Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
open
Total volume
$1,618
$9 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$7,764
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $101
vs crowd: 13% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $912 | $911 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $187 | $411 | $224 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $100 | $99 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $19 | $25 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $8 | $17 | $9 |
| Median | 9 | $3 | $209 | $206 |
| Below median | 10 | — | $180 | $180 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $792 | $789 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 8 | $139 | — | +$139 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wavy-Foxglove 0xabb0…1f7b | Up | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f7a…ba3b | Up | +1,138 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Motorboat 0x0b64…88db | Up | +1,100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Slow-Incision 0xed8b…e92c | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Hard-To-Find-Pier 0xa2c9…89d0 | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Worse-Fit 0x6530…fc04 | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Grave-Coconut 0x986b…bdc6 | Down | +790 | $789 | $789 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Evil-Jasmine 0xcab3…eac9 | Up | +397 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Bumpy-Treaty 0xe696…da5e | Up | +204 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Annual-Trading 0x6027…26e7 | Down | +201 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Enchanted-Waterbed 0x1420…46aa | Down | +155 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Hard-Something 0x7996…d982 | Up | +130 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Next-Rap 0x127b…46ac | Up | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Bouncy-Mini 0x34b6…5e52 | Up | +61 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Phony-Algorithm 0x356f…639f | Up | +51 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Scaly-Woolens 0x1318…6f22 | Down | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Simplistic-Drawing 0xcb8e…ea69 | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Informal-Subset 0x8500…e00e | Up | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Functional-Chandelier 0x7420…7835 | Up | +14 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| High-Newsstand 0x64f8…d21a | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Mixed-Mob 0xd866…ea72 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Substantial-Biscuit 0xeef3…2f9b | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Cultured-Yeast 0x64c7…06c3 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Some-Surgery 0x3049…3210 | Down | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394 | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Bad-Expectation 0x2154…4098 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xcad2…b1ad | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Agreeable-Preference 0x2652…1b08 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Stylish-Pompom 0xd0e2…703b | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Unaware-Lesson 0x431e…7c0e | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Venerated-Balloonist 0x1e0b…067d | Down | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Pristine-Octopus 0xfdef…8ba8 | Down | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Strange-Authentication 0xa2be…5a53 | Down | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Milky-Cockpit 0x2f56…69cd | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Prudent-Exaggeration-Accent 0xfb0a…2c8d | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x364b…ebbc | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:08 |
| Unnatural-Lashes 0x2891…b8e9 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Grouchy-Availability 0x309a…e3cf | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:45 |
| Svelte-Grandpa 0x670c…462a | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| Sad-Ant 0x470b…ce4b | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:49:56 | Quaint-Excess 0x2136…51b8 | Down | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x08c4c4… |
| 05-08 12:49:56 | Phony-Algorithm 0x356f…639f | Up | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x554091… |
| 05-08 12:49:54 | Twin-Journey 0x5e4c…9258 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x721a26… |
| 05-08 12:49:54 | Wavy-Foxglove 0xabb0…1f7b | Up | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x272aa9… |
| 05-08 12:49:52 | Slow-Incision 0xed8b…e92c | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe25ac9… |
| 05-08 12:49:52 | Hard-To-Find-Pier 0xa2c9…89d0 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xefac18… |
| 05-08 12:49:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Motorboat 0x0b64…88db | Up | BUY | 1,100 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x52ab9e… |
| 05-08 12:49:42 | Wilted-Recollection 0x5a11…7a51 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1dab58… |
| 05-08 12:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x7f7a…ba3b | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5c0846… |
