Likely-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

183

Trades

22,708

lifetime

Volume

$526.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-102

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	37	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	05-03 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	12	$1.7K	1,000	800	+200	open	—	05-03 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	25	$1.5K	697	1,037	-340	open	—	05-03 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	20	$1.3K	641	761	-120	open	—	05-03 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	26	$1.3K	745	641	+104	open	—	05-01 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	20	$1.3K	807	650	+156	Up	+$73	05-10 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	19	$1.2K	750	550	+200	open	—	04-30 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	47	$1.2K	840	640	+200	Down	+$53	05-07 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2PM ET	34	$1.2K	848	411	+437	open	—	04-29 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12AM ET	7	$1.2K	700	500	+200	open	—	04-29 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2AM ET	7	$1.0K	535	560	-25	open	—	05-02 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	12	$1.0K	600	500	+100	Up	+$34	05-08 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	15	$992	583	426	+157	open	—	05-03 05:59
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	15	$981	597	397	+200	open	—	01-12 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	26	$976	900	500	+400	open	—	04-29 15:54
bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	26	$958	700	300	+400	open	—	07-16 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1PM ET	27	$920	390	600	-210	open	—	04-29 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	14	$918	399	560	-161	open	—	05-23 20:51
bitcoin up or down on january 12	7	$912	360	569	-209	open	—	01-12 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	21	$903	650	350	+300	open	—	04-27 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4PM ET	14	$891	390	510	-120	open	—	05-01 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	11	$887	500	401	+99	Up	+$11	05-05 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	11	$875	550	350	+200	Up	+$25	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	16	$842	455	400	+55	open	—	05-03 13:00
bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	21	$837	485	385	+100	open	—	07-14 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET	13	$835	522	322	+200	open	—	04-29 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	7	$808	440	440	+0	open	—	05-04 01:53
bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	63	$793	570	270	+300	open	—	06-24 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	12	$792	760	400	+360	open	—	05-03 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:43:49	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xff90cb…
07-20 22:43:48	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x1caed8…
07-20 22:43:27	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x36786f…
07-20 22:36:39	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2790b5…
07-20 22:36:37	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9d8458…
07-20 22:36:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xaeeb2f…
07-20 22:36:07	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7b1cfd…
07-20 22:36:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x73c61e…
07-20 21:56:33	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcf4c74…
07-20 21:56:18	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc40e40…
07-20 21:56:16	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x43f28c…
07-20 21:40:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x215234…
07-20 21:36:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0x4e596e…
07-20 21:36:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xe219f1…
07-20 21:36:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xc4b4e9…
07-20 21:36:01	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa4ad41…
07-20 21:35:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x87ce7f…
07-20 21:29:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1baeba…
07-20 21:27:12	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x64dac4…
07-20 20:38:40	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0xc07225…
07-20 20:38:18	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xc63fe5…
07-20 20:23:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x40886c…
07-20 20:23:06	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xaa1fb7…
07-20 20:23:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x4c595a…
07-20 20:18:10	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x68b33f…
07-20 20:04:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xaa9d20…
07-20 20:03:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x90ebdc…
07-20 19:59:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c704e…
07-20 19:58:12	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x4816a2…
07-20 19:57:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3d1970…
07-20 19:57:40	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa9fdc0…
07-20 19:57:36	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf36514…
07-20 19:57:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x0e500b…
07-20 19:55:27	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xc37fd2…
07-20 19:54:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x1beba4…
07-20 19:48:28	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x874180…
07-20 19:48:28	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x5e8af0…
07-20 19:37:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x82d236…
07-20 19:37:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x13bb64…
07-20 19:34:07	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6607be…
07-20 19:34:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xec67a9…
07-20 19:34:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xd88dc6…
07-20 19:31:52	btc updown 4h 1784563200	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xca8e24…
07-20 19:31:31	btc updown 4h 1784563200	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xd50df0…
07-20 19:17:31	btc updown 4h 1784563200	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2514bd…
07-20 18:53:51	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8ab71a…
07-20 18:51:33	btc updown 4h 1784563200	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6f2272…
07-20 18:50:52	btc updown 4h 1784563200	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe6dcfa…
07-20 18:49:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xd14ca1…
07-20 18:49:15	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbc7bd9…
07-20 18:48:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x994247…
07-20 18:45:15	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x05a0ee…
07-20 18:43:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcef315…
07-20 18:39:34	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x55120c…
07-20 18:32:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x9dc36e…
07-20 18:32:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x00734c…
07-20 18:12:58	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa352fc…
07-20 18:11:45	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe5acf4…
07-20 18:11:39	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc13748…
07-20 17:58:10	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8196ff…
07-20 17:58:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x49fa0e…
07-20 17:57:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x15d9c5…
07-20 17:53:27	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x3538ea…
07-20 17:53:09	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf6c1f0…
07-20 17:42:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x81cc0a…
07-20 17:41:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb85f2e…
07-20 17:37:48	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x768dbb…
07-20 16:23:48	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x784a39…
07-20 16:20:36	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf00b2d…
07-20 16:18:22	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x00f38a…
07-20 16:05:33	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xd089d7…
07-20 16:01:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc99091…
07-20 16:01:19	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd6ad9e…
07-20 16:01:19	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd22a3f…
07-20 15:52:01	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x58aded…
07-20 15:50:43	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x32cb60…
07-20 15:45:49	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5e5f0e…
07-20 15:42:43	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x6672cc…
07-20 15:41:30	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x48b052…
07-20 15:34:01	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x74f94e…
07-20 15:26:49	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x6c318c…
07-20 15:19:45	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xac030c…
07-20 15:15:19	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x793e6a…
07-20 15:13:48	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x3e4237…
07-20 15:13:25	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xfb332e…
07-20 15:10:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xb8c584…
07-20 15:10:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x9aa343…
07-20 15:10:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x394b7f…
07-20 15:10:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x175b8c…
07-20 15:09:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x488e5e…
07-20 15:09:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x87b8ac…
07-20 15:09:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x307213…
07-20 15:02:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7c9373…
07-20 15:02:19	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb7f212…
07-20 15:00:03	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3b5e60…
07-20 14:56:15	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x79bf11…
07-20 14:48:33	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4fc255…
07-20 14:46:51	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x097b8c…
07-20 14:34:18	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x413160…
07-20 14:29:57	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xedec84…