d2f…
05-15 01:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xddef53…
05-14 23:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xe43c30…
05-14 14:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe545c7…
05-14 09:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x265014…
05-14 06:46:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	No	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x376741…
05-14 06:45:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7f55ba…
05-14 04:21:49	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0xfa291c…
05-13 13:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x1ac755…
05-13 13:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xc7ef75…
05-13 12:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x3339f9…
05-13 12:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0x5d5bdc…
05-13 12:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xaf2fa7…
05-13 11:57:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0x68e69d…
05-13 11:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8f05e3…
05-13 11:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x206db3…
05-13 11:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x90096e…
05-13 11:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8d4112…
05-13 11:54:42	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xb0d78f…
05-13 11:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xdd4967…
05-13 11:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb283af…
05-13 11:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x23ba82…
05-13 11:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe9ba76…
05-13 11:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xdeaae5…
05-13 11:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x661b11…
05-13 11:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x779122…
05-13 09:13:14	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	59¢	$19	0xcb8022…
05-13 09:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$9	0xf1f978…
05-13 09:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5f084a…
05-13 09:05:30	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xae7d4d…
05-13 07:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfbad86…
05-13 07:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x78be67…
05-13 07:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x957203…
05-13 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xfd731a…
05-13 07:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xd82047…
05-13 07:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x63094f…
05-13 07:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1a1769…
05-13 07:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x531f8e…
05-13 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x47c18e…
05-13 06:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5306e8…
05-13 06:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x24bc17…
05-13 06:42:11	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcdc86d…
05-13 06:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b1578…
05-13 06:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0204bf…
05-13 06:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x90e2fd…
05-13 06:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x7149d5…
05-13 06:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xbe7e41…
05-13 06:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xd0531c…
05-13 06:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe998d1…
05-13 03:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x2e2b8f…
05-13 02:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x39d6ac…
05-13 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x65328f…
05-12 23:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6ef241…
05-12 23:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xaf54e9…
05-12 18:48:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x56828e…
05-12 14:17:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x16f3ae…
05-12 14:17:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe3d42f…
05-12 14:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xed22ff…
05-12 14:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8dd0de…
05-12 14:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x487709…
05-12 09:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa005ec…
05-12 09:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8687ca…
05-12 09:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1a3fba…
05-12 08:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0xda6cd8…
05-12 08:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46c176…
05-12 08:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xd2f001…
05-12 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3f0861…
05-12 07:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x895c18…
05-12 07:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5a81c1…
05-12 07:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe25e08…
05-12 07:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x459893…
05-12 07:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4cea70…
05-12 07:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb49a14…
05-12 06:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x8df512…
05-12 06:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x1335b2…
05-12 05:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd870d5…
05-12 05:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xb0d043…
05-12 03:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc08e01…
05-12 03:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x7dfdc0…
05-12 03:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xe92751…
05-12 00:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa6dcc8…
05-11 22:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x03a5db…
05-11 20:07:23	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x14f582…
05-11 18:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xeeb9d9…
05-11 08:19:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	112	13¢	$15	0x3d3ff3…
05-11 08:13:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb1ffdc…
05-11 08:08:31	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cc0ba…
05-11 07:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x22fcad…
05-11 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe8fcbe…
05-11 07:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x5ddb3e…
05-11 07:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xac342e…
05-11 07:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x612ba3…
05-11 06:45:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc188ab…
05-11 06:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xb9b299…
05-11 05:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8c21e9…