Likely-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved (7d)

156

Trades (7d)

1,234

47,968 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$72.9K

$1.38M lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$1.02K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 277 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$7,539

Other

0% 50% -$107

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up		+1,050	$1,001	97¢	$1.0K	+$17	10-29 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	23	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	+$50	09-11 15:54
bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	26	$3.4K	2,320	1,300	+1,020	Up	-$118	09-30 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET	27	$3.3K	1,658	1,658	+0	Up	+$32	09-18 13:51
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	42	$3.2K	2,020	1,820	+200	Down	-$576	09-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	37	$3.1K	2,000	1,200	+800	Down	+$49	09-10 15:47
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	29	$3.0K	1,999	999	+1,000	Up	+$39	09-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	26	$2.8K	2,200	700	+1,500	Up	+$73	10-02 15:48
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 8am et	21	$2.8K	1,570	1,270	+300	Up	+$23	09-17 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	41	$2.6K	2,297	395	+1,902	Up	+$52	10-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	24	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	-$335	10-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	29	$2.5K	1,301	1,301	+0	Up	+$74	10-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	11	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	Down	+$43	10-08 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	22	$2.4K	1,591	891	+700	Down	+$47	09-01 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	76	$2.4K	1,544	944	+600	Up	+$63	10-12 20:57
bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	32	$2.2K	1,800	500	+1,300	Up	+$45	09-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	28	$2.2K	1,810	400	+1,410	open	—	10-29 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	15	$2.2K	1,615	615	+1,000	Up	+$59	10-13 15:47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	19	$2.1K	1,151	951	+200	Up	+$14	09-14 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	10	$2.1K	1,200	900	+300	Up	+$15	09-21 00:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	20	$2.1K	1,587	537	+1,050	Up	+$40	09-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 4 2026	15	$2.1K	1,300	800	+500	Down	+$35	09-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET	32	$2.0K	1,620	520	+1,100	Up	+$62	09-29 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	37	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	Up	-$234	05-03 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down on September 21?	27	$2.0K	1,510	510	+1,000	Up	+$21	09-21 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	13	$2.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$25	10-12 15:37
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	12	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$23	08-28 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET	19	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$30	09-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET	41	$2.0K	1,300	700	+600	Up	+$32	09-21 00:55
bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	26	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$43	08-21 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$43	10-20 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb0bf98…
10-29 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xaa2308…
10-29 14:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc5a969…
10-29 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe34e64…
10-29 14:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x58bc7c…
10-29 14:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x14bc0c…
10-29 14:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x828d07…
10-29 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	564	97¢	$547	0x5e0e19…
10-29 14:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x1da614…
10-29 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x24f379…
10-29 14:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x4868a9…
10-29 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x52215e…
10-29 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd90beb…
10-29 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x518d00…
10-29 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x8a0bf5…
10-29 14:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2c2bd2…
10-29 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcd5592…
10-29 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x14e129…
10-29 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x45528c…
10-29 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xbc37c5…
10-29 14:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0f35dd…
10-29 14:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4d12a7…
10-29 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x325740…
10-29 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6641bf…
10-29 13:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x4b21d6…
10-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf67017…
10-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xaedc7c…
10-29 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xb8608d…
10-29 13:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xb956c8…
10-29 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x910602…
10-29 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x1ad693…
10-29 12:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xee53da…
10-29 12:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x891860…
10-29 12:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x3475e4…
10-29 12:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x574a62…
10-29 12:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x606962…
10-29 11:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8cd988…
10-29 11:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1d9ef9…
10-29 11:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0xc5cbf1…
10-29 11:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6f64f2…
10-29 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xd3be13…
10-29 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe93962…
10-29 11:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x723a24…
10-29 11:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc59495…
10-29 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x6616f4…
10-29 11:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x5731e2…
10-29 11:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x3d8d93…
10-29 11:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$344	0x261202…
10-29 11:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x371dc9…
10-29 10:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x93f8ee…
10-29 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2157e1…
10-29 10:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x73a456…
10-29 10:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x0f9cf0…
10-29 10:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xddcbf4…
10-29 10:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x43c816…
10-29 10:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xa5dd15…
10-29 10:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb23712…
10-29 10:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6a39a5…
10-29 10:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfc44e9…
10-29 09:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc0b3bb…
10-29 09:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8af9ad…
10-29 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xc3af35…
10-29 09:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1bfd45…
10-29 09:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xe2a6cd…
10-29 09:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x893cdf…
10-29 09:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x884941…
10-29 09:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x923ee0…
10-29 09:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdfb384…
10-29 09:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xee7547…
10-29 09:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7eac29…
10-29 09:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xacbd8f…
10-29 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x68cb2f…
10-29 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	78	85¢	$66	0xbf1d2d…
10-29 09:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x802f4b…
10-29 09:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x70ed64…
10-29 08:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0x0fc6d1…
10-29 08:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x89a0a1…
10-29 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x85af40…
10-29 08:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xad49d0…
10-29 07:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x35f0b5…
10-29 07:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd2bc78…
10-29 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x92a034…
10-29 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x4fc144…
10-29 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x4ad3cb…
10-29 07:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x92280b…
10-29 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x60570e…
10-29 07:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6e5874…
10-29 07:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5c0f99…
10-29 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xa9d1ce…
10-29 06:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x8f0c74…
10-29 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd441e2…
10-29 06:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0x951398…
10-29 06:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xd4036d…
10-29 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf09190…
10-29 06:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa8dd75…
10-29 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x302dd0…
10-29 05:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3fbafe…
10-29 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x260834…
10-29 05:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x53176c…
10-29 05:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0x9c19a3…