Incomplete-Cherry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

652

Trades

23,230

lifetime

Volume

$373.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-09 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 93% +$30

Other

10% 100% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 807 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	35	$8.8K	8,088	800	+7,288	open	—	07-26 19:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	38	$7.3K	6,850	550	+6,300	open	—	06-25 22:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	23	$5.0K	4,600	600	+4,000	open	—	08-09 05:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$4.7K	4,000	1,833	+2,167	open	—	08-03 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$3.8K	3,100	745	+2,355	open	—	07-02 15:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	10	$3.4K	3,714	0	+3,714	open	—	06-29 22:42
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	10	$2.9K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	06-25 07:39
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	5	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	07-22 04:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	18	$2.2K	1,193	1,193	+0	open	—	07-20 16:19
btc updown 5m 1785483600	3	$2.0K	2,123	0	+2,123	open	—	07-31 07:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	8	$1.9K	1,300	650	+650	open	—	06-27 20:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	06-25 16:12
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	06-27 07:33
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	4	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-28 07:00
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	8	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-18 00:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-21 12:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	6	$1.1K	800	400	+400	open	—	07-18 16:24
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	5	$1.0K	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	07-02 03:27
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	16	$1.0K	570	485	+85	open	—	06-26 21:52
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	8	$964	500	500	+0	open	—	06-22 14:35
btc updown 5m 1786101600	17	$962	965	0	+965	open	—	08-07 11:24
btc updown 5m 1785103200	17	$899	902	0	+902	open	—	07-26 22:04
btc updown 5m 1785189600	22	$850	857	0	+857	open	—	07-27 22:04
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$829	900	0	+900	open	—	07-22 15:16
btc updown 5m 1784599200	15	$773	781	0	+781	open	—	07-21 02:04
btc updown 5m 1784276100	15	$721	729	0	+729	open	—	07-17 08:18
btc updown 15m 1784969100	12	$707	708	0	+708	open	—	07-25 08:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	4	$692	600	100	+500	open	—	06-17 17:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	8	$683	390	303	+87	open	—	06-16 17:23
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	5	$655	500	200	+300	open	—	08-09 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 20:13:46	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x241fc0…
08-09 20:13:03	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xeaf3b0…
08-09 15:59:06	btc updown 15m 1786290300	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xd4d415…
08-09 15:59:06	btc updown 15m 1786290300	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xbcac95…
08-09 15:49:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x12ed8c…
08-09 14:58:25	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xfed7d9…
08-09 14:58:25	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a9716…
08-09 14:57:06	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x3fa9d7…
08-09 14:57:06	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x32c1d8…
08-09 14:57:06	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x1acab7…
08-09 14:27:46	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7c8a4c…
08-09 14:27:13	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5389d0…
08-09 14:27:13	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4a1d82…
08-09 13:43:04	btc updown 15m 1786282200	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf39405…
08-09 09:27:25	btc updown 15m 1786266900	Down	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xd0c735…
08-09 09:27:25	btc updown 15m 1786266900	Down	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x1d9b92…
08-09 08:04:25	btc updown 5m 1786262400	Up	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xddbd4e…
08-09 08:04:25	btc updown 5m 1786262400	Up	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa76fae…
08-09 05:00:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc798b5…
08-09 05:00:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xeacb9f…
08-08 04:11:33	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37d78e…
08-08 04:10:33	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42ac97…
08-08 04:05:12	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7cf635…
08-08 04:04:06	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2e0a54…
08-08 03:58:07	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a1dda…
08-08 03:58:04	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ab894…
08-07 19:28:15	btc updown 15m 1786130100	Up	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x743e82…
08-07 19:15:42	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0xbaa01d…
08-07 19:13:28	btc updown 15m 1786129200	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a67bc…
08-07 19:13:19	btc updown 15m 1786129200	Up	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7127df…
08-07 19:13:18	btc updown 15m 1786129200	Up	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x197eb3…
08-07 18:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786125600	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x03aa2d…
08-07 18:04:15	btc updown 5m 1786125600	Up	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xbcf569…
08-07 17:28:42	btc updown 15m 1786122900	Down	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x38dd33…
08-07 17:02:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb6b02a…
