Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$15,338
Trades
1,300
Unique wallets
202
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-11-03
last 11-04 02:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.1¢
(top1%: 21% YES on $7.0K
vs crowd: 28% YES on $14.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $2.5K | $6.6K | $4.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 44 | $865 | $2.1K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 69 | $496 | $1.2K | $659 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 59 | $197 | $311 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 32 | $1.5K | $5.5K | $4.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 30 | $376 | $1.8K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $81 | $543 | $462 |
| Median | 23 | $66 | $100 | $34 |
| Below median | 39 | $125 | $122 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $51 | $366 | $315 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $308 | $427 | $119 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$260 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +2,992 | $1,970 | $1,970 | 83 | 11-04 02:27 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +2,341 | $767 | $767 | 145 | 11-04 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +1,899 | $551 | $551 | 5 | 11-04 02:24 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +1,147 | $105 | $105 | 14 | 11-04 02:43 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +1,055 | $746 | $746 | 13 | 11-04 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Up | +826 | $257 | $257 | 34 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +813 | $519 | $519 | 19 | 11-04 02:34 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Down | +810 | $707 | $707 | 4 | 11-04 02:45 |
| Crisp-Lesson 0x92c4…ffc4 | Up | +718 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 11-04 02:42 |
| Speedy-Horse 0x61ac…4781 | Up | +631 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 11-04 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0363…cac1 | Down | +493 | $365 | $365 | 52 | 11-04 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | +409 | $298 | $298 | 20 | 11-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Up | +396 | $79 | $79 | 21 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +394 | $291 | $291 | 5 | 11-04 02:42 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +360 | $122 | $122 | 11 | 11-04 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | +350 | $349 | $349 | 5 | 11-04 02:49 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Down | +322 | $154 | $154 | 4 | 11-04 02:00 |
| Snappy-Intervenor 0x2bc0…7871 | Up | +301 | $59 | $59 | 24 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Up | +298 | $66 | $66 | 25 | 11-04 02:43 |
| Bold-Childbirth 0x2817…8748 | Down | +279 | $275 | $275 | 5 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +271 | $27 | $27 | 8 | 11-04 02:42 |
| Snappy-Intervenor 0x2bc0…7871 | Down | +254 | $177 | $177 | 22 | 11-04 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Down | +236 | $159 | $159 | 17 | 11-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bd0…00bf | Down | +233 | $194 | $223 | 5 | 11-04 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc545…64c5 | Down | +223 | $188 | $587 | 11 | 11-04 02:43 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +206 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 11-04 02:16 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +206 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Up | +200 | -$3 | $27 | 6 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x55fb…1ad4 | Down | +200 | $122 | $122 | 5 | 11-04 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f8b…ba14 | Up | +199 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 11-04 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | +194 | $129 | $129 | 18 | 11-04 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc7…cde4 | Down | +179 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 11-04 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +166 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 11-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +161 | $122 | $122 | 11 | 11-04 02:49 |
| Extraneous-Paperwork 0xe02c…4ab1 | Up | +160 | $82 | $82 | 6 | 11-04 02:10 |
| Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | +160 | $159 | $159 | 2 | 11-04 02:49 |
| Definitive-Directive 0x5b1a…5abf | Down | +158 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 11-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | +150 | $136 | $136 | 6 | 11-04 02:40 |
| Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | +144 | $143 | $143 | 9 | 11-04 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4286…6dba | Up | +138 | $15 | $15 | 10 | 11-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | +134 | $43 | $43 | 13 | 11-04 02:34 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +120 | $78 | $78 | 7 | 11-04 02:42 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | +115 | $75 | $75 | 8 | 11-04 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4286…6dba | Down | +105 | $73 | $73 | 8 | 11-04 02:40 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +102 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 11-04 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe817…6bad | Down | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd245…356a | Up | +100 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 11-04 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc42…0870 | Up | +100 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 11-04 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc545…64c5 | Up | +100 | $12 | $16 | 3 | 11-04 02:36 |
| Critical-Seagull 0xac64…818e | Down | +95 | $66 | $66 | 16 | 11-04 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bf…f861 | Up | +91 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-04 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Down | +90 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 11-04 02:18 |
| Distinct-Inspection 0x9502…ba22 | Up | +77 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 11-04 02:00 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | +72 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 11-04 02:49 |
| Critical-Seagull 0xac64…818e | Up | +66 | $24 | $24 | 15 | 11-04 02:29 |
| Occasional-Pressurization 0x5a78…4ae1 | Up | +60 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 11-04 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x93fd…9fdc | Up | +50 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 11-04 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Up | +48 | -$1 | $4 | 5 | 11-04 02:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2314…e17b | Up | +44 | $17 | $60 | 21 | 11-04 02:40 |
| Radiant-Logic 0x1511…5785 | Up | +39 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-04 02:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 02:50:04 | Scarce-Review-Backdrop 0x9322…1c04 | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xef6ef0… |
| 11-04 02:50:04 | (anonymous) 0x335d…b0ac | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xef6ef0… |
| 11-04 02:49:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe37ca7… |