| 05-08 12:49:37 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x9b911a… |
| 05-08 12:49:33 | Evil-Jasmine 0xcab3…eac9 | Up | BUY | 397 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5b1f82… |
| 05-08 12:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…b480 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x83aa97… |
| 05-08 12:49:31 | Grave-Coconut 0x986b…bdc6 | Down | BUY | 790 | 100¢ | $789 | 0xc36db4… |
| 05-08 12:49:31 | Worse-Fit 0x6530…fc04 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4a2d7f… |
| 05-08 12:49:30 | Enchanted-Waterbed 0x1420…46aa | Down | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xadb08b… |
| 05-08 12:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xcad2…b1ad | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc26e1d… |
| 05-08 12:49:26 | Pristine-Octopus 0xfdef…8ba8 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd1378b… |
| 05-08 12:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x7f7a…ba3b | Up | BUY | 138 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9cbfa9… |
| 05-08 12:49:26 | Sad-Ant 0x470b…ce4b | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7b07bd… |
| 05-08 12:49:24 | Annual-Trading 0x6027…26e7 | Down | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x917b93… |
| 05-08 12:49:23 | Arid-Luncheonette 0x69eb…763d | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xb50a30… |
| 05-08 12:49:23 | Single-Survivor 0x1724…5dde | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0fc508… |
| 05-08 12:49:23 | Hard-Something 0x7996…d982 | Up | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x39f43a… |
| 05-08 12:49:23 | Second-Decimal 0xaf3d…e346 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x58632e… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Some-Surgery 0x3049…3210 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xff6af2… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Strange-Authentication 0xa2be…5a53 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe09532… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x54634f… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Mixed-Mob 0xd866…ea72 | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2f684c… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Bad-Expectation 0x2154…4098 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf03faa… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Immediate-Brief 0x63f3…c556 | Down | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xc3f7fa… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Venerated-Balloonist 0x1e0b…067d | Down | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb65aa8… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Unacceptable-Block 0x66aa…5bb7 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xed035a… |
| 05-08 12:49:21 | Next-Rap 0x127b…46ac | Up | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x47384b… |
| 05-08 12:45:02 | Milky-Cockpit 0x2f56…69cd | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x3f61c0… |
| 05-08 12:45:02 | Substantial-Biscuit 0xeef3…2f9b | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xcc717f… |
| 05-08 12:45:02 | Stylish-Pompom 0xd0e2…703b | Up | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x32413a… |
| 05-08 12:45:02 | Informal-Subset 0x8500…e00e | Up | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0xb1a122… |
| 05-08 12:45:00 | Agreeable-Preference 0x2652…1b08 | Up | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x460f34… |
| 05-08 12:45:00 | Grouchy-Availability 0x309a…e3cf | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x6919a4… |
| 05-08 12:44:58 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xe65910… |
| 05-08 12:44:58 | Prudent-Exaggeration-Accent 0xfb0a…2c8d | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xc294fe… |
| 05-08 12:44:58 | High-Newsstand 0x64f8…d21a | Down | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xf3bb54… |
| 05-08 12:44:57 | Svelte-Grandpa 0x670c…462a | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xf45361… |
| 05-08 12:44:55 | Unnatural-Lashes 0x2891…b8e9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x506de5… |
| 05-08 12:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x8a5941… |
| 05-08 12:44:44 | Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394 | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0be8de… |
| 05-08 12:44:44 | Cultured-Yeast 0x64c7…06c3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa74d9c… |
| 05-08 12:44:44 | Scaly-Woolens 0x1318…6f22 | Down | BUY | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x2144e5… |
| 05-08 12:44:41 | Unaware-Lesson 0x431e…7c0e | Up | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x698228… |
| 05-08 12:44:41 | Functional-Chandelier 0x7420…7835 | Up | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x10c70d… |
| 05-08 12:44:39 | Simplistic-Drawing 0xcb8e…ea69 | Up | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x9c28a8… |
| 05-08 12:44:39 | Bumpy-Treaty 0xe696…da5e | Up | BUY | 204 | 49¢ | $100 | 0x333375… |
| 05-08 12:44:39 | Bouncy-Mini 0x34b6…5e52 | Up | BUY | 61 | 49¢ | $30 | 0xc8bbcd… |
| 05-07 13:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x364b…ebbc | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8cc440… |