Optimal-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

610

Trades

17,003

lifetime

Volume

$824.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$16,044

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 4am et	32	$2.8K	4,917	+4,917	Up	-$2,776	07-21 08:00
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 4am et	45	$2.7K	4,865	+4,865	Down	-$2,744	07-16 08:00
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	18	$2.7K	4,741	+4,741	Up	-$2,659	07-17 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9PM ET	54	$2.6K	4,682	+4,682	Down	+$2,039	07-21 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9AM ET	62	$2.6K	4,597	+4,597	Up	-$2,592	07-21 13:06
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 2pm et	38	$2.6K	4,548	+4,548	Up	+$1,980	07-16 18:00
bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	25	$2.5K	4,454	+4,454	Down	+$1,943	07-20 16:00
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	11	$2.5K	4,432	+4,432	Up	-$2,502	07-17 18:00
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	34	$2.5K	4,404	+4,404	Down	-$2,486	07-09 02:02
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	39	$2.5K	4,386	+4,386	Down	+$1,910	07-15 13:00
bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 1am et	107	$2.5K	4,364	+4,364	Down	-$2,459	06-23 05:13
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 12pm et	46	$2.5K	4,387	+4,387	Up	-$2,454	07-06 16:02
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 10pm et	85	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	+$2,055	06-22 02:00
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 12am et	91	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$2,055	06-22 04:00
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 7pm et	104	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	-$2,445	06-20 23:09
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	86	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	-$2,445	06-21 21:05
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 5am et	17	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	-$2,430	06-17 09:51
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1am et	32	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$2,070	06-18 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET	45	$2.4K	4,298	+4,298	Up	-$2,426	07-21 14:01
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 9am et	43	$2.4K	4,329	+4,329	Up	+$1,905	07-06 13:00
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	76	$2.4K	4,348	+4,348	Down	-$2,415	07-02 00:01
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 11pm et	47	$2.4K	4,301	+4,301	Down	-$2,409	07-07 03:01
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 10am et	31	$2.4K	4,262	+4,262	Down	-$2,406	07-24 14:00
bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 2pm et	88	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	-$2,400	06-15 18:00
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12am et	9	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	-$2,385	06-07 04:39
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8pm et	71	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	-$2,385	06-09 00:04
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 6pm et	47	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$2,115	06-10 22:00
bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 9am et	15	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Down	+$2,115	06-15 13:00
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	40	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$2,115	06-09 16:03
bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 2pm et	22	$2.4K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$2,115	06-14 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	666	57¢	$380	0x652223…
10-28 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x736ef9…
10-28 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x29e513…
10-28 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x224444…
10-28 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	48	57¢	$27	0x064c02…
10-28 13:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc8d6d4…
10-28 13:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xa6bc5d…
10-28 13:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8a4907…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xdec14b…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xa6056c…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa49067…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x929dd7…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2add10…
10-28 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1,074	54¢	$576	0x2a3d72…
10-28 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xbd66e0…
10-28 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb00415…
10-28 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0171be…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf52634…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0xe8fde1…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd04bb1…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	818	52¢	$424	0xaf161a…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x92ca8b…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x28be7e…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x260d80…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x0491d7…
10-28 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x02c27a…
10-28 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x84074c…
10-28 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x44ae31…
10-27 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0xdacc99…
10-27 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x90e611…
10-27 03:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x848a0c…
10-27 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$31	0xb5b875…
10-27 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xf0c744…
10-27 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xebd74f…
10-27 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x74b786…
10-27 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x80c8a8…
10-27 03:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x981bb2…
10-27 03:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x94af06…
10-27 03:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x625f5e…
10-27 03:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x5c4808…
10-27 03:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc77089…
10-27 03:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	319	56¢	$179	0x50e5b2…
10-27 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x97c37a…
10-27 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6b58d0…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa69174…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x9bc47f…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8395c2…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8072fc…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x79df5b…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x5e0ccf…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x59f59e…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x55a7f2…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x479488…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0xd0b58c…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9a1c03…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x673763…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x57d93a…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x1ee53a…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x179551…
10-27 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4c1ec…
10-27 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xafbacf…
10-27 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x919f51…
10-27 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0x511782…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xfce273…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xe59cca…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4ac5df…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x41d81d…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x339c73…
10-26 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x1f6996…
10-26 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x7da503…
10-26 14:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xfbc36a…
10-26 14:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x1fa71f…
10-26 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	471	57¢	$269	0xfa75f4…
10-26 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xef69c6…
10-26 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x021b80…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	862	56¢	$483	0xdbf0cd…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc9ad9a…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0xacebe6…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9d14e6…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5d4f08…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	146	57¢	$83	0x59f0db…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x356c93…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2ff5ff…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x09ba51…
10-26 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x014009…
10-26 10:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	108	57¢	$62	0x67c33d…
10-26 10:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbf0536…
10-26 10:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0x6f4a8b…
10-26 10:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x8838b0…
10-26 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3bc970…
10-26 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	271	55¢	$150	0xbbed2a…
10-26 05:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xb215fc…
10-26 05:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3e743c…
10-26 05:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	165	56¢	$92	0x04e7b0…
10-26 05:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x7f06f7…
10-26 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x621f15…
10-26 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x54a56b…
10-26 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xc98e4b…
10-26 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	776	55¢	$428	0xa6052f…
10-26 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x56ea24…