| 11-04 02:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x93fd…9fdc | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe37ca7… |
| 11-04 02:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xe37ca7… |
| 11-04 02:49:46 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xbf6c37… |
| 11-04 02:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x97dd…d717 | Down | SELL | 206 | 100¢ | $206 | 0xbf6c37… |
| 11-04 02:49:46 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xbf6c37… |
| 11-04 02:49:46 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbf6c37… |
| 11-04 02:49:34 | Humble-Replacement 0x101f…26ab | Up | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bb962… |
| 11-04 02:49:34 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bb962… |
| 11-04 02:49:34 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bb962… |
| 11-04 02:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0x4bb962… |
| 11-04 02:49:34 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bb962… |
| 11-04 02:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x95e0…982e | Down | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe711da… |
| 11-04 02:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe711da… |
| 11-04 02:49:18 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x468907… |
| 11-04 02:49:18 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x468907… |
| 11-04 02:49:01 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffb9bf… |
| 11-04 02:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0xffb9bf… |
| 11-04 02:49:01 | Petty-Importance 0xf0eb…c5f6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xffb9bf… |
| 11-04 02:48:46 | Unkempt-Gokart 0xa9ee…cb04 | Down | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbf8148… |
| 11-04 02:48:46 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbf8148… |
| 11-04 02:48:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x584bad… |
| 11-04 02:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x584bad… |
| 11-04 02:48:27 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x303c93… |
| 11-04 02:48:27 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x54bbff… |
| 11-04 02:48:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x303c93… |
| 11-04 02:48:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54bbff… |
| 11-04 02:48:25 | Petty-Importance 0xf0eb…c5f6 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5fbfbb… |
| 11-04 02:48:25 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fbfbb… |
| 11-04 02:47:54 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd9e87… |
| 11-04 02:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x93fd…9fdc | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd9e87… |
| 11-04 02:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x93fd…9fdc | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c4eba… |
| 11-04 02:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xb856…9d7e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5c4eba… |
| 11-04 02:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x4320…bb10 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7b957b… |
| 11-04 02:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b957b… |
| 11-04 02:46:10 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x72a0d7… |
| 11-04 02:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x72a0d7… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d8370… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x432fa2… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d8370… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7aa4df… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x432fa2… |
| 11-04 02:46:06 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7aa4df… |
| 11-04 02:46:04 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa997f5… |
| 11-04 02:46:04 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x297172… |
| 11-04 02:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa997f5… |
| 11-04 02:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x297172… |
| 11-04 02:45:57 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1955e0… |
| 11-04 02:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1955e0… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x377481… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc3349… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x291e5e… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcc3349… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x377481… |
| 11-04 02:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x291e5e… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6a97f… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x66150f… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f8f22… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa100c7… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa100c7… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1f8f22… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa6a97f… |
| 11-04 02:45:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66150f… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbbaa6e… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbaa6e… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x52dff4… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1f3ad8… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f3ad8… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52dff4… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd98b35… |
| 11-04 02:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd98b35… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a7901… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb52aeb… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x156b75… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb52aeb… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd557da… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd557da… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x156b75… |
| 11-04 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a7901… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c9425… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xca8117… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca8117… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3dc870… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c9425… |
| 11-04 02:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3dc870… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2192bf… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f6219… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfb3ad3… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1b6b76… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2192bf… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb3ad3… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b6b76… |
| 11-04 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9f6219… |
| 11-04 02:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x98f388… |
| 11-04 02:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1c67d7… |
| 11-04 02:45:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68fce1… |
| 11-04 02:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…e90a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x68fce1… |
| 11-04 02:45:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98f388… |