Well-Worn-Introduction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

2,385

Trades

35,188

lifetime

Volume

$468.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 08-01 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 67% +$260

Politics

18% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 1041 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	175	$30.3K	21,183	20,607	+576	open	—	05-26 22:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	135	$9.1K	8,578	8,577	+1	open	—	07-25 05:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	29	$8.9K	5,500	5,340	+160	open	—	05-26 22:02
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	31	$3.2K	2,605	2,605	+0	open	—	05-26 17:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	48	$3.0K	2,918	2,917	+0	open	—	07-23 20:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	110	$2.3K	2,168	2,165	+3	open	—	07-20 02:37
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	62	$2.2K	2,064	1,973	+91	open	—	07-24 16:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	25	$2.2K	2,000	1,999	+1	open	—	07-26 11:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	111	$2.1K	2,092	2,140	-49	open	—	07-22 20:25
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	33	$2.0K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	05-26 18:23
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	86	$1.9K	1,894	1,823	+71	open	—	07-25 01:42
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 04:55
iran full airspace closure by july 24	188	$1.8K	1,656	1,669	-13	open	—	07-24 23:20
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	79	$1.6K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	07-23 08:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	77	$1.6K	1,666	1,624	+42	open	—	07-23 15:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	82	$1.6K	710	2,310	-1,600	open	—	05-24 00:06
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	10	$1.5K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	05-25 01:34
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	134	$1.3K	1,266	1,227	+39	open	—	07-25 23:42
israel closes its airspace by august 15	71	$1.2K	1,171	1,195	-24	open	—	07-25 23:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-24 15:33
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	3	$1.1K	1,000	2,000	-1,000	open	—	06-02 01:17
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5am et	26	$896	487	452	+35	open	—	04-20 10:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	38	$879	875	774	+101	open	—	08-01 14:06
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	51	$837	905	904	+1	open	—	07-22 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	7	$810	600	600	+0	open	—	05-19 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	5	$785	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 15:20
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 9pm et	25	$773	490	323	+167	open	—	04-20 02:23
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	13	$723	477	285	+192	open	—	04-20 18:42
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 11am et	13	$719	367	366	+1	open	—	04-19 16:28
iran full airspace closure by august 15	89	$710	720	727	-7	open	—	08-01 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:06:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x0cb562…
08-01 13:33:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd15a9e…
08-01 13:08:21	will jung hoo lee be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533471	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc73145…
08-01 12:42:09	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xd83bf4…
08-01 12:25:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x017cb5…
08-01 12:09:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x0dc3cf…
08-01 12:02:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xcd2ea4…
08-01 11:48:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xa3c8cc…
08-01 11:48:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xa3c8cc…
08-01 11:15:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x0f9418…
08-01 11:15:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xcf3e37…
08-01 11:10:36	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x484e83…
08-01 11:07:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x1f014d…
08-01 10:58:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x9dd04b…
08-01 10:57:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb5450e…
08-01 10:35:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe63b2d…
08-01 10:34:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x0a06f0…
08-01 10:24:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb56c55…
08-01 09:51:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x5f912e…
08-01 09:49:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x17e44e…
08-01 09:47:42	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xeff86e…
08-01 09:28:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x2c9c00…
08-01 08:52:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x78ba0f…
08-01 08:52:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x78ba0f…
08-01 08:33:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x99074d…
08-01 08:33:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x99074d…
08-01 07:12:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x033bae…
08-01 06:55:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x7cce61…
08-01 06:46:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xd7b0cc…
08-01 06:30:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xe3bb9f…
08-01 06:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2a1d64…
08-01 06:21:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x0a420a…
08-01 05:55:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xb16a6e…
08-01 05:55:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb16a6e…
08-01 05:20:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x51e03e…
08-01 05:04:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x25a564…
08-01 05:02:27	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 265m 20260725195759091	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x69f095…
08-01 04:39:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x98c4b4…
08-01 04:23:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3c5913…
08-01 04:22:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x691fc1…
08-01 04:06:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 1	No	BUY	1,362	0¢	$1	0xf01e7c…
08-01 03:49:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x7d6639…
08-01 03:34:39	will byron buxton be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533466	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb32bc…
08-01 03:27:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x827d17…
08-01 03:26:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0x26fcb9…
08-01 03:17:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xe2e895…
08-01 03:12:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x8da1a6…
08-01 03:12:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xad92e4…
08-01 03:11:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe86a49…
08-01 03:11:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xd1c2a4…
08-01 03:11:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xc26460…
08-01 03:11:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x57048c…
08-01 03:11:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x048cd9…
08-01 03:09:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xd29dd4…
08-01 02:49:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x245631…
08-01 02:49:06	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	57	27¢	$15	0x9fdc55…
08-01 01:33:09	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xde0c29…
08-01 01:33:09	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xde0c29…
08-01 01:29:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x38029e…
08-01 01:04:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0xfcc7e5…
08-01 01:03:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x48c594…
08-01 01:02:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0xeb27b4…
08-01 00:56:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x839166…
08-01 00:51:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x744d37…
08-01 00:27:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x663d46…
08-01 00:10:57	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x69e400…
08-01 00:08:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x923179…
07-31 23:49:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9ae842…
07-31 23:31:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x9a3034…
07-31 23:28:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x50bd6a…
07-31 23:19:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc206c3…
07-31 23:16:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xa7ccf0…
07-31 23:01:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xc0aa07…
07-31 22:38:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x0ed08d…
07-31 20:16:42	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 245m 20260725195759091	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb626c6…
07-31 18:55:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7d0caa…
07-31 18:31:23	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9b8568…
07-31 18:17:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x5507e8…
07-31 18:07:15	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 9 2026 20260722225036933	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x8513c8…
07-31 17:38:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xa3c998…
07-31 17:27:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0f84ac…
07-31 17:00:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xfb19cc…
07-31 16:37:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7a94fa…
07-31 16:09:17	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x460318…
07-31 15:03:29	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xf2a095…
07-31 15:03:21	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x5606dc…
07-31 15:01:00	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x327b8e…
07-31 14:40:03	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfd511c…
07-31 14:09:05	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x86499e…
07-31 14:06:59	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 31	No	BUY	260	9¢	$23	0xcdf628…
07-31 14:04:21	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 31	No	BUY	802	9¢	$72	0x32b8f6…
07-31 14:04:08	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 31	No	BUY	418	9¢	$38	0x1b8458…
07-31 12:56:14	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xcfa2a4…
07-31 12:56:14	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcfa2a4…
07-31 11:39:14	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x0df313…
07-31 11:39:14	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0df313…
07-31 08:57:17	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x106313…
07-31 07:38:24	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc9dddb…
07-31 07:05:41	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 31	No	BUY	1,090	9¢	$98	0x3b01aa…
07-31 06:44:15	will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 31	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x58e44f…