Enchanted-Waterbed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-22 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 94% +$52

Other

5% 100% +$13

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$322	163	163	+0	open	—	05-18 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$303	152	152	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$289	151	150	+0	open	—	05-14 08:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	2	$241	122	122	+0	No	+$1	05-07 16:07
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	2	$213	132	132	+0	Under	+$13	05-06 20:15
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	2	$207	118	118	+0	open	—	04-27 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$192	185	22	+163	open	—	05-18 11:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$190	106	106	+0	open	—	05-06 19:25
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$183	185	0	+185	open	—	05-19 08:19
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-18 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 13:34
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 11:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 10:14
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 08:04
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 12:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 10:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 15:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 17:24
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 10:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 12:44
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 09:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$177	180	0	+180	open	—	05-21 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 04:00:03	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	180	90¢	$161	0x9515be…
05-21 17:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xbf8bb5…
05-21 17:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xa1524c…
05-21 17:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x696b2f…
05-21 12:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x22b6ba…
05-21 12:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1fc9d1…
05-21 11:40:15	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x49ac68…
05-21 11:39:58	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x459322…
05-21 11:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xdfedbb…
05-21 11:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x509cfd…
05-21 10:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x65a213…
05-20 13:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x6ccc17…
05-20 12:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x2420a2…
05-20 10:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x347b2d…
05-20 09:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x574882…
05-20 08:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1b801…
05-20 08:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe77d17…
05-20 08:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x650e88…
05-20 08:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2adfc8…
05-20 08:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x9f133b…
05-20 08:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x5b5197…
05-20 07:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xd06488…
05-19 17:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x6219c8…
05-19 15:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x52f242…
05-19 15:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x5ea199…
05-19 14:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xac4132…
05-19 14:42:29	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$49	0xf36243…
05-19 14:14:31	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa4b1d4…
05-19 10:09:46	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x028577…
05-19 09:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xb17d68…
05-19 09:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xf7b5dd…
05-19 09:24:57	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0x1e4844…
05-19 08:44:57	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6430e2…
05-19 08:19:59	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xd561a4…
05-18 14:04:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xa518cd…
05-18 13:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4f4825…
05-18 13:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9a521d…
05-18 13:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xb8e66e…
05-18 13:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc242e5…
05-18 13:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	171	95¢	$163	0x38effc…
05-18 12:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6728b0…
05-18 12:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf5103e…
05-18 12:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95e03c…
05-18 12:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x574d33…
05-18 12:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0xe4150a…
05-18 12:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x575445…
05-18 12:04:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xcf1415…
05-18 11:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x331942…
05-18 11:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x60cf3c…
05-18 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc99e8c…
05-18 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xaad2f3…
05-18 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa3fb13…
05-18 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x0d65b5…
05-18 11:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x7c28fb…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf2ab59…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb89f46…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x98c444…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x90f8de…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x759962…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x4a55d3…
05-18 11:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53f8b9…
05-18 11:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x2d8745…
05-18 11:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa39949…
05-18 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa18cbc…
05-18 11:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0xe43898…
05-17 19:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0xd680b5…
05-17 19:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x39539c…
05-17 19:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x64ee5f…
05-17 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x12c686…
05-17 19:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x74c06b…
05-17 18:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xfca56e…
05-17 18:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8223c8…
05-17 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa8c69…
05-17 10:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	75¢	$25	0x37e225…
05-17 10:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe6ffdf…
05-17 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfe87ec…
05-17 10:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x5e52e1…
05-17 10:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2e404a…
05-17 10:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xa4c022…
05-17 10:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa20940…
05-17 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0xf0d72b…
05-16 18:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9133aa…
05-16 18:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x29cef1…
05-16 18:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x90e473…
05-16 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x035007…
05-16 18:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd25431…
05-16 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x0cc01e…
05-16 17:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9beff9…
05-16 17:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xfe86c4…
05-16 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8faca8…
05-16 17:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa6923f…
05-16 17:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf2540e…
05-16 17:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xb5846c…
05-16 17:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbf3ef1…
05-16 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x69457c…
05-16 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x34e859…
05-16 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb50602…
05-16 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7b24d3…
05-16 17:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x801513…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x515d68…