Likely-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved (30d)

635

Trades (30d)

5,858

48,063 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$312.3K

$1.39M lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 277 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$7,722

Other

0% 50% -$107

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	23	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	+$50	09-11 15:54
bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	26	$3.4K	2,320	1,300	+1,020	Up	-$118	09-30 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET	27	$3.3K	1,658	1,658	+0	Up	+$32	09-18 13:51
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	42	$3.2K	2,020	1,820	+200	Down	-$576	09-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	37	$3.1K	2,000	1,200	+800	Down	+$49	09-10 15:47
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	29	$3.0K	1,999	999	+1,000	Up	+$39	09-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	26	$2.8K	2,200	700	+1,500	Up	+$73	10-02 15:48
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 8am et	21	$2.8K	1,570	1,270	+300	Up	+$23	09-17 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	31	$2.8K	1,810	1,010	+800	Up	+$38	10-29 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	41	$2.6K	2,297	395	+1,902	Up	+$52	10-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	24	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	-$335	10-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	29	$2.5K	1,301	1,301	+0	Up	+$74	10-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	11	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	Down	+$43	10-08 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	22	$2.4K	1,591	891	+700	Down	+$47	09-01 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	76	$2.4K	1,544	944	+600	Up	+$63	10-12 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	19	$2.3K	1,400	1,000	+400	Up	+$54	10-29 15:44
bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	32	$2.2K	1,800	500	+1,300	Up	+$45	09-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	15	$2.2K	1,615	615	+1,000	Up	+$59	10-13 15:47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	19	$2.1K	1,151	951	+200	Up	+$14	09-14 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	10	$2.1K	1,200	900	+300	Up	+$15	09-21 00:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	20	$2.1K	1,587	537	+1,050	Up	+$40	09-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 4 2026	15	$2.1K	1,300	800	+500	Down	+$35	09-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET	32	$2.0K	1,620	520	+1,100	Up	+$62	09-29 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	37	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	Up	-$234	05-03 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down on September 21?	27	$2.0K	1,510	510	+1,000	Up	+$21	09-21 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	13	$2.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$25	10-12 15:37
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	12	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$23	08-28 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	19	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$30	09-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	41	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$32	09-21 00:55
bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	26	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$43	08-21 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xeeb99b…
10-29 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x7bfd62…
10-29 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4615e6…
10-29 17:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd84f76…
10-29 17:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8333b6…
10-29 17:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc4e4db…
10-29 17:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xff6478…
10-29 17:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5c3fb9…
10-29 17:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x794b67…
10-29 17:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc68015…
10-29 16:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x6f416d…
10-29 16:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x31da9d…
10-29 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xbfcb14…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xe7168d…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc58d58…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x53b544…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3df7f7…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x05bd47…
10-29 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xaa06c9…
10-29 16:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x822368…
10-29 16:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x89f74f…
10-29 16:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe89aa6…
10-29 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3eb75b…
10-29 15:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4b16a9…
10-29 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x02f6c4…
10-29 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x5ff3c6…
10-29 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x81ba9f…
10-29 15:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x6b6141…
10-29 15:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x5cd9f2…
10-29 15:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf1608b…
10-29 15:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9914df…
10-29 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x20d413…
10-29 15:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x72f858…
10-29 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1315f4…
10-29 15:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3a10b5…
10-29 15:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	275	96¢	$264	0x302efd…
10-29 15:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x424836…
10-29 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x91e1c5…
10-29 15:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	225	92¢	$207	0xb4f86d…
10-29 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x5743e8…
10-29 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x77ae38…
10-29 15:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x2a861a…
10-29 15:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x79b4ae…
10-29 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x9ba372…
10-29 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0x91c019…
10-29 15:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xaaef35…
10-29 15:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x5a2471…
10-29 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd81129…
10-29 15:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xcc48d9…
10-29 15:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x58f0a9…
10-29 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x898780…
10-29 15:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0533db…
10-29 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x73485d…
10-29 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb0bf98…
10-29 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xaa2308…
10-29 14:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc5a969…
10-29 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe34e64…
10-29 14:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x58bc7c…
10-29 14:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x14bc0c…
10-29 14:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x828d07…
10-29 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	564	97¢	$547	0x5e0e19…
10-29 14:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x1da614…
10-29 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x24f379…
10-29 14:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x4868a9…
10-29 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x52215e…
10-29 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd90beb…
10-29 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x518d00…
10-29 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x8a0bf5…
10-29 14:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2c2bd2…
10-29 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcd5592…
10-29 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x14e129…
10-29 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x45528c…
10-29 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xbc37c5…
10-29 14:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0f35dd…
10-29 14:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4d12a7…
10-29 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x325740…
10-29 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6641bf…
10-29 13:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x4b21d6…
10-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf67017…
10-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xaedc7c…
10-29 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xb8608d…
10-29 13:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xb956c8…
10-29 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x910602…
10-29 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x1ad693…
10-29 12:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xee53da…
10-29 12:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x891860…
10-29 12:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x3475e4…
10-29 12:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x574a62…
10-29 12:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x606962…
10-29 11:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8cd988…
10-29 11:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1d9ef9…
10-29 11:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0xc5cbf1…
10-29 11:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6f64f2…
10-29 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xd3be13…
10-29 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe93962…
10-29 11:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x723a24…
10-29 11:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc59495…
10-29 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x6616f4…
10-29 11:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x5731e2…
10-29 11:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x3d8d93…