Realized P&L
+$3.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$281
Hit rate
92.8%
Resolved
7,624
Trades
29,376
lifetime
Volume
$610.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$21.8K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 11-01 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 88% +$2,868
Other
16% 85% +$697
Politics
5% 85% +$163
Tech
0% 67% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +7,114 $6,666 97¢ $6.9K +$252 10-29 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,967 $4,332 82¢ $4.1K -$234 10-16 07:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +2,612 $2,430 94¢ $2.4K +$13 10-31 12:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,300 $2,149 96¢ $2.2K +$48 10-22 06:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,400 $1,299 97¢ $1.4K +$55 08-16 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,300 $1,193 96¢ $1.2K +$48 10-13 18:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +700 $671 100¢ $696 +$25 06-13 06:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +534 $501 99¢ $531 +$30 10-22 06:40
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +500 $471 96¢ $480 +$9 10-29 17:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +300 $287 97¢ $292 +$6 09-21 06:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +250 $232 95¢ $238 +$6 10-06 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -235 -$194 97¢ $-228 -$34 06-25 13:59
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $196 +$1 10-19 22:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +200 $172 98¢ $196 +$24 06-29 03:10
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +161 $142 90¢ $144 +$2 10-29 17:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +132 $124 96¢ $127 +$2 09-27 10:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 09-29 09:09
Human moon landing in 2026? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-11 12:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +73 $66 98¢ $72 +$5 05-09 10:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100 $66 72¢ $72 +$6 10-14 13:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$5 10-22 08:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +50 $37 80¢ $40 +$3 10-06 01:56