Pessimistic-Prisoner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

102

Trades

1,187

lifetime

Volume

$213.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-30 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-1,031

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	2	$3.0K	1,788	1,788	+0	open	—	01-15 14:29
btc updown 15m 1774350000	2	$2.6K	1,656	1,632	+24	open	—	03-24 11:12
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	3	$2.0K	1,360	1,360	+0	open	—	02-08 16:15
btc updown 5m 1780671900	3	$1.8K	1,205	1,205	+0	open	—	06-05 15:09
bitcoin up or down february 7 2am et	2	$1.8K	972	972	+0	open	—	02-07 08:34
btc updown 5m 1781205900	2	$1.6K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	06-11 19:29
btc updown 5m 1782849900	2	$1.6K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	06-30 20:10
solana up or down january 13 9am et	3	$1.5K	1,336	1,336	+0	open	—	01-13 15:00
btc updown 15m 1775594700	4	$1.5K	1,038	1,006	+31	open	—	04-07 21:00
btc updown 5m 1774378200	2	$1.5K	1,015	999	+16	open	—	03-24 18:56
btc updown 5m 1776019500	2	$1.4K	946	914	+32	open	—	04-12 18:50
btc updown 15m 1770901200	1	$1.4K	2,546	0	+2,546	open	—	02-12 12:59
btc updown 15m 1774288800	2	$1.4K	861	849	+12	open	—	03-23 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$1.3K	866	866	+0	Down	+$393	05-08 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1.3K	878	878	+0	Down	+$417	05-07 13:14
btc updown 15m 1775915100	2	$1.3K	879	849	+30	open	—	04-11 14:01
bitcoin up or down february 11 5am et	2	$1.2K	819	819	+0	open	—	02-11 11:55
btc updown 5m 1774300800	2	$1.2K	821	808	+13	open	—	03-23 21:24
btc updown 5m 1775986500	3	$1.2K	913	876	+37	open	—	04-12 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$1.2K	1,277	1,277	+0	Down	+$170	05-08 12:59
btc updown 5m 1781251200	4	$1.2K	777	777	+0	open	—	06-12 08:05
btc updown 5m 1775973300	3	$1.2K	799	770	+29	open	—	04-12 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776012600	2	$1.1K	756	730	+26	open	—	04-12 16:55
btc updown 5m 1781182800	2	$1.1K	720	720	+0	open	—	06-11 13:05
btc updown 5m 1781124000	2	$1.1K	720	720	+0	open	—	06-10 20:45
btc updown 5m 1774300200	2	$1.1K	712	701	+11	open	—	03-23 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$1.0K	742	742	+0	open	—	05-15 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$906	632	632	+0	Down	+$306	05-04 21:19
bitcoin up or down january 13 4am et	2	$894	645	645	+0	open	—	01-13 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$880	586	586	+0	open	—	05-26 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:15:11	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0xa78c8f…
06-30 20:10:29	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x661981…
06-30 20:10:11	btc updown 5m 1782849900	Up	SELL	1,111	99¢	$1,100	0xd1f634…
06-30 20:09:34	btc updown 5m 1782849900	Up	BUY	1,111	42¢	$462	0x137cee…
06-30 19:59:55	btc updown 5m 1782849600	Up	BUY	980	50¢	$490	0x733b9c…
06-30 19:39:55	btc updown 5m 1782848400	Down	BUY	594	52¢	$310	0x816e14…
06-30 19:39:34	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	SELL	363	88¢	$319	0xabc828…
06-30 19:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	BUY	363	46¢	$167	0x74cc38…
06-30 11:26:19	btc updown 5m 1782818700	Down	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xb9d51a…
06-30 10:20:02	btc updown 5m 1782814800	Down	BUY	388	52¢	$200	0x4030cd…
06-30 09:19:56	btc updown 5m 1782811200	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x29c591…
06-30 08:09:43	btc updown 5m 1782807000	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x83b30e…
06-30 08:05:02	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xdfca61…
