Likely-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$261

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

315

48,378 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$20.1K

$1.41M lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 279 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$7,461

Other

0% 50% -$107

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	23	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	+$50	09-11 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	53	$3.8K	2,647	1,900	+747	Up	-$283	10-30 15:52
bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	26	$3.4K	2,320	1,300	+1,020	Up	-$118	09-30 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET	27	$3.3K	1,658	1,658	+0	Up	+$32	09-18 13:51
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	42	$3.2K	2,020	1,820	+200	Down	-$576	09-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	37	$3.1K	2,000	1,200	+800	Down	+$49	09-10 15:47
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	29	$3.0K	1,999	999	+1,000	Up	+$39	09-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	26	$2.8K	2,200	700	+1,500	Up	+$73	10-02 15:48
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 8am et	21	$2.8K	1,570	1,270	+300	Up	+$23	09-17 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	31	$2.8K	1,810	1,010	+800	Up	+$38	10-29 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	41	$2.6K	2,297	395	+1,902	Up	+$52	10-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	24	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	-$335	10-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	29	$2.5K	1,301	1,301	+0	Up	+$74	10-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	11	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	Down	+$43	10-08 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	22	$2.4K	1,591	891	+700	Down	+$47	09-01 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	76	$2.4K	1,544	944	+600	Up	+$63	10-12 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	19	$2.3K	1,400	1,000	+400	Up	+$54	10-29 15:44
bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	32	$2.2K	1,800	500	+1,300	Up	+$45	09-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	15	$2.2K	1,615	615	+1,000	Up	+$59	10-13 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	24	$2.1K	1,500	700	+800	Up	+$55	10-30 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	19	$2.1K	1,151	951	+200	Up	+$14	09-14 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	10	$2.1K	1,200	900	+300	Up	+$15	09-21 00:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	20	$2.1K	1,587	537	+1,050	Up	+$40	09-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 4 2026	15	$2.1K	1,300	800	+500	Down	+$35	09-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET	32	$2.0K	1,620	520	+1,100	Up	+$62	09-29 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	37	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	Up	-$234	05-03 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down on September 21?	27	$2.0K	1,510	510	+1,000	Up	+$21	09-21 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	13	$2.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$25	10-12 15:37
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	12	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$23	08-28 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	19	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$30	09-25 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xe92ad1…
10-30 23:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xeb1a7a…
10-30 23:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xcf7dfe…
10-30 23:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5d8312…
10-30 23:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1759d5…
10-30 23:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xb86381…
10-30 23:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x293212…
10-30 23:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x30c6b0…
10-30 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xa7c938…
10-30 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0xdf8b9e…
10-30 23:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1c4992…
10-30 23:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xeb3c80…
10-30 23:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x417e83…
10-30 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xa58720…
10-30 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x941a29…
10-30 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x6bec65…
10-30 22:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4314cb…
10-30 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x398283…
10-30 22:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x13ac25…
10-30 22:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x7083c1…
10-30 22:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb307b…
10-30 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31aa6d…
10-30 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x18af20…
10-30 22:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	341	98¢	$336	0x67c9c7…
10-30 22:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0x623cc2…
10-30 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc35247…
10-30 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x50b2aa…
10-30 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x234801…
10-30 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x07861e…
10-30 22:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x5ced81…
10-30 22:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x10648f…
10-30 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9ab5e9…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x9284af…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0b32ad…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x0a69b2…
10-30 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1a1b0d…
10-30 22:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7aa36a…
10-30 22:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x32062c…
10-30 22:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	205	95¢	$195	0xa2458f…
10-30 22:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	68	94¢	$63	0x8ba563…
10-30 22:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xad7edf…
10-30 21:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x2d34ed…
10-30 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xd9d41f…
10-30 21:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x88df8e…
10-30 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdf6a2e…
10-30 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x375d77…
10-30 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xb946f3…
10-30 20:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x74319d…
10-30 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x93f627…
10-30 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0d9635…
10-30 19:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x2fdfe7…
10-30 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xd8238f…
10-30 19:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x92207a…
10-30 19:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x971372…
10-30 19:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xa251c9…
10-30 19:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x19165c…
10-30 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5db2cd…
10-30 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0x19584f…
10-30 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0xdf20a6…
10-30 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x7a872a…
10-30 18:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	600	98¢	$591	0xca33d5…
10-30 18:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x64cd03…
10-30 18:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x45db3d…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe089a2…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe03dad…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xded663…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa67eb7…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7a03b5…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x658919…
10-30 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3dc5b8…
10-30 18:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0x67794a…
10-30 18:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x99c568…
10-30 18:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	150	98¢	$148	0x23e049…
10-30 18:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x9b7dae…
10-30 18:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x818a11…
10-30 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xf74af2…
10-30 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0xd1a309…
10-30 18:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	93¢	$28	0xa0226d…
10-30 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x0a16c1…
10-30 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x08852d…
10-30 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xad42de…
10-30 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa242b2…
10-30 18:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x3a79e0…
10-30 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xdd3a05…
10-30 18:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdc9c32…
10-30 18:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1808c2…
10-30 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xbb0751…
10-30 17:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x8443ad…
10-30 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x688cef…
10-30 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe11e65…
10-30 16:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xd779f0…
10-30 16:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0xcda932…
10-30 16:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xccccbe…
10-30 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x96a28e…
10-30 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7eb0c1…
10-30 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6d8baa…
10-30 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xea5ee0…
10-30 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2e92df…
10-30 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xdf1434…
10-30 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xb69082…