Required-Dessert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$589

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

555

Trades

2,350

lifetime

Volume

$223.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-16 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 96% +$428

Other

10% 100% +$161

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	16	$2.9K	1,451	1,451	+0	open	—	05-15 10:58
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	21	$2.2K	1,100	1,200	-100	open	—	04-30 13:43
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	27	$2.1K	1,051	1,110	-59	open	—	04-30 12:43
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	5	$2.0K	1,999	0	+1,999	open	—	05-16 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	16	$1.9K	954	954	+0	open	—	05-15 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	6	$1.9K	954	954	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	15	$1.9K	954	954	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	12	$1.8K	905	954	-49	Down	+$8	05-05 16:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	7	$1.8K	920	920	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	7	$1.8K	844	954	-110	Up	+$7	05-09 02:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	6	$1.8K	834	954	-120	Up	+$7	05-08 10:59
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	6	$1.8K	892	892	+0	open	—	05-14 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	12	$1.7K	766	955	-189	Down	+$8	05-06 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	11	$1.7K	762	954	-192	Up	+$7	05-11 09:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	10	$1.7K	719	954	-235	Up	+$6	05-08 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	11	$1.7K	708	954	-246	Up	+$7	05-05 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5PM ET	26	$1.6K	665	954	-289	open	—	04-30 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	5	$1.6K	664	954	-290	Down	+$6	05-05 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	5	$1.6K	663	958	-295	Down	+$9	05-12 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	21	$1.6K	663	954	-291	Down	+$7	05-07 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	9	$1.6K	656	954	-298	Up	+$6	05-09 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	7	$1.6K	654	954	-300	Down	+$6	05-05 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	5	$1.5K	690	853	-163	Down	+$6	05-06 04:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	16	$1.5K	583	954	-371	Up	+$5	05-08 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	8	$1.5K	536	934	-398	Up	+$5	05-12 18:55
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	8	$1.4K	700	800	-100	open	—	05-14 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5PM ET	5	$1.4K	505	905	-400	Up	+$4	05-06 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	22	$1.3K	467	857	-390	open	—	04-30 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	5	$1.3K	545	740	-195	Up	+$5	05-06 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	11	$1.3K	642	642	+0	open	—	04-30 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 03:29:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$791	0xec32b4…
05-16 03:29:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8e51c0…
05-16 03:29:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9bd2c0…
05-16 03:29:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xc0c88e…
05-16 03:28:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,133	99¢	$1,121	0xb5f144…
05-16 01:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f3941…
05-15 22:58:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x90da99…
05-15 22:57:56	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x372a07…
05-15 22:57:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3b0b78…
05-15 22:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7490dd…
05-15 22:53:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x86ce35…
05-15 22:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x972d1f…
05-15 22:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdbdbb9…
05-15 22:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xc40327…
05-15 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xc0aa6f…
05-15 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x000580…
05-15 21:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x3a46bf…
05-15 21:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xef95f8…
05-15 21:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8341ac…
05-15 21:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc003a6…
05-15 21:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x80fa0f…
05-15 21:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x575273…
05-15 21:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x92a70b…
05-15 21:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x096f1b…
05-15 20:41:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4dc45d…
05-15 19:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb3ac50…
05-15 18:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xe52635…
05-15 18:55:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x4008f3…
05-15 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xabb79a…
05-15 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x4adaa9…
05-15 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb200ad…
05-15 18:51:32	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x879654…
05-15 18:51:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf66158…
05-15 18:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf1e75f…
05-15 17:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	576	100¢	$576	0xb482a8…
05-15 17:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x07525c…
05-15 17:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc15672…
05-15 17:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	353	99¢	$349	0x51f6cd…
05-15 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4a82c…
05-15 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x00b19b…
05-15 17:13:28	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe06952…
05-15 17:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xf49174…
05-15 17:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x70707a…
05-15 17:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x82dc8d…
05-15 16:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc239a5…
05-15 16:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x15e6ca…
05-15 16:58:06	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x50e449…
05-15 16:54:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7a9c16…
05-15 16:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0x089409…
05-15 16:29:47	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe989b1…
05-15 16:01:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xf9b742…
05-15 15:58:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfa1bf0…
05-15 15:57:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc3abc3…
05-15 15:57:21	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x968385…
05-15 15:57:21	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8d30c0…
05-15 15:56:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x36aadb…
05-15 15:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb27b67…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xaf0e37…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5babc9…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x38668d…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x34ec76…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2a9b76…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1c7aae…
05-15 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0b58e1…
05-15 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x0af197…
05-15 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf4ec04…
05-15 14:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x968f30…
05-15 14:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x548943…
05-15 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xcf6435…
05-15 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xcd590c…
05-15 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46e502…
05-15 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	353	99¢	$349	0xd9a2fc…
05-15 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbe445d…
05-15 14:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc69ad0…
05-15 14:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x194880…
05-15 13:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xa93f11…
05-15 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xad6542…
05-15 13:59:04	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x16bc3c…
05-15 13:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x562ae5…
05-15 13:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x324db9…
05-15 13:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x7f1c73…
05-15 13:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xd28fb1…
05-15 13:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x548839…
05-15 13:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb89fc6…
05-15 13:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x585111…
05-15 13:44:42	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x29673e…
05-15 13:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf75e7d…
05-15 13:14:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x55b4b6…
05-15 13:14:48	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63b053…
05-15 13:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xda98e0…
05-15 13:13:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6d3a6…
05-15 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb13483…
05-15 12:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	388	100¢	$388	0x5c25eb…
05-15 12:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4aaff1…
05-15 12:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xca04b5…
05-15 12:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2c230…
05-15 12:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x98daab…
05-15 12:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x062f8c…
05-15 12:54:02	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xb069d4…
05-15 12:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8b9c9c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	628	$145.8K	6,085	05-16 01:46
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	610	$647.5K	23,095	05-16 01:51
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	605	$126.3K	8,333	05-16 01:50
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	569	$5.50K	2,538	05-16 01:54
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	534	$125.4K	5,495	05-16 01:46
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	505	$28.9K	1,144	05-16 02:00
Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6	488	$53.6K	2,876	05-16 01:46
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	462	$51.5K	2,774	05-16 01:49