Willing-Counsel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,003

lifetime

Volume

$6.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 34% $-88

Sports

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	12	$96	190	148	+42	open	—	05-15 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	20	$88	257	97	+160	Down	$-6	05-12 23:39
btc updown 4h 1772758800	22	$84	113	112	+1	open	—	03-06 03:43
btc updown 4h 1772672400	18	$77	95	95	+0	open	—	03-05 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	12	$73	79	79	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$73	92	72	+20	open	—	05-15 22:57
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08	8	$60	75	109	-33	open	—	01-09 04:35
btc updown 4h 1772917200	21	$60	68	52	+16	open	—	03-07 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	13	$59	106	47	+59	Up	+$1	05-12 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	11	$58	157	89	+68	Up	+$6	05-10 23:03
btc updown 15m 1768030200	5	$55	122	122	+0	open	—	01-10 07:42
btc updown 15m 1768040100	6	$53	52	51	+0	open	—	01-10 10:29
btc updown 4h 1768669200	5	$51	55	40	+16	open	—	01-17 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	9	$50	134	76	+58	open	—	05-18 02:45
btc updown 4h 1776585600	9	$47	76	51	+25	open	—	04-19 11:17
btc updown 15m 1768680000	10	$44	41	40	+1	open	—	01-17 20:15
bitcoin up or down january 18 10pm et	7	$42	41	41	+0	open	—	01-19 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	10	$42	117	35	+82	Down	$-6	05-08 02:11
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	10	$40	48	48	+0	open	—	06-08 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$39	74	38	+36	open	—	05-03 07:02
btc updown 4h 1773460800	14	$37	76	29	+47	open	—	03-14 06:40
btc updown 15m 1768683600	4	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	01-17 21:15
bitcoin up or down december 31 10pm et	5	$36	46	24	+22	open	—	01-01 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	12	$36	107	14	+93	open	—	05-15 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	8	$35	31	31	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$35	51	32	+19	open	—	05-18 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	13	$35	133	10	+123	Down	$-23	05-12 01:41
btc updown 15m 1771030800	5	$34	26	26	+0	open	—	02-14 01:15
btc updown 4h 1773504000	11	$33	46	33	+13	open	—	03-14 19:20
bitcoin up or down february 2 7pm et	9	$32	63	25	+38	open	—	02-03 00:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:17:01	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x2b926d…
06-08 19:15:18	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x98e779…
06-08 18:55:57	btc updown 5m 1780944900	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x126478…
06-08 18:51:25	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea9de5…
06-08 18:49:25	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb83b08…
06-08 18:45:16	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xa0207f…
06-08 18:45:13	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x170f25…
06-08 18:39:06	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc3d1ea…
06-08 18:37:37	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x5f49c4…
06-08 18:29:45	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x712203…
06-08 18:28:49	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x06946b…
06-08 18:23:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x369eaf…
06-08 18:22:43	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc8bce8…
06-08 18:13:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x6aaa67…
06-08 18:07:52	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfbac19…
06-08 18:06:30	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x121a75…
06-08 18:02:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1989be…
06-08 17:50:36	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c6b8e…
06-08 17:47:18	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xc7d5bb…
06-08 17:43:21	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x7b9827…
06-08 17:26:42	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x70317a…
05-18 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xa4a9d7…
05-18 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x037c54…
05-18 21:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xad26fb…
05-18 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0xd15b19…
05-18 21:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xe38e1c…
05-18 04:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x509314…
05-18 04:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xeb1262…
05-18 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x7b6cc9…
05-18 04:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa97da3…
05-18 04:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7655f9…
05-18 04:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x244305…
05-18 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfda8f4…
05-18 02:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9d7de0…
05-18 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	53	23¢	$12	0x782ac4…
05-18 01:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xfe90d3…
05-18 01:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0xf763f7…
05-18 01:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x20fb39…
05-18 01:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x8c3d01…
05-18 01:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2dee5a…
05-18 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd733d7…
05-18 00:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xd03986…
05-18 00:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x18d4f5…
05-17 23:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf09044…
05-17 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xffbdfa…
05-15 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbca50c…
05-15 22:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x757dee…
05-15 22:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa1cde7…
05-15 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0fc31a…
05-15 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x6970b4…
05-15 21:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xc28ede…
05-15 21:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x3fda89…
05-15 21:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8d2e2a…
05-15 21:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0xd941bc…
05-15 21:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x50d917…
05-15 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	56¢	$10	0xcc8caa…
05-15 20:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x948e34…
05-15 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x26331f…
05-15 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xdf3673…
05-15 08:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x24a375…
05-15 08:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xfda212…
05-15 08:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xaf1952…
05-15 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x71728f…
05-15 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9b576f…
05-15 05:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5093f4…
05-15 05:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc89f76…
05-15 05:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x0edb14…
05-15 05:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd524e1…
05-15 04:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e5333…
05-15 04:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xed7b47…
05-15 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x83acf7…
05-15 04:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x87d4ba…
05-15 04:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf70638…
05-15 04:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x6ec45a…
05-15 02:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x8205e8…
05-15 02:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7bd05f…
05-15 02:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaae3f6…
05-15 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc2f038…
05-15 01:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x44eb88…
05-15 01:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x8cd95b…
05-15 01:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xf74f48…
05-15 01:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	102	34¢	$35	0x1442fd…
05-15 01:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xdb6bfd…
05-15 01:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xea05a4…
05-15 00:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8d83a3…
05-15 00:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa96315…
05-14 23:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x53cdff…
05-14 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	66¢	$15	0xd84bcb…
05-14 22:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x85dd03…
05-14 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0xda2dd3…
05-14 21:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xf77c0b…
05-14 21:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x38d12d…
05-13 01:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe21323…
05-13 01:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6b06fb…
05-13 01:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x886c5e…
05-13 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb36b9d…
05-12 23:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2b63c…
05-12 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x964ba7…
05-12 22:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe47160…
05-12 22:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2973d3…