08-07 16:58:45	btc updown 15m 1786121100	Down	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7ce6c7…
08-07 16:58:13	btc updown 15m 1786121100	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5f2d12…
08-07 16:58:12	btc updown 15m 1786121100	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a7a22…
08-07 16:58:06	btc updown 15m 1786121100	Down	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x7c6bcc…
08-07 14:32:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x14ab72…
08-07 11:24:24	btc updown 5m 1786101600	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x6c2331…
08-07 11:24:21	btc updown 5m 1786101600	Up	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4af109…
08-07 11:24:16	btc updown 5m 1786101600	Up	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbe72b3…
08-07 11:23:19	btc updown 5m 1786101600	Up	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xcdf9b7…
08-07 09:28:55	btc updown 15m 1786094100	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e6232…
08-07 09:28:54	btc updown 15m 1786094100	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdc8f83…
08-07 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1786091400	Up	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x3c117a…
08-07 02:24:04	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xf4fe89…
08-07 02:24:04	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xe0b74f…
08-07 02:24:04	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x1c47a6…
08-07 02:23:55	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x06426f…
08-07 02:23:51	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd01eca…
08-07 02:23:49	btc updown 5m 1786069200	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfc281e…
08-06 18:04:05	btc updown 5m 1786039200	Down	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x1f53b3…
08-06 18:03:54	btc updown 5m 1786039200	Down	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7b0260…
08-06 18:03:51	btc updown 5m 1786039200	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x259525…
08-06 18:03:41	btc updown 5m 1786039200	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x625123…
08-06 18:03:27	btc updown 5m 1786039200	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xa0b03b…
08-05 20:24:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xd3cb0b…
08-05 19:58:15	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa6c2cb…
08-05 19:58:15	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1752ff…
08-05 18:13:11	btc updown 5m 1785953400	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x3fbd24…
08-05 17:59:42	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x44548c…
08-05 17:59:33	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5383dd…
08-05 17:59:32	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9ece9…
08-05 17:59:30	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46db0e…
08-05 16:29:47	btc updown 15m 1785946500	Up	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x972581…
08-05 16:29:21	btc updown 5m 1785947100	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x6ea63a…
08-05 16:29:15	btc updown 5m 1785947100	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1eddac…
08-05 16:27:54	btc updown 15m 1785946500	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x25fbf3…
08-05 16:23:51	btc updown 5m 1785946800	Down	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x7fb8b3…
08-05 16:23:26	btc updown 5m 1785946800	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x18b119…
08-05 16:13:09	btc updown 15m 1785945600	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc4f4f5…
08-05 07:59:11	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x0c923d…
08-05 07:59:09	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ecbc2…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xea5b3d…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xbc16eb…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xb1f407…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x456829…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x414bd3…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x298761…
08-05 07:59:08	btc updown 5m 1785916500	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x10ff7d…
08-05 07:58:15	btc updown 15m 1785915900	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5c6fd…
08-05 07:58:12	btc updown 15m 1785915900	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd6950d…
08-05 07:28:30	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xcd9180…
08-05 07:28:06	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Down	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x1ac056…
08-05 07:28:03	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdf5ac4…
08-05 02:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785896100	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf9e041…
08-05 02:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785896100	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x940eba…
08-05 02:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785896100	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x83e200…
08-05 02:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785896100	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x797052…
08-05 02:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785896100	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x6efd4f…
08-05 02:13:26	btc updown 15m 1785895200	Up	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xaa1afc…
08-05 01:58:27	btc updown 15m 1785894300	Up	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x60d73b…
08-05 01:09:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x9d0e3c…
08-05 01:09:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x89bfde…
08-05 01:05:33	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf9da83…
08-05 01:01:57	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaaf024…
08-05 00:58:56	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc19aa9…
08-05 00:13:42	btc updown 15m 1785888000	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3e4590…