Pessimistic-Prisoner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

102

Trades

1,047

lifetime

Volume

$180.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-09 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-1,031

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	2	$3.0K	1,788	1,788	+0	open	—	01-15 14:29
btc updown 15m 1774350000	2	$2.6K	1,656	1,632	+24	open	—	03-24 11:12
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	3	$2.0K	1,360	1,360	+0	open	—	02-08 16:15
btc updown 5m 1780671900	3	$1.8K	1,205	1,205	+0	open	—	06-05 15:09
bitcoin up or down february 7 2am et	2	$1.8K	972	972	+0	open	—	02-07 08:34
solana up or down january 13 9am et	3	$1.5K	1,336	1,336	+0	open	—	01-13 15:00
btc updown 15m 1775594700	4	$1.5K	1,038	1,006	+31	open	—	04-07 21:00
btc updown 5m 1774378200	2	$1.5K	1,015	999	+16	open	—	03-24 18:56
btc updown 5m 1776019500	2	$1.4K	946	914	+32	open	—	04-12 18:50
btc updown 15m 1770901200	1	$1.4K	2,546	0	+2,546	open	—	02-12 12:59
btc updown 15m 1774288800	2	$1.4K	861	849	+12	open	—	03-23 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$1.3K	866	866	+0	Down	+$393	05-08 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1.3K	878	878	+0	Down	+$417	05-07 13:14
btc updown 15m 1775915100	2	$1.3K	879	849	+30	open	—	04-11 14:01
bitcoin up or down february 11 5am et	2	$1.2K	819	819	+0	open	—	02-11 11:55
btc updown 5m 1774300800	2	$1.2K	821	808	+13	open	—	03-23 21:24
btc updown 5m 1775986500	3	$1.2K	913	876	+37	open	—	04-12 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$1.2K	1,277	1,277	+0	Down	+$170	05-08 12:59
btc updown 5m 1775973300	3	$1.2K	799	770	+29	open	—	04-12 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776012600	2	$1.1K	756	730	+26	open	—	04-12 16:55
btc updown 5m 1774300200	2	$1.1K	712	701	+11	open	—	03-23 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$1.0K	742	742	+0	open	—	05-15 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$906	632	632	+0	Down	+$306	05-04 21:19
bitcoin up or down january 13 4am et	2	$894	645	645	+0	open	—	01-13 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$880	586	586	+0	open	—	05-26 12:07
btc updown 15m 1775582100	2	$866	608	586	+22	open	—	04-07 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$846	826	826	+0	open	—	05-15 20:34
btc updown 5m 1772541300	2	$831	531	523	+8	open	—	03-03 12:41
btc updown 15m 1769114700	2	$825	571	563	+9	open	—	01-22 21:00
btc updown 5m 1775987700	2	$823	566	546	+20	open	—	04-12 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:29:46	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Up	BUY	316	52¢	$165	0xca64fe…
06-09 17:45:22	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Down	BUY	382	52¢	$200	0x771db3…
06-09 16:12:51	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	BUY	648	31¢	$199	0x5530b4…
06-09 15:54:57	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	BUY	403	49¢	$196	0x63ef77…
06-09 15:50:25	btc updown 5m 1781020200	Down	BUY	303	55¢	$165	0x77d454…
06-09 15:44:30	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	129	33¢	$43	0xaf2666…
06-09 14:10:54	btc updown 5m 1781014200	Down	BUY	511	56¢	$288	0xda9088…
06-09 13:35:06	btc updown 5m 1781012100	Up	BUY	203	54¢	$110	0x2e0804…
06-09 13:20:57	btc updown 5m 1781011200	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x0c7c26…
06-09 13:16:52	btc updown 5m 1781010900	Up	BUY	171	38¢	$65	0xa1aeed…
06-09 13:04:57	btc updown 5m 1781010000	Down	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x442fa0…
06-09 13:03:58	btc updown 5m 1781010000	Down	BUY	170	50¢	$85	0x7eb97e…
06-09 10:51:03	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Up	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x897fa6…
06-09 10:46:39	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Down	BUY	67	41¢	$27	0xc7cb49…
06-08 12:55:10	btc updown 5m 1780923300	Down	BUY	379	47¢	$177	0xe43326…
06-07 22:04:37	btc updown 5m 1780869900	Down	BUY	133	50¢	$67	0x5229d3…
06-06 13:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780751100	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x76c98f…
06-06 08:57:45	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xbbc060…
06-06 08:47:55	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x50dc2d…
06-06 08:35:25	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Up	BUY	414	51¢	$210	0x7c84ea…
06-05 19:43:10	btc updown 15m 1780687800	Up	SELL	524	2¢	$10	0xd16b68…
06-05 19:39:43	btc updown 15m 1780687800	Up	BUY	525	38¢	$200	0x3baedd…
06-05 18:35:01	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	613	48¢	$295	0xef0f28…
06-05 18:26:16	btc updown 5m 1780683900	Up	BUY	420	46¢	$193	0xa4efd9…
06-05 15:09:15	btc updown 5m 1780671900	Down	SELL	1,205	99¢	$1,193	0x4785b8…
06-05 15:04:58	btc updown 5m 1780671900	Down	BUY	1,098	52¢	$570	0xa09bca…
06-05 15:04:58	btc updown 5m 1780671900	Down	BUY	107	54¢	$58	0x0be521…
06-05 15:00:06	btc updown 5m 1780671600	Down	BUY	187	55¢	$103	0xe0b6ae…
06-05 14:54:51	btc updown 5m 1780671300	Down	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xf7c1de…
06-05 13:39:48	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	BUY	422	51¢	$217	0xe14278…
06-05 12:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780660800	Down	BUY	816	50¢	$405	0xcf852d…
06-05 11:50:39	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	BUY	420	49¢	$206	0xa0e817…
06-05 11:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Up	BUY	213	50¢	$107	0x030ceb…
06-05 11:00:31	btc updown 5m 1780657200	Up	BUY	427	45¢	$190	0x26ffef…
06-05 10:59:00	btc updown 5m 1780656900	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xf125a0…
06-05 10:34:31	btc updown 5m 1780655400	Up	BUY	283	56¢	$160	0xf79573…
