Realized P&L
+$3.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$803
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
7,725
Trades
29,780
lifetime
Volume
$625.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$23.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 11-04 12:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 89% +$2,903
Other
16% 85% +$697
Politics
5% 85% +$163
Tech
0% 67% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +7,114 $6,666 97¢ $6.9K +$245 10-29 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,967 $4,328 90¢ $4.4K +$118 11-04 08:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +3,912 $3,641 94¢ $3.7K +$56 11-04 11:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,300 $2,149 96¢ $2.2K +$70 10-22 06:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,400 $1,299 97¢ $1.4K +$58 08-16 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,300 $1,193 100¢ $1.3K +$107 10-13 18:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +700 $671 99¢ $696 +$25 06-13 06:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +534 $501 99¢ $531 +$30 10-22 06:40
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +500 $471 96¢ $481 +$10 10-29 17:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +300 $287 98¢ $296 +$9 09-21 06:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +250 $232 97¢ $242 +$10 10-06 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -235 -$194 97¢ $-229 -$35 06-25 13:59
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $196 +$1 10-19 22:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +200 $172 98¢ $196 +$24 06-29 03:10
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +161 $142 92¢ $149 +$7 10-29 17:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +132 $124 98¢ $130 +$5 09-27 10:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100 $66 100¢ $100 +$34 10-14 13:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 09-29 09:09
Human moon landing in 2026? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-11 12:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +73 $66 98¢ $72 +$5 05-09 10:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$7 10-22 08:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +50 $37 86¢ $43 +$6 10-06 01:56