Likely-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

5,578

Trades

47,767

lifetime

Volume

$1.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$80

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 276 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$7,530

Other

0% 50% -$107

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down		+65	$64	99¢	$64	+$0	10-28 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down		+16	$16	100¢	$16	+$1	10-28 14:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	23	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	+$50	09-11 15:54
bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	26	$3.4K	2,320	1,300	+1,020	Up	-$118	09-30 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET	27	$3.3K	1,658	1,658	+0	Up	+$32	09-18 13:51
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	42	$3.2K	2,020	1,820	+200	Down	-$576	09-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	37	$3.1K	2,000	1,200	+800	Down	+$49	09-10 15:47
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	29	$3.0K	1,999	999	+1,000	Up	+$39	09-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	26	$2.8K	2,200	700	+1,500	Up	+$73	10-02 15:48
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 8am et	21	$2.8K	1,570	1,270	+300	Up	+$23	09-17 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	41	$2.6K	2,297	395	+1,902	Up	+$52	10-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	24	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	-$335	10-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	29	$2.5K	1,301	1,301	+0	Up	+$74	10-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	11	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	Down	+$43	10-08 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	22	$2.4K	1,591	891	+700	Down	+$47	09-01 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	76	$2.4K	1,544	944	+600	Up	+$63	10-12 20:57
bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	32	$2.2K	1,800	500	+1,300	Up	+$45	09-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	15	$2.2K	1,615	615	+1,000	Up	+$59	10-13 15:47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	19	$2.1K	1,151	951	+200	Up	+$14	09-14 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	10	$2.1K	1,200	900	+300	Up	+$15	09-21 00:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	20	$2.1K	1,587	537	+1,050	Up	+$40	09-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 4 2026	15	$2.1K	1,300	800	+500	Down	+$35	09-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET	32	$2.0K	1,620	520	+1,100	Up	+$62	09-29 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	37	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	Up	-$234	05-03 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down on September 21?	27	$2.0K	1,510	510	+1,000	Up	+$21	09-21 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	13	$2.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$25	10-12 15:37
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	12	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$23	08-28 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	19	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$30	09-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	41	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$32	09-21 00:55
bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	26	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$43	08-21 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$43	10-20 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET	34	$1.9K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$49	10-03 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x754874…
10-28 14:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	180	97¢	$175	0x7fb92e…
10-28 14:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x8bde7e…
10-28 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7a4c0f…
10-28 14:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0dd50c…
10-28 14:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe14fd9…
10-28 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x8fc5de…
10-28 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x05ad83…
10-28 14:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x7952a5…
10-28 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc54de2…
10-28 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x5b86de…
10-28 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xace7a3…
10-28 12:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x34f344…
10-28 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x487a90…
10-28 12:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x446776…
10-28 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xed27a6…
10-28 12:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x843a73…
10-28 12:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb7b99a…
10-28 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc80191…
10-28 12:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x6f1c97…
10-28 12:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xd8b541…
10-28 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8785d4…
10-28 12:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xe0aad5…
10-28 12:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6859f4…
10-28 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc5a66b…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb852aa…
10-28 11:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x539fee…
10-28 11:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xb3355c…
10-28 11:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x512b4a…
10-28 11:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xa2470a…
10-28 11:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x68544d…
10-28 11:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xc80074…
10-28 11:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5d4962…
10-28 11:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x79c7c2…
10-28 11:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	210	97¢	$204	0x4f4d87…
10-28 11:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x808497…
10-28 11:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x08efb4…
10-28 11:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5ff390…
10-28 11:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x611f26…
10-28 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x0b7a69…
10-28 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xb6a9e9…
10-28 11:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x965a1e…
10-28 11:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xea7647…
10-28 11:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xba90fb…
10-28 11:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x64aab4…
10-28 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa6a71b…
10-28 11:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1401d…
10-28 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x75dd91…
10-28 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xf3863e…
10-28 11:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbb2fca…
10-28 11:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x32bbf5…
10-28 11:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x14a6dc…
10-28 11:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0xc61641…
10-28 11:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x579bda…
10-28 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb1afc1…
10-28 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb2b1be…
10-28 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x7d8e39…
10-28 09:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xa397ea…
10-28 09:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x96cd94…
10-28 08:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7ef9af…
10-28 08:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x48dcb5…
10-28 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8484f4…
10-28 08:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x20a772…
10-28 08:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0xe94127…
10-28 08:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xf6dd3e…
10-28 08:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0xe32c82…
10-28 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xe42afb…
10-28 08:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x91ef96…
10-28 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6799f8…
10-28 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x5d726a…
10-28 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x970ad3…
10-28 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5ba2ff…
10-28 08:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x1f513a…
10-28 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc79ab7…
10-28 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc16f8a…
10-28 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x06acec…
10-28 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc6456b…
10-28 07:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x41c852…
10-28 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x70c2e6…
10-28 07:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x65153f…
10-28 07:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xf063ff…
10-28 07:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x468870…
10-28 07:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xaa7599…
10-28 07:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4b40ae…
10-28 07:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x311dd7…
10-28 07:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x17cb67…
10-28 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x37dea1…
10-28 07:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x41201e…
10-28 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6bdce8…
10-28 07:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x896d12…
10-28 07:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfbf7af…
10-28 07:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x191a19…
10-28 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcce4b2…
10-28 06:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x0bd6a5…
10-28 06:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x927a12…
10-28 06:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x5441f9…
10-28 06:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x24224f…
10-28 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x242651…
10-28 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0xb9d00b…
10-28 05:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa1efd3…