Scarce-Review-Backdrop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,033

lifetime

Volume

$213.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-06 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% +$128

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 12pm et	3	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-18 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	7	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-20 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-23 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-03 16:02
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	2	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-04 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-18 12:27
bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 1am et	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-02 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	4	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-24 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	14	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-02 23:59
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	2	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	6	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-22 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	3	$891	900	0	+900	Down	+$9	05-08 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	10	$672	673	0	+673	open	—	05-24 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	1	$599	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-13 14:11
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 12pm et	3	$504	510	10	+500	open	—	06-26 16:55
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	14	$504	504	0	+504	open	—	06-18 20:08
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 11pm et	3	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	06-28 03:58
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 12pm et	2	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	06-27 16:57
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	06-30 01:57
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 5pm et	3	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	06-27 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	9	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	05-24 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	12	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	05-25 23:09
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	5	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-30 05:00
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 5am et	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-18 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 10:56
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	07-01 10:54
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 6pm et	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	07-03 22:56
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	2	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	07-06 02:57
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-27 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 17:58:16	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x388ccb…
07-06 17:58:07	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x92c2a3…
07-06 17:57:11	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1c1092…
07-06 17:57:10	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff4745…
07-06 17:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf44df0…
07-06 07:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xdb0903…
07-06 06:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6daf51…
07-06 05:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xa6e6fb…
07-06 03:50:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xfd9a46…
07-06 02:57:32	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2be718…
07-06 02:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	405	100¢	$405	0x529d51…
07-05 23:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x91e9c3…
07-05 19:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xcf8be7…
07-05 12:59:43	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf9ae8a…
07-05 12:58:49	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0419e…
07-05 12:58:26	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb2bf6c…
07-05 12:58:16	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x468731…
07-05 12:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0xb11a35…
07-05 11:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4a48c2…
07-05 10:57:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc52095…
07-05 08:04:41	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0x4d9e16…
07-05 08:02:43	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24b3ec…
07-05 08:00:37	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e19d5…
07-05 08:00:08	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x4ceb42…
07-05 07:57:46	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a428c…
07-05 07:57:28	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b47e0…
07-05 07:57:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x535727…
07-05 06:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x5e0b61…
07-05 05:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x76c3b4…
07-05 04:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xfcc7cd…
07-05 04:12:25	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8290c…
07-05 04:07:55	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd6352e…
07-05 04:06:59	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x61fcee…
07-05 04:02:55	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0478d0…
07-05 04:02:22	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8cc866…
07-05 04:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd41494…
07-05 04:00:08	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0x47c2e6…
07-05 03:58:55	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x908ba2…
07-05 03:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x78a8be…
07-05 02:50:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6143d9…
07-05 00:53:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xff5091…
07-05 00:53:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0x0fd8f5…
07-04 23:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0xfe22b4…
07-04 22:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xb74524…
07-04 21:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x01ec61…
07-04 18:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4828f1…
07-04 15:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x224782…
07-04 14:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x08f4a1…
07-04 12:58:49	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x647bd2…
07-04 12:54:01	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x3166a4…
07-04 12:53:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc4e565…
07-04 12:53:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xc9f031…
07-04 10:57:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x6de36a…
07-04 08:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x85e098…
07-04 07:59:56	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb2f62c…
07-04 07:58:46	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4af4e5…
07-04 07:58:32	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f170f…
07-04 07:58:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x2064b4…
07-04 06:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x1e7e14…
07-04 05:51:05	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xcece91…
07-04 03:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x01a8b0…
07-04 01:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xac870d…
07-04 00:50:08	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x64b807…
07-03 22:56:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xc755f8…
07-03 21:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x1ec0d4…
07-03 18:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	500	95¢	$473	0xbf0ebd…
07-03 17:57:16	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x1d131a…
07-03 17:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	375	100¢	$375	0x51468a…
07-03 17:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x287fae…
07-03 16:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1cd2e3…
07-03 12:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x08a7bf…
07-03 11:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x065c8e…
07-03 10:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x66da79…
07-03 10:01:16	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa35d6…
07-03 09:59:23	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x48d2e0…
07-03 09:57:41	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x564293…
07-03 09:57:38	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x454230…
07-03 09:57:31	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x891a4e…
07-03 09:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x29831a…
07-03 06:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	500	91¢	$454	0xbed2e1…
07-03 05:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb6dfdd…
07-03 04:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	500	92¢	$461	0x21d62a…
07-03 03:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	500	91¢	$456	0x2fb86b…
07-03 02:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x0e6810…
07-03 00:52:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x184f7d…
07-02 20:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	500	97¢	$483	0x50b5dc…
07-02 19:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xe228cb…
07-02 18:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xc24e83…
07-02 07:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5b9b22…
07-02 07:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	467	100¢	$467	0x4345b3…
07-02 05:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf3071c…
07-02 04:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf00c04…
07-02 00:54:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x694ae5…
07-01 19:57:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	334	99¢	$331	0x7298b6…
07-01 19:57:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x33751d…
07-01 19:57:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xf0b482…
07-01 18:58:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	500	92¢	$461	0xb3a37b…
07-01 16:57:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0xef683c…
07-01 16:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb647eb…
07-01 12:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x66bc0f…