Pessimistic-Chauffeur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$337

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

457

lifetime

Volume

$198.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$434

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-29 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$337

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	2	$2.5K	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	05-25 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	open	—	05-24 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	2	$2.5K	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	05-24 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	3	$2.5K	1,327	1,327	+0	open	—	05-27 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	open	—	05-23 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	05-22 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	05-21 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	open	—	05-20 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	05-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	05-19 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,144	1,144	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,143	1,143	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	05-19 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	05-19 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	05-18 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	05-16 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,097	1,097	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	open	—	05-15 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,082	1,082	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	05-14 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	2	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,029	1,029	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 19:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1,191	99¢	$1,182	0xb3b8d0…
05-29 15:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,183	100¢	$1,182	0x51e0f3…
05-29 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,181	100¢	$1,178	0x4a1081…
05-29 11:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,180	99¢	$1,168	0xd49626…
05-29 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,157	0x9546a8…
05-28 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9b540d…
05-28 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x150e7e…
05-28 21:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xb5d6b9…
05-28 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1,145	99¢	$1,134	0xe92ed5…
05-28 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,123	0xbd68e1…
05-28 07:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	790	99¢	$782	0x5928fe…
05-27 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1,265	85¢	$1,075	0xbb8f79…
05-27 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	63	84¢	$52	0x161a0a…
05-27 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,327	100¢	$1,325	0xcc0883…
05-27 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1,326	100¢	$1,321	0x993781…
05-26 23:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1,321	99¢	$1,308	0x0b04ff…
05-26 21:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xc20546…
05-26 21:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6a0381…
05-26 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1,305	99¢	$1,294	0xda3dda…
05-26 11:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,295	99¢	$1,282	0xca06c3…
05-25 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x8c0f45…
05-25 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0xf25f73…
05-25 15:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,282	100¢	$1,280	0xdff6c5…
05-25 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,282	99¢	$1,269	0x879e03…
05-24 22:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,266	0x731e18…
05-24 22:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1,268	100¢	$1,267	0x5ac2f9…
05-24 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,266	0xae0b8d…
05-24 16:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x4dadda…
05-24 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,263	99¢	$1,250	0x98ff70…
05-24 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1,251	100¢	$1,250	0x76ae32…
05-24 12:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1,251	99¢	$1,241	0x4da939…
05-23 18:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1,243	100¢	$1,241	0xfb42c4…
05-23 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,242	99¢	$1,228	0x1a390e…
05-23 14:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	718	100¢	$717	0x0f477b…
05-23 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	718	99¢	$710	0xb7ed6c…
05-23 12:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1,225	100¢	$1,224	0x402d79…
05-23 11:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1,225	99¢	$1,215	0xc6a6e3…
05-22 22:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1,214	99¢	$1,206	0x3510f5…
05-22 20:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1,208	100¢	$1,207	0x88aeae…
05-22 18:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1,208	99¢	$1,193	0x62f012…
05-21 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1,196	100¢	$1,195	0xce3b51…
05-21 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1,196	99¢	$1,184	0x1c8bae…
05-21 09:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1,185	99¢	$1,177	0x75ed7d…
05-20 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1,177	99¢	$1,165	0x577118…
05-20 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1,166	99¢	$1,155	0xcdd578…
05-20 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0xeaddb0…
05-20 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1,156	100¢	$1,154	0xd0a34f…
05-20 13:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1,156	100¢	$1,153	0xea4529…
05-20 13:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1,155	100¢	$1,153	0xb39977…
05-20 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,143	0xc6c8a3…
05-19 23:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	1,145	100¢	$1,144	0x2e1e64…
05-19 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1,145	100¢	$1,144	0x83ed15…
05-19 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1,143	99¢	$1,136	0xa0ce47…
05-19 15:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	1,138	100¢	$1,137	0x27d0ae…
05-19 14:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,138	99¢	$1,127	0x2ab694…
05-19 13:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1,129	100¢	$1,128	0xe03221…
05-19 12:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,123	0x86aedb…
05-18 22:38:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,121	0x2bda52…
05-18 18:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1,122	100¢	$1,121	0x53388b…
05-18 17:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1,122	100¢	$1,119	0xf1f419…
05-17 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1,118	100¢	$1,113	0xab837d…
05-17 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,114	99¢	$1,103	0xbd65b9…
05-16 23:14:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,104	99¢	$1,097	0xf51959…
05-16 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,099	100¢	$1,097	0x0ab4ae…
05-16 14:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,099	99¢	$1,093	0x4febb9…
05-16 11:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1,093	99¢	$1,082	0x85929d…
05-15 15:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,084	100¢	$1,083	0xb45f29…
05-15 14:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,084	99¢	$1,073	0x9420af…
05-14 22:53:23	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,074	98¢	$1,056	0x0b6a24…
05-14 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,058	100¢	$1,057	0x8bad95…
05-14 14:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,054	0x7a8fd7…
05-14 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x712313…
05-13 17:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1,156	100¢	$1,154	0x4ec974…
05-13 16:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1,156	99¢	$1,144	0x53aad1…
05-13 16:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	1,144	100¢	$1,143	0xba6079…
05-13 15:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1,144	100¢	$1,140	0xcc1960…
05-13 14:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1,143	100¢	$1,142	0x7b1532…
05-13 13:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1,143	99¢	$1,132	0xa610a5…
05-13 13:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1,134	100¢	$1,133	0xbd2c77…
05-13 12:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,128	0x0bc44f…
05-13 12:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x3b62b0…
05-13 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,019	99¢	$1,008	0x643edc…
05-13 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	1,121	100¢	$1,120	0xc3795e…
05-13 10:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1,121	99¢	$1,115	0x89c255…
05-12 22:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1,016	100¢	$1,015	0x27a8c3…
05-12 21:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1,016	99¢	$1,006	0xfea4e9…
05-12 21:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	1,108	100¢	$1,107	0x0a2bfc…
05-12 20:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1,108	99¢	$1,095	0x3ec5b5…
05-12 18:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1,097	100¢	$1,096	0xbf0baf…
05-12 16:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1,097	99¢	$1,086	0x2fe180…
05-11 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,083	0xbc7c01…
05-11 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1,084	100¢	$1,083	0x9cbb69…
05-11 16:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,080	0x72bd64…
05-11 16:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0x0cb7dc…
05-11 15:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,082	99¢	$1,071	0x86e23f…
05-11 11:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,065	0x4b0b55…
05-11 09:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,065	0x878bdd…
05-10 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1,065	99¢	$1,054	0xd7c0cb…
05-09 17:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0xc5e101…
05-09 15:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,056	99¢	$1,045	0x41dbb3…