Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET
open
Total volume
$1,831
$216 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$11,250
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 12:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $69
vs crowd: 13% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $27 | $323 | $296 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $114 | $603 | $489 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $69 | $69 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $103 | $91 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $72 | $72 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $400 | $398 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $24 | $167 | $143 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $105 | $105 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joint-Vanity 0x0fc4…acc4 | Down | +400 | $392 | $392 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +290 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Sniveling-Reversal 0xc72b…c108 | Up | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 23:07 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +171 | $164 | $164 | 4 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Cultivated-Facet 0x5ab1…66c5 | Up | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | +130 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-13 11:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +110 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 05-13 11:33 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +105 | $91 | $91 | 5 | 05-13 11:28 |
| Grandiose-Consideration 0x6d54…ee01 | Down | +52 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 05-13 11:13 |
| Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 11:23 |
| Scary-Walnut 0xadd4…06a2 | Down | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Livid-Moccasins 0xd33c…a724 | Down | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Down | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-13 11:28 |
| Essential-Pagan 0xd77d…352f | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Grown-Backbone 0x64ca…3252 | Up | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 11:08 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 11:33 |
| Sure-Footed-Toy 0xb3f1…a118 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 10:18 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 11:28 |
| Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 11:33 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 12:28:25 | Rowdy-Pursuit 0xbc33…f2a9 | Down | SELL | 544 | 100¢ | $543 | 0x5bc943… |
| 05-13 12:08:26 | Enormous-Classic 0xcf76…50db | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x47cde0… |
| 05-13 12:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x3006…075a | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x49d0b4… |
| 05-13 11:48:28 | Essential-Pagan 0xd77d…352f | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6d993… |
| 05-13 11:48:24 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x322452… |
| 05-13 11:48:24 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 290 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x98c5db… |
| 05-13 11:48:22 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 120 | 97¢ | $116 | 0xef213d… |
| 05-13 11:48:22 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xa50bd8… |
| 05-13 11:48:22 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x075f1e… |
| 05-13 11:48:22 | Joint-Vanity 0x0fc4…acc4 | Down | BUY | 400 | 98¢ | $392 | 0x27d431… |
| 05-13 11:48:21 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xe0f586… |
| 05-13 11:48:19 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 95 | 97¢ | $92 | 0xca4d87… |
| 05-13 11:48:19 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x60faea… |
| 05-13 11:43:23 | Cultivated-Facet 0x5ab1…66c5 | Up | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xc183a3… |
| 05-13 11:43:11 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1d424b… |
| 05-13 11:38:15 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x87be35… |
| 05-13 11:33:26 | Frugal-Warlord 0x118b…4569 | Up | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xe3f3d1… |
| 05-13 11:33:23 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x843171… |
| 05-13 11:33:16 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x973467… |
| 05-13 11:33:09 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6ace7c… |
| 05-13 11:33:09 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3867e9… |
| 05-13 11:33:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x99b4b7… |
| 05-13 11:33:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x4aa4e4… |
| 05-13 11:33:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xaf6f06… |
| 05-13 11:33:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xd12133… |
| 05-13 11:28:25 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xb3dfa2… |
| 05-13 11:28:24 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xceb9f5… |
| 05-13 11:28:24 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xc30eb1… |
| 05-13 11:28:24 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xe118d9… |
| 05-13 11:28:20 | Rowdy-Pursuit 0xbc33…f2a9 | Down | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x649200… |
| 05-13 11:28:20 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6e10fd… |
| 05-13 11:28:20 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x116e2f… |
| 05-13 11:28:13 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xea0aed… |
| 05-13 11:23:26 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5d1758… |
| 05-13 11:23:23 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x37b7b7… |
| 05-13 11:23:21 | Junior-Habitat 0xe707…e0cf | Up | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc90d50… |
| 05-13 11:23:19 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf6890d… |
| 05-13 11:18:23 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc9ba1f… |
| 05-13 11:18:20 | Sure-Footed-Toy 0xb3f1…a118 | Down | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xf71d7c… |
| 05-13 11:18:15 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Down | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xb6c043… |
| 05-13 11:18:09 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa1d913… |
| 05-13 11:18:08 | Scary-Walnut 0xadd4…06a2 | Down | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x6b541b… |
| 05-13 11:18:06 | Livid-Moccasins 0xd33c…a724 | Down | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x2cd8b9… |
| 05-13 11:18:06 | Legitimate-Sack 0x413d…8064 | Down | SELL | 31 | 76¢ | $24 | 0x3c346d… |
| 05-13 11:13:21 | Grandiose-Consideration 0x6d54…ee01 | Down | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xce26d3… |
| 05-13 11:13:21 | Grandiose-Consideration 0x6d54…ee01 | Down | BUY | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0x32c685… |
| 05-13 11:13:10 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x6067d2… |
| 05-13 11:13:10 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x8f944d… |
| 05-13 11:13:10 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x94e2b3… |
| 05-13 11:13:10 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x7d1418… |
| 05-13 11:08:09 | Grown-Backbone 0x64ca…3252 | Up | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x38775b… |
| 05-13 11:03:10 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 130 | 52¢ | $68 | 0xe9f1d1… |
| 05-13 10:18:22 | Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x5b9108… |
| 05-12 23:07:51 | Sniveling-Reversal 0xc72b…c108 | Up | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0xf3c3e4… |