Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
-$258
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
652
Trades
22,304
lifetime
Volume
$330.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$5.77K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 07-20 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
84% 93% +$30
Other
9% 100% +$0
Politics
6%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 807 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,514 $2,293 94¢ $2.4K +$81 06-29 22:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +967 $997 72¢ $701 $-295 07-17 18:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No +700 $645 94¢ $654 +$10 07-10 23:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $383 98¢ $392 +$9 06-13 06:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $360 90¢ $362 +$2 07-18 16:24
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -400 $-325 90¢ $-358 $-33 07-20 16:19
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -335 $-279 92¢ $-310 $-31 06-25 13:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -300 $-292 99¢ $-296 $-4 06-22 14:35
Human moon landing in 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 06-11 12:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$3 06-05 01:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +100 $94 95¢ $95 +$1 07-09 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -38 $-37 99¢ $-37 $-0 07-20 14:53