Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$1,160
$67,944 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 15:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $144
vs crowd: 71% YES on $671)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $152 | — | +$152 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $211 | $28 | +$182 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $111 | $169 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $144 | — | +$144 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $36 | $27 | +$9 |
| Median | 9 | $10 | $129 | $119 |
| Below median | 5 | $79 | $4 | +$75 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $188 | — | +$188 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovial-Inspector 0xcf3a…7b13 | Up | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:53 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +400 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +205 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5456…689c | Up | +147 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 13:18 |
| Austere-Storytelling 0xbcb7…6f32 | Down | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 13:48 |
| Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Up | +100 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-13 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +90 | $62 | $114 | 2 | 05-13 13:28 |
| Firsthand-Nutmeg 0xc21c…83ad | Up | +66 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-13 12:58 |
| Idealistic-Controversy 0xff50…ca92 | Down | +64 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 13:23 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +47 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 05-13 13:33 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | +20 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Wrathful-Minion 0x21e6…2bd9 | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 12:38 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | +20 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 13:28 |
| Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | +12 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 12:38 |
| Rotating-Maize 0xd9a1…3346 | Up | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 13:08 |
| Sick-Disposition 0xc047…cce5 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 12:38 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 13:33 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x33d6…5e88 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 13:13 |
| Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 13:03 |
| Daring-Conspiracy-Suspension 0x2714…ad8f | Down | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 13:48 |
| Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Terrific-Note 0xf432…52ae | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd85d…796d | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 15:08:34 | Anguished-Zephyr 0xfc05…03db | Down | SELL | 121 | 100¢ | $121 | 0xf1e4b6… |
| 05-13 14:23:34 | Chilly-Giraffe 0xf518…07bc | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa84556… |
| 05-13 14:01:33 | Discrete-Suite 0xcede…e6c9 | Down | SELL | 251 | 100¢ | $251 | 0xe947c8… |
| 05-13 13:53:25 | Jovial-Inspector 0xcf3a…7b13 | Up | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1fff23… |
| 05-13 13:48:29 | Daring-Conspiracy-Suspension 0x2714…ad8f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd2198f… |
| 05-13 13:48:29 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf66a88… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xd4d827… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Austere-Storytelling 0xbcb7…6f32 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x690726… |
| 05-13 13:48:17 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x18974c… |
| 05-13 13:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xd85d…796d | Down | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x43b93b… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb43541… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 205 | 14¢ | $28 | 0x74ae76… |
| 05-13 13:38:30 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x2df024… |
| 05-13 13:38:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 400 | 16¢ | $64 | 0xea79fd… |
| 05-13 13:38:22 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xf5fad7… |
| 05-13 13:38:20 | Sinful-Eponym 0xc304…9a3e | Up | SELL | 101 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xebfefe… |
| 05-13 13:38:20 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xfb64ad… |
| 05-13 13:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x33d6…5e88 | Down | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xa16ea7… |
| 05-13 13:38:13 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7bbe16… |
| 05-13 13:38:09 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeb7170… |
| 05-13 13:33:31 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xf8e5e4… |
| 05-13 13:33:31 | Sinful-Eponym 0xc304…9a3e | Up | BUY | 34 | 52¢ | $18 | 0xb7d55a… |
| 05-13 13:33:31 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xbebd99… |
| 05-13 13:33:31 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 52¢ | $11 | 0xd235cf… |
| 05-13 13:33:29 | Sinful-Eponym 0xc304…9a3e | Up | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x562f8f… |
| 05-13 13:33:28 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x63899e… |
| 05-13 13:28:30 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x6e8670… |
| 05-13 13:28:30 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x8ab5d1… |
| 05-13 13:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | SELL | 50 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x359757… |
| 05-13 13:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 141 | 63¢ | $88 | 0xf5df24… |
| 05-13 13:23:26 | Idealistic-Controversy 0xff50…ca92 | Down | BUY | 64 | 39¢ | $25 | 0xffe197… |
| 05-13 13:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x5456…689c | Up | BUY | 147 | 68¢ | $100 | 0x73e086… |
| 05-13 13:18:23 | Terrific-Note 0xf432…52ae | Up | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x47e743… |
| 05-13 13:13:29 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe58dd1… |
| 05-13 13:13:29 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0d2438… |
| 05-13 13:08:23 | Rotating-Maize 0xd9a1…3346 | Up | BUY | 11 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xe71014… |
| 05-13 13:08:19 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x70e0e5… |
| 05-13 13:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x8623…66d4 | Down | SELL | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd295e0… |
| 05-13 13:03:20 | Naive-Violet 0x2ca1…6dba | Up | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x0fd9cc… |
| 05-13 13:03:16 | Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xa1d724… |
| 05-13 12:58:21 | Firsthand-Nutmeg 0xc21c…83ad | Up | BUY | 66 | 53¢ | $35 | 0xc174ef… |
| 05-13 12:38:25 | Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xcec230… |
| 05-13 12:38:24 | Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x7c1221… |
| 05-13 12:38:20 | Wrathful-Minion 0x21e6…2bd9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xe33c7f… |
| 05-13 12:38:20 | Sick-Disposition 0xc047…cce5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x3023c3… |
| 05-13 12:38:18 | Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Up | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x382d15… |
| 05-13 12:28:30 | Essential-Pagan 0xd77d…352f | Down | SELL | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x7cd7af… |
| 05-12 19:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | SELL | 51 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xee68b9… |
| 05-12 18:52:30 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | BUY | 51 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x9f37ba… |