06-05 10:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Down	BUY	366	54¢	$198	0xade74d…
06-05 09:55:51	btc updown 5m 1780653300	Down	BUY	171	37¢	$63	0x3dac76…
06-05 09:55:21	btc updown 5m 1780653300	Down	BUY	232	54¢	$125	0x31c1b2…
06-05 09:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780653000	Down	BUY	380	50¢	$190	0x23c484…
06-04 15:14:57	btc updown 5m 1780586100	Up	BUY	476	49¢	$235	0xeada7a…
06-04 14:54:55	btc updown 5m 1780584900	Up	BUY	244	51¢	$124	0xef57d9…
06-04 08:15:40	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Up	SELL	420	24¢	$102	0xa45d5a…
06-04 08:14:49	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Up	BUY	420	50¢	$210	0xa7c9df…
06-04 07:23:37	btc updown 5m 1780557900	Down	BUY	394	49¢	$193	0xe176aa…
06-03 20:40:25	btc updown 15m 1780518600	Up	SELL	367	1¢	$4	0xe01b3c…
06-03 20:30:40	btc updown 15m 1780518600	Up	BUY	367	55¢	$200	0xd4b51f…
06-03 20:21:39	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	425	24¢	$100	0x7e8105…
06-03 20:08:42	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe317c5…
06-03 20:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc27b6b…
06-03 19:45:15	btc updown 5m 1780515900	Down	BUY	467	49¢	$229	0x173b30…
06-03 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	497	50¢	$247	0x9d5ec0…
06-03 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	256	53¢	$135	0x3730a1…
06-03 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	765	52¢	$400	0xcff71f…
06-03 13:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	27¢	$17	0x3978b9…
06-02 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	87	49¢	$42	0xdf3da6…
06-01 18:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0xf521e2…
06-01 18:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	510	52¢	$265	0x8d820e…
05-31 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x702c68…
05-31 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	370	98¢	$363	0x6b28aa…
05-31 12:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	52¢	$53	0xbd48a8…
05-31 12:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	156	43¢	$67	0xfd5098…
05-31 12:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	170	40¢	$68	0x8ac33d…
05-31 11:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	171	43¢	$73	0xc633d0…
05-30 13:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	339	50¢	$169	0x70e2d6…
05-30 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	175	48¢	$84	0xa148e2…
05-27 12:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4db6a3…
05-27 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	149	1¢	$1	0xb6d6b6…
05-27 11:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	191	51¢	$98	0x19ad98…
05-27 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	557	6¢	$35	0x09d4e0…
05-27 11:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	557	53¢	$295	0x3cfde5…
05-27 11:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	374	32¢	$119	0x521c60…
05-27 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	325	53¢	$172	0xf57016…
05-26 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf1d0f1…
05-26 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xe0eb5a…
05-26 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0x27da09…
05-26 20:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	588	50¢	$295	0xa76fa1…
05-26 20:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	396	51¢	$200	0x0b0067…
05-26 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	318	50¢	$159	0x99516c…
05-26 17:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	399	50¢	$200	0x75411b…
05-26 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xaa36f1…
05-26 17:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x35f677…
05-26 16:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x8be574…
05-26 15:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	482	50¢	$243	0x27000c…
05-26 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	397	50¢	$200	0x060924…
05-26 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x3383fa…
05-26 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0x53976a…
05-26 14:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x68d6c9…
05-26 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x15257b…
05-26 12:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xc8dafb…
05-26 12:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	284	9¢	$26	0x05d586…
05-26 12:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	284	31¢	$88	0xad2f35…
05-26 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x183b61…
05-26 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0xddf70e…
05-26 12:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf900da…
05-26 12:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	586	99¢	$580	0x84701c…
05-26 12:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	586	51¢	$300	0x2272e7…
05-26 11:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	296	52¢	$153	0x259914…
05-21 11:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	225	42¢	$94	0x1b13df…
05-21 11:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0xf8d16e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	499	$950	2,544	06-09 18:34
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	496	$27.3K	4,053	06-09 18:33
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	443	$52.7K	10,444	05-17 18:53
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	438	$155.6K	12,263	06-06 13:06
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	414	$7.02K	1,137	06-06 08:30
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	406	$140.7K	24,163	06-09 18:34
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	398	$288.5K	11,500	06-09 18:35
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	391	$138.0K	40,120	06-09 18:34