Near-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

2,665

Trades

1,013,583

lifetime

Volume

$3.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-10 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-1,395

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 18484 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1784721600	105	$4.9K	4,818	4,762	+56	open	—	07-22 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	382	$4.7K	3,025	2,909	+117	open	—	05-29 19:54
btc updown 4h 1784894400	152	$4.7K	3,663	2,737	+925	open	—	07-24 15:01
btc updown 4h 1784908800	424	$4.5K	5,064	3,931	+1,133	open	—	07-24 19:56
btc updown 4h 1784923200	324	$4.3K	3,735	3,526	+209	open	—	07-24 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	542	$4.3K	3,504	3,508	-3	open	—	06-02 20:00
btc updown 4h 1776283200	418	$4.2K	4,190	4,053	+137	open	—	04-15 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	133	$4.1K	2,479	2,394	+85	Down	+$285	05-08 03:31
btc updown 4h 1784822400	308	$4.1K	6,001	2,704	+3,297	open	—	07-23 19:57
btc updown 4h 1783080000	561	$4.1K	3,102	3,039	+63	open	—	07-03 15:55
btc updown 4h 1776340800	282	$4.0K	2,705	2,690	+15	open	—	04-16 15:52
btc updown 4h 1780632000	536	$3.9K	2,857	3,284	-427	open	—	06-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	448	$3.9K	3,156	3,106	+50	open	—	05-28 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	323	$3.8K	2,821	2,731	+90	open	—	05-29 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	675	$3.7K	3,061	3,039	+22	open	—	06-01 11:54
btc updown 4h 1776297600	318	$3.6K	3,203	3,351	-148	open	—	04-16 03:56
btc updown 4h 1784779200	261	$3.5K	3,606	3,184	+423	open	—	07-23 07:33
btc updown 4h 1784937600	195	$3.3K	3,578	2,960	+619	open	—	07-25 03:56
btc updown 4h 1776254400	251	$3.3K	2,482	2,438	+44	open	—	04-15 15:53
btc updown 4h 1784851200	183	$3.2K	2,726	2,610	+116	open	—	07-24 03:48
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 7pm et	433	$3.2K	1,905	1,850	+55	open	—	04-12 23:59
btc updown 4h 1768525200	884	$3.1K	2,192	2,166	+26	open	—	01-16 05:00
btc updown 4h 1776355200	358	$3.0K	2,801	2,593	+208	open	—	04-16 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	323	$3.0K	2,254	2,139	+115	open	—	05-29 11:57
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9am et	309	$2.9K	2,137	2,159	-22	open	—	04-17 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	335	$2.9K	2,093	2,099	-7	open	—	06-01 23:54
btc updown 4h 1784836800	166	$2.9K	1,885	1,772	+113	open	—	07-23 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	292	$2.9K	2,198	1,949	+249	open	—	05-28 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	153	$2.8K	3,681	2,813	+869	Down	+$111	05-07 23:15
btc updown 4h 1775548800	1,051	$2.8K	3,515	2,604	+912	open	—	04-07 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:22:55	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa1a7b6…
08-10 11:06:31	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x18b3a7…
08-10 11:06:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdeb77c…
08-10 10:59:13	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7f5ad1…
08-10 10:48:34	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xabf8c9…
08-10 10:48:34	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x68c681…
08-10 10:46:54	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfd0d56…
08-10 10:46:39	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcdece5…
08-10 10:46:25	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x710d00…
08-10 10:46:15	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc36838…
08-10 10:46:13	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x972182…
08-10 10:45:45	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc50fdc…
08-10 10:40:31	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x05ea46…
08-10 10:37:13	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf3e929…
08-10 10:30:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc336f9…
08-10 10:28:39	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x94df56…
08-10 10:27:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf24c37…
08-10 10:27:51	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x65aa80…
08-10 10:27:37	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x07ee69…
08-10 10:22:48	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0094a2…
08-10 10:22:07	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xeb34b8…
08-10 10:15:10	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x320120…
08-10 10:12:31	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x8fda5d…
08-10 10:06:33	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9242cb…
08-10 10:06:22	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x21f4d7…
08-10 10:03:45	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xe16996…
08-10 10:02:57	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x835f83…
08-10 10:02:40	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x545c68…
08-10 09:51:04	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x1754ad…
08-10 09:50:09	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x13ac5f…
08-10 09:40:33	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbe3add…
08-10 09:38:21	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x291771…
08-10 09:37:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8910fa…
08-10 09:35:24	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2edf96…
08-10 09:33:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9083ef…
08-10 09:33:04	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5b2db8…
08-10 09:29:04	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xffb067…
08-10 09:28:15	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x2c242b…
08-10 09:27:54	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4faa43…
08-10 09:25:09	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe9c8ae…
08-10 09:21:12	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x19900b…
08-10 09:20:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xf567db…
08-10 09:20:03	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd9ed89…
08-10 09:13:55	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa77001…
08-10 09:04:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ba1c0…
08-10 09:03:27	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xa880ab…
08-10 09:03:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x91a62f…
08-10 09:02:46	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xede3fd…
08-10 09:01:54	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd57b6a…
08-10 09:01:51	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x94ccee…
08-10 09:01:13	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ac760…
08-10 08:57:31	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5ff16c…
08-10 08:57:31	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1056aa…
08-10 08:53:46	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcfd352…
08-10 08:53:07	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x1a51da…
08-10 08:53:04	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7738af…
08-10 08:52:22	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x3274fa…
08-10 08:52:19	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xae479d…
08-10 08:49:43	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b7322…
08-10 08:48:54	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4157ae…
08-10 08:41:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe04284…
08-10 08:39:10	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x752104…
08-10 08:37:16	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x57f733…
08-10 08:37:10	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xab57d8…
08-10 08:36:30	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x43939c…
08-10 08:34:10	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1dd6b2…
08-10 08:33:57	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb031fe…
08-10 08:33:45	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x18f589…
08-10 08:27:43	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8b55b4…
08-10 08:27:16	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x979b86…
08-10 08:27:10	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x87affc…
08-10 08:27:09	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xd573ba…
08-10 08:27:09	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbd5b6a…
08-10 08:27:09	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x9621ce…
08-10 08:26:48	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xfb9234…
08-10 08:25:40	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0c785e…
08-10 08:24:49	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcabe35…
08-10 08:24:34	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x763017…
08-10 08:24:07	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa65308…
08-10 08:23:55	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xef5619…
08-10 08:20:33	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xeaaee4…
08-10 08:15:54	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x843520…
08-10 08:15:42	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xeb84ac…
08-10 08:10:15	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7931f5…
08-10 08:09:52	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1f55ea…
08-10 08:04:54	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc78333…
08-10 08:04:54	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x08eed2…
08-10 08:04:52	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6858d2…
08-10 08:04:37	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa9100e…
08-10 08:04:34	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x076b0a…
08-10 08:04:27	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa927d3…
08-10 08:02:19	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x8ab51e…
08-10 08:01:48	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x68887b…
08-10 08:01:31	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xda822e…
08-10 08:01:31	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc6c747…
08-10 08:01:22	btc updown 4h 1786348800	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4e4828…
08-10 07:52:25	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb19639…
08-10 07:38:42	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc3814c…
08-10 07:38:39	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0e3c46…
08-10 07:38:30	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x58cbe9…