Paltry-Linguist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

4,440

Trades

22,952

lifetime

Volume

$155.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$199

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 11-03 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% -$2,918

Other

0% 62% +$16

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$134

Sports

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	+192	$150	80¢	$153	+$3	10-30 15:37
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+30	$25	83¢	$25	+$0	09-13 22:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+45	$47	46¢	$21	-$26	09-27 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	12	$459	541	0	+541	Down	+$82	05-03 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	15	$450	556	0	+556	Up	+$82	05-03 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	5	$399	428	0	+428	Up	+$29	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	9	$396	485	0	+485	Up	-$302	05-04 07:14
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	6	$395	240	240	+0	open	—	11-03 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$352	377	0	+377	Down	+$24	05-04 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$352	388	0	+388	Down	+$36	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	24	$351	409	0	+409	Up	+$58	05-04 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$349	421	0	+421	Up	-$243	05-04 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	9	$346	395	0	+395	Down	+$49	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$340	369	0	+369	Down	+$29	05-05 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$338	402	0	+402	Down	+$64	05-05 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$337	387	0	+387	Down	+$51	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$335	368	0	+368	Down	+$34	05-08 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	10	$322	390	0	+390	Down	+$68	05-08 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	33	$321	368	0	+368	Up	+$47	05-03 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$320	369	0	+369	Down	+$49	05-04 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	14	$320	407	0	+407	Up	+$56	05-03 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	11	$319	440	0	+440	Up	+$122	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	7	$316	377	0	+377	Up	-$240	05-04 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$315	398	0	+398	Down	-$151	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	9	$314	390	0	+390	Up	+$76	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	17	$313	424	0	+424	Up	+$19	05-04 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	21	$311	427	0	+427	Up	-$56	05-04 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$311	395	0	+395	Down	-$60	05-04 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	14	$310	400	0	+400	Up	+$78	05-03 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	9	$307	397	0	+397	Up	+$59	05-04 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$300	329	0	+329	Down	+$29	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	22	$296	368	0	+368	Down	-$225	05-04 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$296	329	0	+329	Up	-$227	05-09 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:28:10	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x650625…
10-30 15:37:06	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x14859b…
10-21 18:50:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x80aecc…
10-05 15:32:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x2ede39…
09-27 16:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa1b772…
09-27 16:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x9a5968…
09-27 16:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfbe628…
09-27 16:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x42ff70…
09-27 16:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x9a26b3…
09-27 16:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x908901…
09-27 16:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x95a4ce…
09-27 16:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x4e826d…
09-27 16:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x1f157a…
09-27 16:13:12	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	82	87¢	$71	0x47f4f6…
09-27 16:12:47	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf1853f…
09-16 18:18:30	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x854235…
09-16 18:17:58	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	467	6¢	$28	0x9b0290…
09-13 22:43:40	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x5258a5…
09-13 22:43:09	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x4a43fc…
09-13 22:39:24	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x5c31a2…
09-13 22:39:06	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xf11b99…
09-13 22:38:21	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x1e7a3a…
09-13 22:38:09	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	112	12¢	$13	0x219013…
09-13 21:30:52	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xebfc75…
09-11 14:21:33	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x60722d…
09-11 14:20:21	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x4af988…
07-27 08:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x73758f…
07-27 08:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd7a376…
07-27 08:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xaed7ed…
07-27 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xb0deb0…
07-27 07:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x353e48…
07-27 07:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x5b4477…
07-27 07:48:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa6ba0e…
07-27 07:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x47d711…
07-27 07:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x50c7ee…
06-23 13:12:44	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x9ceef1…
06-16 19:51:10	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x51880b…
06-16 19:24:43	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x2831f9…
06-15 19:20:48	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xfb8e72…
06-15 19:16:54	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x46d8b2…
06-15 17:07:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x586072…
06-15 16:37:51	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3e72a4…
06-15 16:28:04	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa943ab…
06-12 14:20:36	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5246e6…
06-12 14:20:00	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x34a5e6…
06-05 13:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xca5cbe…
06-05 13:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xa58158…
06-05 13:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x95126d…
06-05 13:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x98699d…
06-04 05:01:54	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1e0681…
06-04 05:01:33	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x264459…
06-04 05:01:10	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x03838d…
06-04 02:42:00	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x64d93b…
06-04 02:40:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb14fd7…
06-04 02:36:10	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe8db62…
06-04 02:34:51	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xb46e98…
06-04 01:40:21	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc01757…
06-04 00:00:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xee5605…
06-03 23:10:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x95b960…
06-03 23:10:22	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xca3c7a…
06-03 23:10:12	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xf112e4…
06-03 23:06:13	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x3c3830…
06-03 23:06:12	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7b8252…
06-03 23:00:43	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xf0d08e…
06-03 23:00:42	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x357a03…
06-03 22:45:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb3aecd…
06-03 22:41:24	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xd27c7f…
06-03 22:40:24	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa96198…
06-03 22:00:30	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x8df51c…
06-03 21:44:48	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x023608…
06-03 21:44:39	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xe8894b…
06-03 21:44:10	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x37f25e…
06-03 21:44:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4aa6c2…
06-03 21:43:48	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xf85ea7…
06-03 21:43:31	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6051e8…
06-03 21:43:16	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6b6bf4…
06-03 21:43:10	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x06967b…
06-03 21:42:15	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7b52a0…
06-03 21:42:12	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xbe7f7d…
06-03 21:40:58	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb545f5…
06-03 21:40:25	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x740dcb…
06-03 21:40:21	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7f4d8a…
06-03 21:40:06	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xfa6a7b…
06-03 21:39:58	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xe4f9cd…
06-03 21:39:37	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x0b98ac…
06-03 21:39:13	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x475d27…
06-03 21:39:04	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xfa9b1b…
06-03 21:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xefe530…
06-03 21:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4421c1…
06-03 20:17:30	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x3afff1…
06-03 20:16:57	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x60b6d6…
06-03 20:16:15	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x22cf3b…
06-03 20:15:58	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x20b46e…
06-03 19:41:57	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x0796cb…
06-03 19:40:34	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x9151f5…
06-03 19:40:25	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2f9963…
06-03 19:32:30	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xf4ed3e…
06-03 19:32:16	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x304ac8…
06-03 19:32:09	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xf7a753…
06-03 19:31:42	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x19fc53…