Pessimistic-Chauffeur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$784

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

385

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$216.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$432

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-30 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$784

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	2	$2.5K	1,282	1,282	+0	Up	+$12	05-25 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	Down	+$1	05-24 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	2	$2.5K	1,251	1,251	+0	Down	+$9	05-24 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	3	$2.5K	1,327	1,327	+0	Up	-$197	05-27 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	Up	+$9	05-23 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,208	1,208	+0	Down	+$14	05-22 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,196	1,196	+0	Down	+$11	05-21 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	Up	+$10	05-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,144	1,144	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,143	1,143	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	2	$2.3K	1,129	1,129	+0	Up	+$5	05-19 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	Up	+$4	05-16 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,097	1,097	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	Up	+$10	05-15 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,082	1,082	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,058	1,058	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	2	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,029	1,029	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	2	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:42:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	552	96¢	$530	0xd0260f…
10-29 21:08:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	532	99¢	$528	0x504e15…
10-29 20:54:45	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	545	97¢	$529	0x953b14…
10-29 13:32:46	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	545	97¢	$530	0x936d56…
10-28 13:11:40	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7d4832…
10-28 13:11:25	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0xc65196…
10-27 22:45:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	516	97¢	$503	0x5a26c5…
10-27 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0x9006aa…
10-27 19:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0xd5aac1…
10-24 21:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	499	99¢	$494	0x9542bb…
10-24 12:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc760a3…
10-22 21:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	494	100¢	$493	0xf5b873…
10-22 20:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	494	98¢	$484	0xc2d86c…
10-22 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	484	99¢	$479	0xdd4f0c…
10-22 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	480	99¢	$475	0xafc7c9…
10-22 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	476	99¢	$471	0xbbd593…
10-22 19:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	471	99¢	$466	0xd1c2a2…
10-22 18:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	467	98¢	$458	0x992d20…
10-22 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	458	98¢	$451	0xd8a7fd…
10-22 15:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	452	97¢	$438	0xe368dc…
10-22 12:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	438	99¢	$434	0xed80cb…
10-22 11:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x651e07…
10-21 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	434	99¢	$432	0x36d0ba…
10-20 22:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	432	99¢	$428	0x455dbe…
10-20 17:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	428	98¢	$419	0x1a63b6…
10-20 12:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	419	99¢	$415	0x241ced…
10-19 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	416	99¢	$411	0xbf3cc2…
10-18 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	410	99¢	$406	0xdbe139…
10-18 16:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	407	98¢	$398	0x521e6f…
10-17 16:56:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	399	98¢	$391	0x4d36c3…
10-17 16:25:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	392	99¢	$388	0xf7acb1…
10-17 15:25:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	388	98¢	$381	0xfcdc56…
10-16 17:09:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x7c59bf…
10-16 17:08:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x98d1b1…
10-16 16:53:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	376	97¢	$365	0x44c882…
10-16 16:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	366	94¢	$345	0x4a8d0b…
10-16 15:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xb09e43…
10-16 15:23:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x3f31cc…
10-16 15:20:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe000f8…
10-16 15:20:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa2c46c…
10-16 15:20:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9cf2dd…
05-29 19:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1,191	99¢	$1,182	0xb3b8d0…
05-29 15:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,183	100¢	$1,182	0x51e0f3…
05-29 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,181	100¢	$1,178	0x4a1081…
05-29 11:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,180	99¢	$1,168	0xd49626…
05-29 09:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1,169	99¢	$1,157	0xeccf4b…
05-29 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,157	0x9546a8…
05-28 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	655	100¢	$654	0x168354…
05-28 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x1c6047…
05-28 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9b540d…
05-28 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x150e7e…
05-28 21:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xb5d6b9…
05-28 20:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1,149	100¢	$1,144	0x25052c…
05-28 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1,145	99¢	$1,134	0xe92ed5…
05-28 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,123	0xbd68e1…
05-28 07:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	790	99¢	$782	0x5928fe…
05-27 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1,265	85¢	$1,075	0xbb8f79…
05-27 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	63	84¢	$52	0x161a0a…
05-27 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,327	100¢	$1,325	0xcc0883…
05-27 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1,326	100¢	$1,321	0x993781…
05-26 23:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1,321	99¢	$1,308	0x0b04ff…
05-26 21:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xc20546…
05-26 21:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6a0381…
05-26 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1,305	99¢	$1,294	0xda3dda…
05-26 11:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,295	99¢	$1,282	0xca06c3…
05-25 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x8c0f45…
05-25 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0xf25f73…
05-25 15:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,282	100¢	$1,280	0xdff6c5…
05-25 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,282	99¢	$1,269	0x879e03…
05-24 22:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,266	0x731e18…
05-24 22:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1,268	100¢	$1,267	0x5ac2f9…
05-24 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,266	0xae0b8d…
05-24 16:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x4dadda…
05-24 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,263	99¢	$1,250	0x98ff70…
05-24 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1,251	100¢	$1,250	0x76ae32…
05-24 12:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1,251	99¢	$1,241	0x4da939…
05-23 18:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1,243	100¢	$1,241	0xfb42c4…
05-23 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,242	99¢	$1,228	0x1a390e…
05-23 14:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	718	100¢	$717	0x0f477b…
05-23 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	718	99¢	$710	0xb7ed6c…
05-23 12:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1,225	100¢	$1,224	0x402d79…
05-23 11:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1,225	99¢	$1,215	0xc6a6e3…
05-22 22:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1,214	99¢	$1,206	0x3510f5…
05-22 20:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1,208	100¢	$1,207	0x88aeae…
05-22 18:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1,208	99¢	$1,193	0x62f012…
05-21 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1,196	100¢	$1,195	0xce3b51…
05-21 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1,196	99¢	$1,184	0x1c8bae…
05-21 09:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1,185	99¢	$1,177	0x75ed7d…
05-20 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1,177	99¢	$1,165	0x577118…
05-20 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1,166	99¢	$1,155	0xcdd578…
05-20 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0xeaddb0…
05-20 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1,156	100¢	$1,154	0xd0a34f…
05-20 13:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1,156	100¢	$1,153	0xea4529…
05-20 13:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1,155	100¢	$1,153	0xb39977…
05-20 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,143	0xc6c8a3…
05-19 23:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	1,145	100¢	$1,144	0x2e1e64…
05-19 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1,145	100¢	$1,144	0x83ed15…
05-19 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1,143	99¢	$1,136	0xa0ce47…
05-19 15:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	1,138	100¢	$1,137	0x27d0ae…
05-19 14:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,138	99¢	$1,127	0x2ab694…