06-30 08:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x6afe4c…
06-30 06:45:04	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Up	BUY	604	50¢	$300	0x1bce00…
06-29 22:00:10	btc updown 5m 1782770400	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf27370…
06-29 20:39:53	btc updown 5m 1782765600	Down	BUY	303	51¢	$156	0x886fd9…
06-24 17:15:02	btc updown 5m 1782321300	Up	BUY	86	53¢	$45	0x78ab24…
06-24 16:04:50	btc updown 5m 1782317100	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x8fa37f…
06-24 15:59:14	btc updown 5m 1782316500	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x8e3aa6…
06-24 15:54:16	btc updown 5m 1782316500	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xe2f4cd…
06-23 19:24:35	btc updown 5m 1782242700	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x39c278…
06-18 08:14:46	btc updown 15m 1781769600	Down	SELL	523	2¢	$11	0xb8a46d…
06-18 08:12:41	btc updown 15m 1781769600	Down	BUY	523	37¢	$194	0xb402aa…
06-18 07:49:28	btc updown 5m 1781769000	Down	BUY	204	53¢	$108	0x4cf4c6…
06-18 07:47:29	btc updown 5m 1781768700	Down	SELL	202	8¢	$16	0xe4c53f…
06-18 07:46:29	btc updown 5m 1781768700	Down	BUY	202	49¢	$99	0x44a979…
06-17 16:00:04	btc updown 5m 1781712000	Down	BUY	498	55¢	$272	0x35c3eb…
06-17 14:45:04	btc updown 5m 1781707500	Down	BUY	281	51¢	$143	0x292090…
06-17 06:45:43	sol updown 5m 1781678700	Down	BUY	211	42¢	$88	0x675b95…
06-17 06:34:52	sol updown 5m 1781678100	Down	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0x2f5bb7…
06-17 06:20:29	btc updown 5m 1781677200	Down	BUY	46	57¢	$27	0x6e5236…
06-16 13:19:56	btc updown 5m 1781616000	Down	BUY	546	52¢	$285	0x299574…
06-16 13:09:45	btc updown 5m 1781615400	Up	BUY	290	54¢	$158	0x7a05a9…
06-16 12:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781613000	Up	BUY	506	49¢	$250	0xb8162d…
06-16 11:23:27	btc updown 15m 1781608500	Down	BUY	910	44¢	$403	0x37f2d5…
06-16 10:55:10	btc updown 5m 1781607000	Down	SELL	424	99¢	$420	0x91e676…
06-16 10:50:33	btc updown 5m 1781607000	Down	BUY	424	44¢	$187	0x149cb6…
06-16 10:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781606700	Up	BUY	505	53¢	$270	0xce5a8e…
06-16 08:06:45	btc updown 5m 1781597100	Up	BUY	278	45¢	$125	0xba8292…
06-15 19:42:58	btc updown 5m 1781552400	Down	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x3274cb…
06-14 20:44:13	sol updown 5m 1781469900	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x1148a2…
06-14 18:07:28	btc updown 15m 1781460000	Up	BUY	371	57¢	$211	0x174d31…
06-14 11:45:15	sol updown 5m 1781437500	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xdccbc6…
06-14 11:30:10	btc updown 5m 1781436600	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb57053…
06-13 14:13:43	btc updown 5m 1781359800	Up	BUY	113	46¢	$52	0x694f3a…
06-13 13:56:27	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Down	BUY	121	57¢	$69	0xf86b1a…
06-13 13:55:36	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Up	SELL	226	33¢	$75	0xc7cc7e…
06-13 13:54:51	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Up	BUY	226	50¢	$113	0x8eb734…
06-13 12:15:03	btc updown 5m 1781352900	Down	BUY	410	54¢	$223	0x2ac5eb…
06-13 11:59:54	btc updown 5m 1781352000	Up	BUY	1,012	49¢	$498	0x7d4a8b…
06-13 10:40:15	btc updown 5m 1781346900	Up	SELL	521	99¢	$516	0x6b1596…
06-13 10:36:52	btc updown 5m 1781346900	Up	BUY	521	45¢	$235	0xbdff8f…
06-13 10:34:51	btc updown 5m 1781346600	Up	SELL	247	99¢	$245	0x608045…
06-13 10:30:09	btc updown 5m 1781346600	Up	BUY	247	50¢	$124	0xdb9dd5…
06-13 09:59:54	btc updown 5m 1781344800	Up	BUY	458	55¢	$250	0xe0fbfa…
