Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET
open
Total volume
$700
$20 in 24h
Trades
72
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$11,595
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-12 15:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.7¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $76
vs crowd: 84% YES on $520)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $10 | $10 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $50 | $35 | +$15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $369 | $39 | +$330 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $58 | $18 | +$39 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $85 | $45 | +$39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $12 | $6 |
| Median | 6 | $9 | $2 | +$7 |
| Below median | 9 | $133 | $8 | +$125 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $112 | — | +$112 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | +220 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 05-12 14:32 |
| Natural-Variety 0xd171…1722 | Up | +129 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-12 14:28 |
| Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Down | +125 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +91 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Frizzy-Proximity 0xb575…6b11 | Up | +83 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-12 14:23 |
| Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8 | Down | +45 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 14:48 |
| Safe-Effort 0x8d09…2593 | Up | +40 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 13:27 |
| Exalted-Farming 0x6316…0134 | Down | +39 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +37 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | +32 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 05-12 14:38 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Down | +25 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Boiling-Spending 0xf5bc…2c49 | Down | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-12 14:32 |
| Enchanting-Ladle 0x6b45…d196 | Down | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 14:07 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 14:18 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 14:33 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 14:43 |
| Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1 | Up | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 14:22 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 14:33 |
| Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 14:38 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:07 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:13 |
| Whimsical-Vintner 0x9fa5…d07d | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:02 |
| Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Mealy-Remote 0xa533…755f | Down | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:18 |
| Glass-Tintype 0x814d…b896 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:18 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:22 |
| Lumpy-Certificate 0xcca2…eaaa | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:32 |
| Warlike-Penny 0xcd77…b12e | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:32 |
| General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:48 |
| Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:18 |
| Gray-Donor 0x3a30…34b1 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x99d0…b45d | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 15:23:10 | Defensive-Sum 0x4d86…c972 | Up | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x834688… |
| 05-12 14:58:19 | Whimsical-Vintner 0x9fa5…d07d | Up | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xb801b6… |
| 05-12 14:58:17 | Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x5b0b0e… |
| 05-12 14:58:14 | General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Up | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf6e73b… |
| 05-12 14:58:12 | Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Down | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xe917ca… |
| 05-12 14:58:12 | Boiling-Spending 0xf5bc…2c49 | Down | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x630d8c… |
| 05-12 14:58:12 | Gray-Donor 0x3a30…34b1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1cbb3c… |
| 05-12 14:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x99d0…b45d | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x314fc6… |
| 05-12 14:58:10 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc41255… |
| 05-12 14:58:10 | Lasting-Dust 0xa175…516f | Down | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x139a88… |
| 05-12 14:58:07 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3fbc35… |
| 05-12 14:58:05 | General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Up | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x195105… |
| 05-12 14:58:05 | Slim-Speed 0xbd5e…4005 | Down | SELL | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x5f4861… |
| 05-12 14:53:18 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc06993… |
| 05-12 14:53:16 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Down | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x81382d… |
| 05-12 14:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x5083…b0ea | Up | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x650d7e… |
| 05-12 14:53:15 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x5dd64e… |
| 05-12 14:53:13 | Velvety-Alphabet 0x27ec…55bc | Down | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8bc5c1… |
| 05-12 14:53:11 | Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Up | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xa8bc46… |
| 05-12 14:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x5083…b0ea | Up | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x05b634… |
| 05-12 14:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x5083…b0ea | Up | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x2bddb6… |
| 05-12 14:53:06 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Down | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x239b6d… |
| 05-12 14:53:06 | Exalted-Farming 0x6316…0134 | Down | BUY | 39 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x06df3c… |
| 05-12 14:53:04 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Down | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5179f4… |
| 05-12 14:53:04 | Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Down | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xec920e… |
| 05-12 14:48:17 | Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8 | Down | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x78c60d… |
| 05-12 14:48:14 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Up | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x004144… |
| 05-12 14:48:12 | Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8 | Down | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x968792… |
| 05-12 14:48:10 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Up | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1c0b7d… |
| 05-12 14:48:08 | Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8 | Down | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xebf1f0… |
| 05-12 14:48:03 | (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | Up | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9bcea1… |
| 05-12 14:43:13 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x69c6c5… |
| 05-12 14:38:05 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x5e8195… |
| 05-12 14:38:05 | Identical-Schooner 0x7de1…e0de | Down | SELL | 258 | 18¢ | $46 | 0x2e9526… |
| 05-12 14:38:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 37 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x67099e… |
| 05-12 14:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3bc6aa… |
| 05-12 14:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xfdde09… |
| 05-12 14:33:07 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x485c22… |
| 05-12 14:33:07 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x7391b9… |
| 05-12 14:33:05 | That-Continuity-Bookcase 0x90dd…5d85 | Down | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x43238c… |
| 05-12 14:33:04 | Coordinated-Banana 0x2db3…2e82 | Up | SELL | 146 | 55¢ | $80 | 0x6fe5e7… |
| 05-12 14:33:02 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Up | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x43a742… |
| 05-12 14:33:00 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x35722b… |
| 05-12 14:32:57 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 201 | 57¢ | $114 | 0x118a62… |
| 05-12 14:32:57 | Lumpy-Certificate 0xcca2…eaaa | Down | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x48a811… |
| 05-12 14:32:57 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 19 | 56¢ | $10 | 0xcaa459… |
| 05-12 14:32:57 | Warlike-Penny 0xcd77…b12e | Down | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x8cbd74… |
| 05-12 14:32:55 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe47d0f… |
| 05-12 14:28:03 | Natural-Variety 0xd171…1722 | Up | BUY | 129 | 85¢ | $110 | 0x3549db… |
| 05-12 14:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x59515c… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Sympathetic-Caliber 0xff68…46c5 | Down | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe46967… |
| 05-12 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x15802d… |
| 05-12 14:23:00 | Frizzy-Proximity 0xb575…6b11 | Up | BUY | 83 | 90¢ | $75 | 0x1600ff… |
| 05-12 14:22:56 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Up | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x060f9d… |
| 05-12 14:22:55 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Up | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x374425… |
| 05-12 14:22:51 | Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1 | Up | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x91d708… |
| 05-12 14:18:08 | Glass-Tintype 0x814d…b896 | Up | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xd66e5f… |
| 05-12 14:18:08 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x0e6c28… |
| 05-12 14:18:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 14 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xfe602c… |
| 05-12 14:18:04 | Mealy-Remote 0xa533…755f | Down | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xe68aef… |
| 05-12 14:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x09fcf3… |
| 05-12 14:18:02 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x59d17d… |
| 05-12 14:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xfcf0ee… |
| 05-12 14:13:01 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x11508d… |
| 05-12 14:07:55 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xaa3ec0… |
| 05-12 14:07:55 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x7c775e… |
| 05-12 14:07:53 | Enchanting-Ladle 0x6b45…d196 | Down | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc0d9d8… |
| 05-12 14:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x52353c… |
| 05-12 14:02:54 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 55 | 43¢ | $24 | 0x5be08b… |
| 05-12 14:02:54 | Fumbling-Stag 0x2e4e…9635 | Down | SELL | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x9eaf79… |
| 05-12 14:02:54 | Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xf8e47d… |
| 05-12 13:27:54 | Safe-Effort 0x8d09…2593 | Up | BUY | 40 | 52¢ | $21 | 0x0bca92… |