Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
open
Total volume
$4,601
Trades
67
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$6,553
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 03:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $848
vs crowd: 7% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $265 | $573 | $308 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $37 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $8 | $840 | $832 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $692 | $690 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| Median | 3 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $27 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $52 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $259 | $570 | $311 |
| unranked | 6 | $31 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outrageous-Table 0x19fc…b4e3 | Down | +1,875 | $1,853 | $1,853 | 1 | 05-08 03:30 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +1,070 | $255 | $255 | 20 | 05-08 02:02 |
| Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Down | +839 | $838 | $838 | 1 | 05-08 03:49 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | +651 | $553 | $593 | 7 | 05-08 02:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +632 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 03:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +541 | $521 | $521 | 1 | 05-08 02:52 |
| Adolescent-Goal 0xf757…17a6 | Up | +103 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 03:19 |
| Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-08 03:02 |
| Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2 | Down | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-08 03:02 |
| Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | +70 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-08 03:16 |
| Stimulating-Impropriety 0x3863…4cea | Up | +58 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-08 00:00 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 03:31 |
| Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-08 02:27 |
| Unsteady-Toll 0xa19e…7569 | Down | +29 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 07:18 |
| Accurate-Semester 0x174f…3941 | Down | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 01:52 |
| Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 02:02 |
| Whopping-Society 0xebaf…240c | Down | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-08 03:21 |
| Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | Down | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 02:22 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 02:17 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-08 00:14 |
| Alex - 16475 0x01f2…b697 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 02:47 |
| Nifty-Taxpayer 0x69a0…f29b | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 00:42 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:20 |
| Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ff3…e2b8 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:14 |
| Willing-Counsel 0xcd2a…dd1d | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:26 |
| Elderly-Loggia 0x6368…eea5 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:42 |
| Frigid-Opinion 0xad40…a697 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:57 |
| Dual-Primate 0xf03e…c2be | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 03:49:30 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Down | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x8ce447… |
| 05-08 03:49:27 | Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Down | BUY | 839 | 100¢ | $838 | 0x20b442… |
| 05-08 03:49:23 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x675b47… |
| 05-08 03:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 632 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xea3bf6… |
| 05-08 03:31:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfdbbbe… |
| 05-08 03:30:03 | Outrageous-Table 0x19fc…b4e3 | Down | BUY | 1,875 | 99¢ | $1,853 | 0x533f45… |
| 05-08 03:26:47 | (anonymous) 0x031d…8510 | Up | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d3914… |
| 05-08 03:21:55 | Whopping-Society 0xebaf…240c | Down | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0xd590ad… |
| 05-08 03:21:55 | Joint-Trick 0x2994…66ee | Up | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x29fa35… |
| 05-08 03:19:56 | Metallic-Disguise 0xa2a2…b095 | Down | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x3e0035… |
| 05-08 03:19:42 | Adolescent-Goal 0xf757…17a6 | Up | BUY | 103 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf9546b… |
| 05-08 03:17:04 | Dual-Primate 0xf03e…c2be | Down | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1b4e46… |
| 05-08 03:16:26 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9c202a… |
| 05-08 03:16:26 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x38a9f3… |
| 05-08 03:02:27 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf662d4… |
| 05-08 03:02:27 | Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x3ed456… |
| 05-08 02:52:34 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 541 | 96¢ | $521 | 0xcff91d… |
| 05-08 02:52:11 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe29f93… |
| 05-08 02:47:19 | Alex - 16475 0x01f2…b697 | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x437748… |
| 05-08 02:32:39 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xe2dd06… |
| 05-08 02:27:27 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xeb6b8d… |
| 05-08 02:22:23 | Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | Down | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x468672… |
| 05-08 02:17:31 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 133 | 97¢ | $129 | 0xcdfb49… |
| 05-08 02:17:25 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 111 | 97¢ | $108 | 0xac4286… |
| 05-08 02:17:25 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 133 | 97¢ | $129 | 0xd1f9d6… |
| 05-08 02:17:25 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 133 | 97¢ | $129 | 0xe4f5e1… |
| 05-08 02:17:25 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x86520f… |
| 05-08 02:17:24 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | SELL | 133 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xcd5ff2… |
| 05-08 02:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x4ff3…e2b8 | Up | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9db8c… |
| 05-08 02:17:24 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6009f5… |
| 05-08 02:02:14 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xd61e4c… |
| 05-08 02:02:10 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 162 | 8¢ | $13 | 0xde97b6… |
| 05-08 01:52:31 | Accurate-Semester 0x174f…3941 | Down | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x81e1b0… |
| 05-08 01:17:22 | Willing-Counsel 0xcd2a…dd1d | Up | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x5ae70b… |
| 05-08 01:02:17 | Willing-Counsel 0xcd2a…dd1d | Up | SELL | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0xfa6046… |
| 05-08 00:57:32 | Frigid-Opinion 0xad40…a697 | Down | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xae9f03… |
| 05-08 00:57:29 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x10cd3e… |
| 05-08 00:57:27 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 28 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x2625ef… |
| 05-08 00:57:23 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7ec5bb… |
| 05-08 00:52:17 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 32 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x87e0ff… |
| 05-08 00:52:17 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 52 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x46ae2c… |
| 05-08 00:52:17 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 67 | 25¢ | $17 | 0x57c6cb… |
| 05-08 00:52:17 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xa6a8e6… |
| 05-08 00:52:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x799eb4… |
| 05-08 00:52:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x5dc5c3… |
| 05-08 00:52:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x6f689c… |
| 05-08 00:52:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x40fdf1… |
| 05-08 00:52:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 70 | 24¢ | $17 | 0x610cff… |
| 05-08 00:52:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x6cee38… |
| 05-08 00:52:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xc86b4b… |
| 05-08 00:52:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xbdc0a7… |
| 05-08 00:52:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 70 | 24¢ | $17 | 0x7c0aac… |
| 05-08 00:52:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xcc8198… |
| 05-08 00:52:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xd0665a… |
| 05-08 00:42:17 | Nifty-Taxpayer 0x69a0…f29b | Down | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xb4308f… |
| 05-08 00:42:17 | Elderly-Loggia 0x6368…eea5 | Down | BUY | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xc481bc… |
| 05-08 00:26:09 | Willing-Counsel 0xcd2a…dd1d | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x07170c… |
| 05-08 00:20:47 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x361163… |
| 05-08 00:20:09 | Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Down | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xfbbff1… |
| 05-08 00:19:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 15 | 53¢ | $8 | 0x77c029… |
| 05-08 00:14:43 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xaa3846… |
| 05-08 00:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ff3…e2b8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xdf25f6… |
| 05-08 00:14:08 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 145 | 42¢ | $61 | 0xafd7c4… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 54 | 60¢ | $33 | 0x933453… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x778588… |
| 05-08 00:00:55 | Stimulating-Impropriety 0x3863…4cea | Up | BUY | 58 | 53¢ | $31 | 0xafc752… |
| 05-07 07:18:19 | Unsteady-Toll 0xa19e…7569 | Down | BUY | 29 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x96f903… |