06-13 09:46:34	btc updown 5m 1781343900	Up	BUY	458	41¢	$188	0x2108fa…
06-13 08:57:03	btc updown 5m 1781340900	Up	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0xc74160…
06-13 08:56:33	btc updown 5m 1781340900	Up	BUY	106	54¢	$58	0x337f6f…
06-12 18:54:58	btc updown 5m 1781290500	Down	BUY	214	51¢	$110	0xa3f969…
06-12 12:28:49	btc updown 5m 1781267100	Up	SELL	497	2¢	$10	0xa23dc3…
06-12 12:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781267100	Up	BUY	497	53¢	$263	0x077682…
06-12 11:34:58	btc updown 5m 1781264100	Up	BUY	781	50¢	$387	0x25aa64…
06-12 11:33:01	btc updown 5m 1781263800	Up	SELL	757	2¢	$15	0x9dcce4…
06-12 11:30:06	btc updown 5m 1781263800	Up	BUY	757	52¢	$395	0xf52640…
06-12 11:25:25	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Up	BUY	406	49¢	$200	0xee75b8…
06-12 09:44:51	btc updown 5m 1781257500	Down	BUY	935	60¢	$556	0xd10076…
06-12 09:44:51	btc updown 5m 1781257500	Down	BUY	298	56¢	$168	0x870d2f…
06-12 09:42:43	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Down	BUY	556	45¢	$250	0xd61d4e…
06-12 08:05:07	btc updown 5m 1781251200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x592528…
06-12 08:04:49	btc updown 5m 1781251200	Up	SELL	776	99¢	$768	0x06133c…
06-12 07:59:46	btc updown 5m 1781251200	Up	BUY	360	52¢	$187	0x639a79…
06-12 07:59:46	btc updown 5m 1781251200	Up	BUY	417	50¢	$210	0x3f5aa7…
06-12 07:40:07	btc updown 5m 1781250000	Up	BUY	356	56¢	$200	0xf216a8…
06-11 22:29:55	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Up	SELL	573	99¢	$567	0x8f36f3…
06-11 22:25:00	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Up	BUY	573	51¢	$295	0xfeab9e…
06-11 22:00:19	btc updown 5m 1781215200	Down	BUY	566	44¢	$250	0x943243…
06-11 20:06:31	btc updown 5m 1781208300	Down	BUY	1,330	45¢	$593	0x8da5e4…
06-11 20:06:31	btc updown 5m 1781208300	Down	BUY	258	46¢	$119	0x1bfbd1…
06-11 20:00:04	btc updown 5m 1781208000	Down	BUY	689	36¢	$250	0x0aa015…
06-11 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1781205900	Down	SELL	1,014	99¢	$1,004	0x78ddad…
06-11 19:25:07	btc updown 5m 1781205900	Down	BUY	1,014	56¢	$572	0x7e1067…
06-11 19:21:06	btc updown 5m 1781205600	Down	BUY	660	45¢	$297	0xb7c6a1…
06-11 19:14:33	btc updown 5m 1781205300	Down	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x377898…
06-11 15:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Up	SELL	567	94¢	$533	0x4bbb95…
06-11 15:34:57	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Up	BUY	567	52¢	$296	0xb14aaf…
06-11 15:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781191500	Down	BUY	302	53¢	$160	0xb46c72…
06-11 15:15:36	btc updown 5m 1781190900	Down	BUY	570	46¢	$262	0xa655f6…
06-11 14:04:40	btc updown 5m 1781186700	Down	BUY	340	55¢	$186	0xb25483…
06-11 14:04:40	btc updown 5m 1781186700	Down	BUY	522	53¢	$275	0x69cdc8…
06-11 13:46:18	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	574	54¢	$309	0xbabe3a…
06-11 13:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781185200	Down	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x83d6c8…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Down	SELL	720	99¢	$713	0xbb7d49…
06-11 12:59:57	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Down	BUY	720	56¢	$400	0x7e08ee…
06-11 12:54:31	btc updown 5m 1781182500	Down	BUY	383	52¢	$200	0x591c29…
06-11 12:06:12	btc updown 5m 1781179500	Down	BUY	415	46¢	$189	0x11a30c…
06-11 11:49:49	btc updown 5m 1781178600	Up	BUY	396	49¢	$196	0x621e29…
06-11 11:46:58	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	350	41¢	$145	0xe3acf4…
06-11 08:45:04	btc updown 5m 1781167500	Up	BUY	587	49¢	$285	0x1137d5…
06-11 08:39:39	btc updown 5m 1781167200	Up	BUY	515	49¢	$250	0x7a91ac…