Queasy-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$493

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

6,628

Trades

8,217

lifetime

Volume

$326.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-27 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 92% -$509

Other

2% 90% +$20

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 86% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda	Terence Atmane	—	+26	$25	100¢	$26	+$1	10-27 06:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$846	577	548	+29	Down	-$129	09-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	3	$820	622	303	+319	Up	-$61	05-14 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET	4	$816	673	395	+278	Down	-$106	09-10 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	2	$679	549	521	+27	Down	-$294	09-17 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$650	459	436	+23	Down	-$227	06-02 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2AM ET	2	$619	417	396	+21	Down	-$160	09-10 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	2	$608	413	392	+21	Up	-$171	09-17 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$600	624	0	+624	Up	+$24	05-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$600	608	0	+608	Down	+$8	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$600	612	0	+612	Down	+$12	05-11 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	4	$594	584	555	+29	Up	-$426	09-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$514	306	292	+14	Down	-$72	05-11 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$512	305	290	+15	Down	-$88	06-02 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET	2	$508	319	303	+16	Down	-$76	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	2	$503	306	292	+14	Up	-$83	05-13 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	2	$502	567	0	+567	Up	+$65	09-16 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	2	$502	593	0	+593	Down	+$91	09-14 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$502	554	0	+554	Down	+$52	09-16 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$500	316	300	+16	Down	-$100	05-14 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$500	327	295	+32	Up	-$68	05-12 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	2	$500	553	0	+553	Up	+$53	08-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	2	$500	408	388	+20	Up	-$300	09-16 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$489	320	305	+16	Down	-$111	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	2	$488	311	298	+13	Up	-$99	05-12 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$475	306	292	+14	Up	-$111	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$474	282	268	+14	Down	-$36	09-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$470	511	0	+511	Down	+$41	09-07 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:38:00	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda	Terence Atmane	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7a9efb…
10-27 06:25:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9a08ae…
10-27 06:22:36	Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing Wu	Seong-Chan Hong	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3065eb…
10-27 06:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbbfc77…
10-27 05:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1bf5b7…
10-27 05:34:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40d0c3…
10-27 05:13:06	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Semen Pankin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xceca9d…
10-27 05:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0ec994…
10-27 04:55:32	Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4609eb…
10-27 04:54:59	Guangzhou Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x115946…
10-27 04:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x06c2b2…
10-27 04:37:32	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x42d780…
10-27 04:33:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfee2cf…
10-27 03:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x46abdc…
10-27 03:22:20	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x738ca6…
10-27 03:20:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xa3d350…
10-27 03:12:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x1b3f4d…
10-27 03:12:44	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Colton Smith	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8f99ac…
10-27 03:07:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7467f5…
10-27 03:07:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc0d4ff…
10-27 02:21:36	Sioux Falls: Andres Martin vs Kaylan Bigun	Kaylan Bigun	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x47d874…
10-27 02:21:15	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x864511…
10-27 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x3f401b…
10-27 01:54:56	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x97b28e…
10-27 01:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x220fb3…
10-27 01:28:11	Sioux Falls: Alexis Galarneau vs Mees Rottgering	Mees Rottgering	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x34fabc…
10-27 01:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x6b678a…
10-27 00:49:36	Sioux Falls: Daniel Milavsky vs Harry Wendelken	Daniel Milavsky	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x033a94…
10-27 00:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x20a1cc…
10-27 00:08:51	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x01ca80…
10-26 23:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf93af5…
10-26 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb472a0…
10-26 22:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe7c128…
10-26 22:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xd8fe55…
10-26 22:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x23086a…
10-26 22:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7db171…
10-26 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x1fe42c…
10-26 21:56:56	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xa8abed…
10-26 21:46:23	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7a243c…
10-26 21:31:47	Brest: Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3dbd4c…
10-26 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xde7e2f…
10-26 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xa5aed0…
10-26 20:06:11	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x59c997…
10-26 19:55:35	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1f1848…
10-26 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd11d20…
10-26 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x223e82…
10-26 18:10:35	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5d7fc7…
10-26 18:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x676c37…
10-26 17:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3ad831…
10-26 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x008a41…
10-26 17:00:11	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x59bb6d…
10-26 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x613919…
10-26 16:35:57	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x14a03a…
10-26 16:20:32	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2149b4…
10-26 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc62f35…
10-26 16:02:06	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe75e23…
10-26 16:01:29	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x7e53b9…
10-26 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb19b8c…
10-26 15:32:06	Curitiba: Antonia Vergara vs Eduarda Gomes	Antonia Vergara	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbb6469…
10-26 15:07:41	Curitiba: Laura Samson vs Alice Tubello	Alice Tubello	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3d6a9b…
10-26 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x24c265…
10-26 14:10:53	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x013ce3…
10-26 14:03:35	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1d3358…
10-26 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x08b711…
10-26 13:32:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa6bab0…
10-26 13:30:24	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x0ee188…
10-26 13:29:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xc1baa0…
10-26 13:19:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x1fc88a…
10-26 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xc58f94…
10-26 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd379c9…
10-26 11:19:50	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1716a4…
10-26 11:15:09	Ningbo: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu	Yuta Shimizu	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x60c0a6…
10-26 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe74a9b…
10-26 09:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x737bdc…
10-26 09:54:24	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Paula Badosa	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5bc588…
10-26 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x1e2ba8…
10-26 09:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc9688e…
10-26 09:38:57	Seoul: Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit Samrej	Rei Sakamoto	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4dc812…
10-26 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd7b66c…
10-26 08:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x98a799…
10-26 08:09:12	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Han Shi	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x2618fe…
10-26 08:05:05	Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x1d1b78…
10-26 07:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xbbadf7…
10-26 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcaea7f…
10-26 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xdb6e83…
10-26 06:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd30e59…
10-26 06:12:30	Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x76215d…
10-26 06:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc7f127…
10-26 06:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x90ae22…
10-26 06:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4053d4…
10-26 05:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3bf717…
10-26 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x69fb2c…
10-26 05:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x57adad…
10-26 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xb368f2…
10-26 04:43:23	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x47a346…
10-26 04:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xa6f011…
10-26 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x997dec…
10-26 04:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4bf1f4…
10-26 03:21:11	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x424af1…
10-26 02:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1ba2b8…